🔹 Macro
📉 U.S. inflation came in below expectations, but the Fed still wants more confirmation before cutting rates
🟢🟢 (Strong bullish signal – soft inflation raises hopes for rate cuts)
• 🛢️ Oil surges amid Iran escalation and supply threats
🔴 (Bearish – geopolitical tension and inflationary pressure)
🔹 Crypto Developments
• 🇨🇳 U.S. and China close to a trade deal — positive for global markets
🟢 (Bullish – macro optimism extends to crypto)
• 🇯🇵 SBI invests $50M in Circle
⚪️ (Neutral – strategic move, limited immediate impact)
• 🇺🇸 “Genius Act” proposes legal protection for crypto holders in bank failures
🟢 (Bullish – regulatory clarity momentum)
🔹 Exchanges & Funds
• 📈 Bybit says Circle IPO could trigger listing boom
⚪️ (Neutral – speculative optimism)
• 🛑 Binance halts XRP withdrawals
🔴🔴 (Strong bearish – negative for XRP trust and liquidity)
• 💼 MEXC launches $100M insurance fund
⚪️ (Neutral – constructive but not market-moving)
🔹 Coins
• ⚡ BTC stable around $109,000 after recent breakout
🟢 (Mildly bullish – confirms resilience)
• 🚀 HYPE remains in spotlight after +78% in May
⚪️ (Neutral – meme token, limited strategic impact)
• 💼 DOGE backed by new ETF filing from 21Shares
⚪️ (Neutral – needs confirmation)
• 🔄 ETH overtakes BTC in derivatives activity
⚪️ (Neutral – interesting stat, unclear market effect)
🔹 Sentiment & Capital Flows
• 🧊 “Crypto winter is over”? – Saylor and Bitwise predict long-term rally
🔴 (Bearish contrarian – exuberance can trigger local tops)
• 🟢 Fear & Greed Index remains moderately optimistic (55)
⚪️ (Neutral – no change in positioning)
🧭 Final Market Signal: Neutral with bullish tilt
BTC is holding gains near $109K, but broader movement hinges on Fed clarity and risk sentiment. Expect breakout potential post-FOMC, but until then, consolidation likely.
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