The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%

According to Jinshi data reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%.

In addition, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in September is 30%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 60%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 10%.