IranAlert

PEPE/USDT exhibits **strong bearish momentum** today (June 22, 2025), with prices down 8.41% to **$0.00000920** and a 17.31% weekly decline. Technical indicators confirm dominant selling pressure, though oversold conditions may enable short-term scalps. Critical support at **$0.00000905** must hold to prevent further drops toward $0.00000850. Market-wide crypto weakness and panic selling amplify downside risks . 📊 **1. Technical Analysis: Bearish Dominance with Oversold Bounces**
#### **Indicators & Patterns**
- **Oscillators**: RSI near 30 signals temporary oversold conditions, but MACD maintains a **bearish crossover**, indicating sustained downward momentum .
- **Moving Averages**: All key EMAs (20, 50, 200) align in a bearish structure, with price trading 26% below the 50-day EMA .
- **Price Levels**:
- **Strong Support**: $0.00000905 (24-hour low). A daily close below this risks a 15% plunge to $0.00000850 .
- **Minor Support**: $0.00000920 (current consolidation zone).
- **Minor Resistance**: $0.00000980 (intraday recovery cap).
- **Strong Resistance**: $0.00001005 (24-hour high). A breakout above this is needed for bullish reversal .

#### **Trend Structure**
Lower highs/lows confirm **downtrend acceleration**. A sustained close above $0.00000980 could trigger a short-term rebound toward $0.00001050 .

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### 🌐 **2. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals**
- **Capitulation Signs**: Trading volume hit $766M despite the 8.41% price drop, reflecting panic selling. Derivatives data shows long liquidations dominating ($2.28M vs. $486K shorts) .
- **Macro Pressure**: Bitcoin’s drop below $104,000 and Ethereum’s 4% decline exacerbate altcoin weakness. CryptoQuant warns BTC could retest $92K if demand weakens further .
- **Investor Sentiment**: 0% of Bitget poll voters expect PEPE gains today, indicating extreme pessimism .

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### ⚖️ **3. Volume & Liquidity Analysis**
- **High Liquidity**: $766M 24-hour volume enables tight spreads (0.01% on Binance), favoring scalping. However, sell-offs show 3x higher volume than bounces, confirming bearish conviction .
- **Whale Activity**: Large transactions (>$100K) surged 30% monthly, suggesting whales are exiting—a bearish catalyst .

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### 🌍 **4. Macro Catalysts to Monitor**
- **Fed Policy**: Potential rate cuts hinted by Governor Waller could boost crypto markets later this week .
- **Regulatory Shifts**: U.S. bipartisan stablecoin bills may enhance crypto credibility, indirectly aiding memecoins .
- **Bitcoin Correlation**: PEPE’s -18.48% annual underperformance vs. BTC highlights its high-risk profile .

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### ⚡ **5. Trade Strategy: Cautious Scalping Approach**
#### **Bearish Scenario (70% Probability)**
- **Entry**: $0.00000930–$0.00000940 (test of minor resistance).
- **Stop-Loss**: $0.00000985 (above 24h high).
- **Take-Profit**: $0.00000905 (initial) → $0.00000850 (secondary).
- **Leverage**: ≤5x to manage volatility .

#### **Bullish Reversal Setup (30% Probability)**
- **Trigger**: 1-hour close above $0.00000980 with rising volume.
- **Target**: $0.00001020 (initial) → $0.00001050 (6% upside).
- **Stop-Loss**: $0.00000955 .

#### **Trade Parameters Summary**
- **Short Swing Strategy**:
- Entry: $0.00000930
- Targets: $0.00000905 → $0.00000850
- Stop-Loss: $0.00000985
- Leverage: 5x
- **Long Scalp Strategy**:
- Entry: Above $0.00000980
- Targets: $0.00001020 → $0.00001050
- Stop-Loss: $0.00000955
- Leverage: 4x .

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### 🛡️ **6. Risk Management Essentials**
- **Position Sizing**: Allocate 2–5% of capital per trade. PEPE’s 3.83% daily volatility enables 10%+ swings .
- **Emotional Control**: Use TradingView’s RSI/MACD alerts to avoid FOMO entries during oversold bounces .
- **Hedging**: Pair PEPE shorts with BTC longs to offset systemic risk .

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### 💎 **Conclusion: Prioritize Capital Preservation**
PEPE/USDT futures require **defensive trading** today. The technical structure favors short positions targeting $0.00000905–$0.00000850, with tight stops above $0.00000980. Long scalps need volume-backed confirmation above $0.00000980. Monitor Bitcoin’s $104,000 level and Fed commentary for market-wide direction .

> *"In memecoin volatility, discipline is the only edge. Trade the chart, not the frog."*
> — Adapted from TradingView whale insight .

*Disclaimer: This analysis targets Binance futures traders. PEPE’s memecoin status implies extreme risk—apply strict stop-losses. Verify real-time data before execution.*
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#IranAlert

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