LaiSuat

The likelihood of the FED (Federal Reserve of the United States) deciding to cut interest rates in July has increased to 22.7% after two FED Governors, Waller and Bowman, publicly supported this. This signals a shift in market perception regarding interest rate adjustments, which could influence the FED's decisions in upcoming meetings.

Additionally, the desire of many to hold the position of FED Chair may lead them to voice support for interest rate cuts. These individuals may hope that expressing this viewpoint will create a positive impression with President Trump, thereby increasing their chances of being nominated for this position in the future.

The chart mentioned shows the percentage probabilities of the following possibilities:
- Likelihood of interest rate cut (400-425 bps): 22.7%
- No change in interest rates (425-450 bps): 77.3%
- Increase in interest rates (above 450 bps): 0.0%

This indicates that the current market primarily predicts that interest rates will remain unchanged, but is also considering the possibility of a rate cut, especially in the context of pressure from FED Governors and changes in the economy.
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Thuan just took a nap and had the opportunity to catch up on some news.
Regarding the meeting of #FED , although the FED kept interest rates unchanged, the statements made were somewhat positive.
The FED Chair announced that they will slow down the quantitative tightening process starting on April 1. This means the FED will sell fewer bonds, helping to increase market liquidity.
The median forecast indicates a 0.5% rate cut by 2025.
The FED has sharply lowered its economic growth forecast for 2025.
The FED has also adjusted upward its inflation forecast for 2025.
FED Chair Jerome Powell stated that part of the inflation we are seeing is due to President Trump's tariffs.
President Trump is posting on Truth Social that the impact of the tariffs will gradually permeate the economy, and there will be additional tariffs on April 2. This means the FED has even more reason to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy.
It could be an image of the text stating 'Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING RATES as J.S.Tariffs start to transition (ease!) their way into the economy. Do the right thing. April 2nd is Liberation Day in America!!!'
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📌 The Fed decided to keep interest rates in the range of 4.25% - 4.5%.
This move reflects a cautious stance as the U.S. economy sends mixed signals and the risk of stagnation increases due to high inflation combined with weak growth.
The Fed also warned of risks from trade instability and stated it would continue to closely monitor economic developments.
#FED #LaiSuat