No matter how Bitcoin moves next, the bull market is very likely to end in 2025. After it ends, the things to do during the bear market are quite boring, just waiting, waiting for the bull market in 2028-2029. Occasionally, there may be opportunities for short-term rebounds, but most of the time will just be spent waiting. My consistent style is that I do not like to short; even if I am bearish, I don’t like shorting. I think shorting Bitcoin and taking on that high risk is unnecessary, as I have a strong aversion to risk.
So what should we do during the waiting period of the bear market? What should we post on Weibo after 2025? I will probably spend most of my time and funds on US stocks. After liquidating last month, most of my funds are now in short-term bonds and US stocks. Currently, I have more in short-term bonds because you never know when Bitcoin will have an upward trend again, so it's necessary to enter and exit at any time. The short-term bond rates are around 4-4.3 now, which is still acceptable. But after the bull market ends, I will basically go all in on US stocks.
So what can be anticipated in the future is that after Bitcoin loses its momentum, there will be more and more discussions about American politics and US stocks on Weibo. However, if Bitcoin is performing well, of course, we will still focus on discussing Bitcoin.