The lowest point of the recent market is around 91,000. If 102,500 does not break the shorts, then in the future, making a T basically achieves the purpose of breaking even. Therefore, there is no meaning in pushing up the market now.
The CPI annual rate will be announced on the 12th at 9:30 PM. Given the past market trends:
On October 10, 2024, after the CPI is announced, the market surged to 61,300 and then plummeted to 58,900, followed by an upward trend, marking the start of the October cycle.
On January 13, 2025, after the plummet to 89,250, it surged significantly to 97,300, and then on the 15th, the CPI annual rate announcement provided fuel, creating a secondary thrust like a rocket.
This is a typical market trend following the release of data.
The CPI annual rate is an important indicator for measuring inflation. Furthermore, regarding the internal strife of American forces, Trump requested the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates but was refused. If the CPI annual rate data is lower than expected, will Trump use this to pressure again? Will the Federal Reserve ultimately compromise and lower interest rates in advance?
Regardless, with the February cycle starting, the market trend must show an upward trend. As for whether it will break new highs and enter a bull market, the CPI annual rate plays a very important role as a catalyst.
#CPI年率