strategybtcpurchase

Technical Analysis Breakdown for $BTC :
1. Price Structure & Market Phases:
The chart shows a bullish move that ends in a Three Boll Top formation, a variant of triple top, indicating potential exhaustion of buying pressure.
After the top, there's a CHoCH (Change of Character), which signals a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
This is followed by BOS (Break of Structure) — confirming bearish momentum as the price starts forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Volume Profile Insight:
The Volume Profile (Visible Range) on the right side shows high volume nodes around $109,000 – $110,000, marking these levels as strong resistance.
Lower volume areas between $106,000 – $104,000 suggest inefficiency zones (Fair Value Gaps – FVG) that price may want to fill, adding confluence to bearish continuation.
3. Key Confluence Zone (Short Entry Setup):
The orange highlighted zone is the key entry confluence area, defined by:
Order Block (OB)
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Support turned Resistance
Downtrend Line Retest
The trader anticipates price will retrace to this zone, offering an ideal short entry with low risk and high reward.
Entry aligns with trendline resistance and OB-FVG overlap, supporting a reactionary move downward.
4. Trade Execution Plan:
Once price hits the orange zone, the trader expects bearish rejection.
The green box below is the Take Profit zone, around $101,000–$100,000, in line with historical support and high-volume node.
Risk is defined by the zone’s upper bound or beyond the last swing high.

Fundamental Analysis (Macro View):
From a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin's price action may currently be influenced by:
1. U.S. Macroeconomic Indicators:
CPI inflation data, Fed rate decisions, and NFP reports affect investor sentiment toward risk assets like crypto.
If inflation remains sticky or the Fed signals prolonged high rates, Bitcoin could face further downward pressure.
2. Market Sentiment & Liquidity:
Recent outflows from BTC ETFs or lack of institutional inflows could explain the current decline.
Liquidity thinning during summer months can exacerbate volatility.
3. Regulatory Environment:
SEC stances on crypto exchanges or ETFs may also pressure price direction, especially if regulatory news is unfavorable.
4. Network Activity & On-chain Metrics:
Decline in active addresses or miner revenues often signals weakening fundamental strength, aligning with technical bearishness.


This chart illustrates a well-crafted SMC-based bearish strategy. The trader combines market structure breaks, volume zones, FVGs, and trendlines to anticipate a short entry. This is further supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and volume inefficiencies. If the price reacts strongly to the OB-FVG confluence zone, we can expect downside toward the $101K–$100K area. This is a professional approach balancing technical confluence with fundamental context.

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Thanks to Tracker's infographic, I believe with this picture we can be ahead of the curve.

Here's a brief analysis of what you are seeing below.

What you see here is a Sentiment Tracker for the ALT COINS {any coin or token other than BTC) that helps you know when to enter and exit the market.

1. Our Current Position (June 2025 - Hope): The market appears to be in an early recovery phase following a period of "Disbelief" and low prices. This stage often follows a bottoming out (e.g. Capitulation or Panic phases) and is characterized by cautious optimism as prices begin to rise.

2. Recent Sentiment: Given the progression from Disbelief to Hope, recent crypto sentiment likely shifted from pessimism (hopelessness) to a growing belief in a potential upward trend. This could be driven by positive news, improved market conditions, or increased buying activity.

3. Projected Trend: If the cycle follows the typical pattern, the next phases could include "Anxiety" and "Complacency" as prices climb toward a peak (Euphoria, around September).

However, this is just speculative and can be dynamic based on external factors like regulatory news, macroeconomic conditions, and market adoption.

Today's News.

Based on the latest data and sentiments as of May - June (current day), the altcoin market, as shown in the chart at the "Hope" phase, aligns with early recovery signals.

Bitcoin stabilized around $109,000, with dominance at 63%, while Ethereum gained traction with a 3% jump to $2,800 3days ago, hinting at a potential capital shift.

However, recent analyses suggest mixed outlooks like:

-> Some experts note bearish pressure on ALT/BTC pairs.

-> While some others see undervalued opportunities in altcoins like Solana, Cardano and XRP (Ripple) amid rising trading volumes.

-> The Fear & Greed Index at 57 reflects neutral sentiment and the altcoin season index remains low at 22/100, indicating altseason might still be delayed until July if Bitcoin dominance drops further.
I'll keep you posted.
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