MoneyBTC

Institution: Aladdin Academy
Researcher: TommyBTC
Date: 2025/05/28

One, Current Price Breakthrough and Historical Patterns

$BTC Prices reached an all-time high of $111,814 in May 2025, continuing its significant cyclical characteristics. According to historical data, Bitcoin experiences a halving event every 4 years (supply of new coins is halved), followed by a bull market peak usually within 12-18 months. For example:

• After the halving in 2016, prices soared to $19,200 in 2017;
• After the halving in 2020, prices reached $69,000 in 2021;
• After the fourth halving in May 2024, the current price has surpassed $110,000, validating this pattern.

In the fifteenth year of blockchain technology development, this industry, which once took 'decentralization' as its banner, is falling into a new trust crisis. The phenomenon of certain KOL groups in the Chinese-speaking regions gradually becoming tools for capital harvesting reflects a worrying collapse of values amidst the wave of technological innovation. When professional discourse becomes a scythe for cutting leeks, and industry influence is transformed into a pipeline for wealth transfer, this capital game masquerading as technological innovation is overdrawn the future credibility of the entire industry.

1. Knowledge Dimensionality Reduction: The Reverse Collapse of Professionalism

Certain KOLs, claiming to be 'industry experts,' are creating a new type of information asymmetry. They weave knowledge barriers with obscure terminology, simplifying complex blockchain technology into footnotes of wealth myths. On social media platforms, the predictive models of these 'market analysts' are often built on mystical K-line interpretations, and their analytical frameworks lack a foundation in econometrics and violate basic financial principles. When market volatility becomes a prop for their self-proclaimed prophecies, so-called 'precise predictions' are merely illusions created by survivor bias.