[Market Data]
Bitcoin market: $90,566 (60.64% share)
Ahr999 Index: 0.98 (Regular investment range 0.45–1.2)
Greed index: 25 (extreme panic)
Bitcoin market data analysis on March 6, 2025:
1. Ahr999 Index: 0.98 (within the regular investment range, but risks should be noted)
- Current value meaning: The ahr999 index is 0.98, between 0.45 (bottom line) and 1.2 (upper limit for regular investments), theoretically still within the suitable range for regular investment.
- Historical comparison:
- On April 21, 2023, the ahr999 index was 0.795, close to a bottom opportunity.
- On October 29, 2025, when the index breaks 1.2, Jiushen (ahr999) recommends stopping regular investments and holding for a rise.
- Risk warning: The current index is close to the threshold of 1.2, and market trends need to be monitored. If the index further rises above 1.2, it may indicate a high price, and caution should be exercised in chasing higher prices.
2. Greed index: 25 (extreme panic, potential buying signal)
- Indicator interpretation: The greed index is calculated based on volatility (25%), trading volume (25%), social media popularity (15%), market surveys (15%), Bitcoin market share (10%), and Google trends (10%). The current value is 25, in the 'extreme panic' range, which may reflect market overselling and buying opportunities.
- Recent market sentiment changes:
- On March 4, 2025, the greed index plummeted from 33 to 15 (extreme panic) due to Bitcoin's daily drop of over 10%, leading to nearly 300,000 liquidations.
- On March 5, it slightly rebounded to 22, but still remained in the extreme panic range, consistent with the current trend of 25.
- Historical case: In March 2021, the greed index reached 81 (extreme greed), followed by a market correction; conversely, extreme panic (such as in March 2020) often accompanies price rebounds.
3. Bitcoin price and market share: $90,566 (60.64% share)
- Price fluctuation factors:
- Policy and event-driven: Recent fluctuations have been exacerbated by the erratic cryptocurrency policies of the Trump administration (such as the retreat from the 'Strategic Reserve Plan') and the delayed expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
- High leverage risk: During market crashes, concentrated liquidation of high-leverage long positions can amplify losses (e.g., $1 billion liquidation on March 4).
- Market share significance: Bitcoin's market share of 60.64% indicates that funds are concentrating on Bitcoin, which has stronger 'safe-haven' attributes, possibly related to the market's sell-off of high-risk altcoins.
4. Comprehensive strategy recommendations
1. Regular investment strategy: The current ahr999 index still supports regular investments, but profit-taking and stop-loss points need to be set to avoid the risk of index correction after breaking 1.2.
2. Sentiment-based opportunity: When the greed index is in extreme panic, one can build positions gradually on dips, but this should be combined with technical analysis (such as support level $82,000) and news factors (policy implementation).
3. Long-term perspective: Pay attention to changes in supply and demand and institutional movements (such as MicroStrategy increasing holdings and ETF growth) after Bitcoin's halving in 2025, as these may support a long-term bull market.
Risk warning
- Policy uncertainty: The U.S. SEC's regulatory direction on cryptocurrency exchanges may trigger short-term volatility.
- Leverage risk: Avoid high-leverage operations, as the recent market volatility (25% weight) has significantly increased, making liquidation more likely.
For more detailed historical data or real-time indicators, you can refer to the [ahr999 index official website](https://ahr999.com/) and [Alternative Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/).