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PasUnCasino

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Theodore Ri QtFv
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Altseason or not?Altseason is not a rallying cry; it is a multivariate market configuration that can be quantified. Let's look at the same gauges that, in May 2021, actually validated the alt cycle – and compare them to the current values (May 14, 2025). ──────────────────────────────────────── 1. Capital rotation • May 2021: ETH/BTC goes from 0.03 to 0.088 (+190%) in six weeks, signaling the risk transfer away from Bitcoin. ([Reddit][1])

Altseason or not?

Altseason is not a rallying cry; it is a multivariate market configuration that can be quantified. Let's look at the same gauges that, in May 2021, actually validated the alt cycle – and compare them to the current values (May 14, 2025).

────────────────────────────────────────

1. Capital rotation
• May 2021: ETH/BTC goes from 0.03 to 0.088 (+190%) in six weeks, signaling the risk transfer away from Bitcoin. ([Reddit][1])
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Talking about altseason as a miracle expected every four years, without any technical or structural indicators, is selling a hollow narrative. The market is not a spectacle; it is a cold mechanism, governed by flows, correlations, and validated structures. A true altcoin season is not proclaimed; it is confirmed: – Visible capital rotation on ETH/BTC pairs, SOL/BTC – Increase in implied volatility on alt options – Sustained sector outperformance (L1, AI, DeFi) – Rising TVL and influx of stablecoins – Solid weekly structures, not just a simple daily wick In the absence of these elements, calling to "buy your favorite alts" amounts to setting a trap for the most vulnerable. #CryptoTrading #altcoins #RiskManagementMastery #MarketStructure #PasUnCasino
Talking about altseason as a miracle expected every four years, without any technical or structural indicators, is selling a hollow narrative. The market is not a spectacle; it is a cold mechanism, governed by flows, correlations, and validated structures.

A true altcoin season is not proclaimed; it is confirmed:

– Visible capital rotation on ETH/BTC pairs, SOL/BTC
– Increase in implied volatility on alt options
– Sustained sector outperformance (L1, AI, DeFi)
– Rising TVL and influx of stablecoins
– Solid weekly structures, not just a simple daily wick

In the absence of these elements, calling to "buy your favorite alts" amounts to setting a trap for the most vulnerable.

#CryptoTrading #altcoins #RiskManagementMastery #MarketStructure #PasUnCasino
Mr_SergioMarquina
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