LiberationDay

Donald Trump has thrown a major economic curveball with his announcement of new import tariffs. These tariffs have the potential to send U.S. trade duties skyrocketing to their highest level in over a century, and economists are ringing the alarm bells loud and clear! 🚨 They're warning that these measures could very well trigger a recession, stoke the flames of inflation, and hit American households right in the wallet, significantly raising their costs.

## 📈 Historic Tariff Hike: A Giant Leap Since 1910
Trump's proposed policy is like a bombshell in the economic world. It introduces a 10% base tariff on all imports into the U.S., and that's not all! There are additional double - digit rates aimed at key trade partners. The outcome? The average U.S. import tariff would jump from a mere 2.5% last year to a staggering 22%. It's like a roller - coaster ride that's taking a sudden, steep upward turn. 🎢

Olu Sonola of Fitch Ratings called this move a “game changer.” He's right! It has the potential to completely reshape not just the U.S. economy but global markets as well. It's like a powerful earthquake that shakes not only one region but the whole world. 🌍 Simon French of Panmure Liberum added that “The odds of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months have significantly increased due to last night’s decision.” It's as if a dark cloud of economic doom is looming on the horizon. 🌪️
## 💱 Markets React: Dollar Drops, Consumer Confidence Falters
Financial markets are like a sensitive seismograph, and they reacted immediately to this economic tremor. The U.S. dollar dropped by 1.7% against a basket of major global currencies. It's like a flagging ship losing its mast in a storm, showing just how worried the markets are about the country's economic outlook. 🌊

Consumer confidence also took a massive hit. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell by 7.2 points to 92.9 in March. That's its lowest level since January 2021, when the country was still clawing its way out of the pandemic. It's like a person who was just starting to feel better suddenly getting sick again. 😷 Even more concerning, the expectations index, which reflects the public's outlook on income, job conditions, and business prospects, plunged to 65.2. That's the lowest in 12 years and well below the 80 - point threshold that signals recession risk. It's like a warning light flashing brightly, telling us that something is seriously wrong. 🚧

## 💰 Prices on the Rise, Inflation Looming, Households in the Crosshairs
The tariffs are going to hit American households from all angles. James Knightley of ING estimates that the average American could face up to $1,350 in additional costs annually. It all depends on how much of the price increase businesses decide to pass on. It's like an extra tax that families weren't expecting. 💰 During Trump’s 2018 tariff wave, it was shown that about 60% of a 20% duty on imported washing machines was ultimately paid by consumers. And this time, the scope is even broader. It's like a net that's been cast wider, catching more and more consumers in its grasp. 🕸️

## 📉 Unemployment on the Rise, GDP in the Dumps
Marc Giannoni of Barclays predicts that core inflation will likely exceed 4% this year. At the same time, real GDP is expected to contract. He's also sounding the alarm about rising unemployment. His forecast shows unemployment hitting 4.6% by Q4 2025. It's like a slow - moving train wreck, with the economy heading towards a dangerous destination. 🚂 This shift aligns with a recession scenario, and it's not looking good for the American workforce.

## 📊 Markets Brace for a Downturn
Paul Donovan of UBS emphasized that markets are already bracing themselves for the possibility of a recession. He stated, “If there’s no retreat, markets will price in a U.S. recession. If there is a retreat, markets will assume U.S. growth will weaken regardless.” It's like a chess game where the players are anticipating the next move, and in this case, the move could be a major economic downturn. ♟️

## 🌟 Summary: A High - Stakes Economic Experiment
Trump’s new trade agenda, branded as a “Liberation Day,” could have far - reaching and serious consequences for ordinary Americans and the global economy. Rising inflation, a falling dollar, crumbling consumer confidence, and the very real threat of pushing the U.S. back into recession all point to this being a high - risk economic experiment. It's like walking a tightrope without a safety net, and the world is watching with bated breath to see what happens next. 🤞

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Yesterday, April 3, 2025, the world wakes up to a bombshell: Donald Trump's “Liberation Day” is a reality! 🎉 The U.S. President signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on over 180 countries, with a baseline of 10% on all imports and peaks of up to 54% on giants like China (Reuters). It’s an economic earthquake that promises to “bring industry back to America” and is already shaking the markets: the dollar collapses and Wall Street trembles (-1.8% S&P 500, data from Reuters). But what does it really mean? Get ready, because this is epic! 🚀

🔹 Donald Trump has announced new import tariffs that could raise U.S. trade duties to their highest level in over a century, and economists are sounding the alarm. They warn that these measures risk triggering a recession, increasing inflation, and significantly raising costs for American households.

Historic Tariff Hike: Highest Since 1910
Trump’s proposed policy introduces a 10% base tariff on all imports into the U.S., along with additional double-digit rates targeting key trade partners. The result? The average U.S. import tariff would jump to 22%, up from just 2.5% last year.
🔹 Olu Sonola of Fitch Ratings called the move a “game changer”, saying it could reshape not only the U.S. economy but global markets as well.
🔹 Simon French of Panmure Liberum added:

“The odds of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months have significantly increased due to last night’s decision.”

Markets React: Dollar Drops, Consumer Confidence Shakes
Financial markets reacted immediately. The U.S. dollar dropped by 1.7% against a basket of major global currencies, reflecting growing concern about the country's economic outlook.
Consumer confidence also took a hit:

🔹 The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell by 7.2 points to 92.9 in March, its lowest level since January 2021, when the country was still emerging from the pandemic.
🔹 Even more troubling, the expectations index, which reflects public outlook on income, job conditions, and business prospects, plunged to 65.2 — the lowest in 12 years, and well below the 80-point threshold that signals recession risk.

Prices Will Rise, Inflation May Surge, Households to Bear the Burden
The tariffs are expected to impact American households across the board.

🔹 James Knightley of ING estimates that the average American could face up to $1,350 in additional costs annually, depending on how much of the price increase is passed on by businesses.
🔹 During Trump’s 2018 tariff wave, it was shown that about 60% of a 20% duty on imported washing machines was ultimately paid by consumers — and this time, the scope is even broader.

Unemployment May Rise, GDP Could Shrink
🔹 Marc Giannoni of Barclays predicts that core inflation will likely exceed 4% this year, while real GDP is expected to contract. He also warns of rising unemployment.
🔹 His forecast shows unemployment hitting 4.6% by Q4 2025, marking a shift that aligns with a recession scenario.

Markets Are Pricing in a Downturn
🔹 Paul Donovan of UBS emphasized that markets are already adjusting to the possibility of a recession.

He stated:

“If there’s no retreat, markets will price in a U.S. recession. If there is a retreat, markets will assume U.S. growth will weaken regardless.”

Summary: Risky Economic Gamble With Global Consequences
Trump’s new trade agenda — branded as a “Liberation Day” — could have serious consequences for ordinary Americans and the global economy. Rising inflation, a falling dollar, crumbling consumer confidence, and the threat of pushing the U.S. back into recession all suggest this move is seen as a high-risk economic experiment.

#TrumpTariffs , #TRUMP , #CryptoNewsCommunity , #USGovernment , #Liberationday

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,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

While the global financial market is shaken by new tariff policies from President Trump, billionaire Ray Dalio – founder of the world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates – has warned: “This is not just a short-term shock, but a sign of the unraveling of the global order as we once knew it.”

Behind the wave of tariffs: A comprehensive crisis?