Informational

🔴 Here are the most important developments:

⬅️ A look at global market reactions to the US-EU trade agreement

• The S&P 500 index hit a new record high during yesterday's session

• European indices rise today after yesterday's declines. The euro declines after a trade agreement favoring the US. France describes the agreement as "a dark day for Europe!"

• Trump intends to impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 20% on countries that reject trade agreements.

• The pound falls to a two-month low: $1.3331

• The US consumer confidence and job openings data for June will be released this afternoon.

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🔴 US President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a remote speech on Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland

⬅️ This will be his first time addressing world business and political leaders since his inauguration as president for a second term

◾️According to the forum's schedule, Trump is expected to deliver his speech at 11 a.m. ET (1600 GMT)

◾️Trump moved quickly after his inauguration to reduce immigration and increase domestic energy production, and threatened to impose tariffs on the European Union, China, Mexico and Canada

◾️Trump decided to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization and the Paris climate agreement

◾️He also announced plans to change the name of the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and threatened to reclaim the Panama Canal

◾️In a controversial move, he pardoned more than 1,500 of his supporters who attacked the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

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⭕ Moody's downgraded the long-term credit ratings of major US banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo, following its decision to downgrade the US sovereign rating due to the national debt rising to $36 trillion.

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Could the bond bear market persist for years?

The 10-year note yield, in a secular downtrend since the 1980s, bottomed at 0.32% in 2020 before soaring 470 basis points to 5.02% in 2023 due to high inflation. Yields are nearing 5% again as inflation rebounds and the labor market stays strong.

If inflation remains high, yields could rise to 6%, driving significant shifts in market dynamics and borrowing costs. The key question: Can markets handle prolonged higher yields?

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⭕ Urgent | Elon Musk: X platform is under cyber attack.

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🔴 Elon Musk donates $108 million worth of Tesla stock to charity as part of his year-end tax planning.

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🔴 Fitch Ratings on US Inflation: We still expect the Fed to slowly lower interest rates towards neutrality next year.

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🚨📉Urgent:

⬅️ US inflation data shows a significant drop in the core rate, reaching its lowest level in four years.

⬅️ This decline could reshape expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy, which could significantly impact financial markets.

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🔴 Goldman Sachs: Tightening US and UK sanctions on Russian oil could push Brent above $85.

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⚠️ The US stock market has become a place for gambling 🇺🇸 :

• Daily options volume in the US reached a record level of about 53,000 according to its 30-day moving average.

• High-risk options that expire the same day (0DTE) accounted for about 55% of total options volume.

🔥 Market speculation has never been this big.

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🔴 [Quick Facts] :

1. Canada’s plan to counter tariffs will target American aluminum and steel.

2. US says Gaza ceasefire will start as planned despite ‘unsettled end’.

3. French PM survives no-confidence vote.

4. Monetary policy easing seen as appropriate if underlying outlook borne out.

5. US mortgage rates rise to 7.04%, highest in eight months.

6. European Central Bank officials see further easing as appropriate if baseline holds.

7. US retail sales rise broadly, marking strong end to holiday season.

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🔴 Gold fell to its lowest level in a week after the US Court of International Trade's decision to overturn President Donald Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" tariffs on countries around the world, boosting investors' risk appetite.

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🌎 [Quick Facts]:

1. Syrian PM agrees to transfer power to opposition forces.

2. Trudeau vows to retaliate if Trump imposes 25% tariffs.

3. US may remove Syria’s Hayat Tahrir al-Sham from terror list.

4. Tariff concerns prompt early spending by consumers.
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🔴 [Quick Facts] :

1. US announces new sanctions on Russian energy sector.

2. Yoon Suk-yeol won’t attend first impeachment hearing.

3. Fed’s Goolsbee says jobs data shows labor market stabilizing.

4. Canada adds most jobs in two years in December.

5. US labor market remains strong, paving way for slower rate cuts.

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🌎 [Quick Facts] :

1. The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects net crude oil imports to fall 20% in 2025.

2. The U.S. Treasury Department announces a $20 billion loan to Ukraine.

3. European countries halt asylum applications for Syrians after the fall of Assad.

4. Janet Yellen says raising tariffs could exacerbate inflationary pressures.

5. Japanese manufacturers’ mood deteriorated further in December.

6. South Korea’s opposition passes a reduced budget without government approval.

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🟡 Saudi Arabia's gold bullion and coin purchases rise for fourth year in a row in 2024 to reach 15.4 tons, up nearly 9% from 2023, according to the World Gold Council.

📊 Saudi Arabia's gold bullion and coin purchases increased by about 20% year-on-year in the last quarter of 2024 to reach 4.3 tons.

📊 Saudi Arabia is buying gold in large quantities.

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🏛 JPMorgan expects lower US economic growth in 2025.. 🇺🇸

⬅️ JPMorgan lowered its forecast for US economic growth in 2025, expecting growth to slow from 2.6% to 1.9%, amid escalating economic challenges and uncertainty about fiscal policies. The bank explained that the most prominent factors that will negatively impact the pace of economic growth are the imposition of new US tariffs.

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🏛 Bank of America warns of a bubble in the American stock exchanges similar to "dot-com".

📌 The bank warns of a decline of up to 40% in the most important American index measuring the performance of the 500 largest American companies, the S&P 500.

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⭕ The dollar jumped and government bonds fell amid a breakthrough in US-China trade talks.

- The United States and China agreed to temporarily reduce tariffs for 90 days.

- The dollar strength index rose 0.5%, while the Japanese yen, a traditional safe haven, fell.

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