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12.10 Wednesday Gold Evening

From the short-term gold price chart, the price has begun a one-sided downward trend from the high point of 4209.40. During this period, the moving average system presents a typical bearish arrangement, with short-term, medium-term, and long-term moving averages diverging downwards simultaneously, becoming a significant resistance to price upward movement, reflecting that bearish momentum occupies an absolute dominant position in the short term.

During the price decline, there were multiple attempts to rebound, but all were quickly suppressed by the moving averages, leading to a rapid decline, with the low continuously probing down to 4187.84. Although there was a slight rebound to 4194.80 afterwards, this rebound was merely a technical correction after a short-term oversell and did not change the overall downward trend. On one hand, the price has never managed to stay above the moving average system, and the rebound strength is weak; on the other hand, trading volume has not shown a significant decrease during the decline.

Operational Suggestions

Range 4200-4250, defend 4237, target 4190, 4175#黄金

Good evening! Today's gold market has been relatively stable with no major surprises. During the midday, a long strategy was suggested in the range of 4200-4202, precisely hitting the low point for a bottom buy, after which the gold price rose to around 4214 but faced resistance and fell back. Subsequently, the significant drop in silver dragged down the gold price, which broke the key support at 4200. The hourly chart shows a bearish engulfing pattern, and the Bollinger Bands maintain a flat and oscillating pattern.

This evening, the market continues to oscillate at low levels, which is very unfavorable for a bullish counterattack. The upcoming US market and Federal Reserve meeting will serve as a core barometer for determining the direction of bulls and bears. It is expected that the market will continue to consolidate before the meeting, waiting for a breakthrough in direction.

Regarding positions, for those currently holding long positions at 4202 and additional long positions at 4195, it is recommended to adjust the target to around 4210. Today's market high has slightly moved down, and whether a new intraday high can be refreshed depends on the hawkish or dovish tendencies of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Lastly, a reminder to everyone: the current market is becoming more variable, it is advisable to observe more and operate less, and there is no need to rush for short-term gains. Be patient and wait for clear signals before taking action! Any new operational adjustments will be promptly notified in the blog ~#黄金

12.10 Wednesday Gold Morning

Gold opened with a continued oscillation trend. After a pullback during Tuesday's Asian session, it rebounded from the bottom, stabilizing above the support level of 4211. The short-term oscillation structure remains slightly bullish. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the interest rate cut expectations, and the low bullish strategy remains unchanged.

Operation Suggestions

Gradually build long positions in the 4210-4215 range, with a stop loss below 4200 and a target looking at 4230-4245. If it breaks, hold on to the trend. #黄金

On the evening of December 10, there is considerable bearish logic for gold, influenced by fundamental negative factors related to Federal Reserve policy and technical signals indicating pressure and a pullback. The specific analysis is as follows:

1. Hawkish negative factors hidden in policy: Although the market has already highly priced in a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, the probability of a "hawkish rate cut" is extremely high. The U.S. labor market is robust, with job vacancies in October far exceeding expectations, showing strong economic resilience. Powell is likely to emphasize inflation risks after the meeting, setting a higher threshold for subsequent easing, which will weaken the low-interest rate support logic for gold. Additionally, the uncertainty of the policies from the popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, Hassett, raises concerns among Wall Street investors that his aggressive rate-cutting stance may lead to policy turmoil, prompting some investors to take profits. The net long positions of COMEX gold speculators have seen their first reduction after three consecutive weeks of increase.

2. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields suppress gold prices: Positive employment data from the U.S. has driven the dollar index to strengthen for two consecutive trading days, closing at 99.21 points, while the dollar has a negative correlation with gold. An appreciation of the dollar will weaken the attractiveness of gold priced in dollars. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields have reached a three-month high, increasing the competitiveness of interest-bearing assets like bonds, further squeezing the investment space for gold, which is a non-yielding asset, creating a dual pressure on gold prices.

3. Technical signals indicate a pullback: Gold prices have faced pressure multiple times around $4220, failing to effectively break through this resistance level. After quickly retreating from a high of $4260 last Friday, it formed an invalid upward pattern, with bears quickly reclaiming the rebound gains. The daily MACD red bars are shrinking, indicating weakened bullish momentum, while the 4-hour level has shown a divergence between volume and price. The Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, presenting an overall trend of difficulty in moving the center of gravity upward amid fluctuations. Once the key support level of $4200 is broken, there is a high probability of a drop to the $4180 - $4170 range. #黄金

《12.10 Financial Events and Their Relation to Gold: The Federal Reserve's Decision as a Core Variable, How Multiple Events Affect Gold Price Trends》
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1. China's November CPI Year-on-Year (09:30)

• If CPI is below expectations, the market may anticipate further easing of Chinese monetary policy, leading to a temporary decrease in the attractiveness of RMB assets, with funds possibly diverting to gold and other safe-haven assets, providing slight support for gold prices;

• If CPI exceeds expectations, the easing outlook may cool down, having a neutral impact on gold.

2. Speech by Bank of England Governor Bailey (18:45)

• If Bailey signals a continuation of the “rate hike cycle” or “delay in rate cuts,” a stronger pound may indirectly suppress the dollar, thereby supporting gold priced in dollars;

• If dovish signals indicating rate cuts are released, a weaker pound may boost the dollar, putting short-term pressure on gold.

3. U.S. Third Quarter Labor Cost Index Quarterly Rate (21:30)

• This data is a “lagging indicator of inflation” that the Federal Reserve is concerned about: if the data is higher than expected, it means the risk of a wage-inflation spiral has not mitigated, and the market will lower its expectations for Fed rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and negatively impacting gold;

• If the data is lower than expected, expectations for rate cuts will strengthen, putting pressure on the dollar and benefiting gold.

4. Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision (22:45)

• The Bank of Canada's policy tone will affect the dollar: if it remains hawkish, a stronger Canadian dollar → a weaker dollar, supporting gold;

• If dovish signals are released, a weaker Canadian dollar → a stronger dollar, suppressing gold.

5. EIA Crude Oil Inventory Data (23:30)

• Crude oil is a “leading indicator of inflation”: if inventories increase more than expected → oil prices fall → inflation expectations cool → Fed rate cut expectations rise → benefiting gold;

• If inventories decrease more than expected → oil prices rise → inflation expectations heat up → rate cut expectations cool → negatively impacting gold.

6. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision + Powell's Speech (Next Day 03:00/03:30)

• Core impact events:

◦ If the Federal Reserve announces a rate cut + policy statement is dovish, the dollar index will significantly weaken, leading to strong bullish momentum for gold, directly breaking through short-term resistance;

◦ If there is a rate cut but the statement is hawkish, the market will adjust rate cut expectations, and gold may rise initially before falling;

◦ If the rate is maintained, gold will quickly correct due to “failed rate cut expectations,” but after the correction, it will receive support from “the overarching trend towards policy easing remaining unchanged.” #黄金

Dear friends, tonight is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and the market is holding its breath in anticipation. We didn't waste the daytime market—this morning we successfully executed our plan. As we mentioned this morning, it's hard to have a strong one-sided market before the data.

Currently, the gold 4-hour chart is still in a large range fluctuation. Tonight, the Federal Reserve is very likely to cut interest rates, but how the market reacts will depend on the specific wording and dot plot. The key support below is at the 4160 area; if it pulls back to here, we can still consider going long. The upper level must effectively break through 4265 for upward space to open, and if that's the case, we can expect to see 4300-4320.

The battle between bulls and bears is happening tonight, and we will soon see who comes out on top. The market changes rapidly, so we stick to the old rule—plan the trade, trade the plan.

Evening trading idea:

· Consider going long near 4190 on gold pullbacks, with a stop at 4180 and a target looking toward 4250-4260. #黄金

Gold is still around 4200, fluctuating in a range. Be cautious in controlling the exit timing, and patiently wait for the evening's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. #黄金

#黄金 12.10 Midday Gold Strategy

Currently, gold is in a stage of "geopolitical risk support + technical adjustment nearing the end": global geopolitical tensions are escalating, providing core safe-haven support for gold. The market's cautious attitude towards risk assets continues to enhance the attractiveness of gold allocation, which is the core driver for potential upward movement;
Although the daily level touched 4250 and then slightly retreated, the adjustment range is controllable, and it has not broken through the key support zone. The short-term moving averages running horizontally are actually a signal of accumulation, not a sign of weakening trend;
The MACD momentum is reducing but has not entered the deep negative value zone. After the price on the hourly chart retraces, it gradually stabilizes, and the support during the pullback strengthens, which is a characteristic of bullish accumulation after adjustment.

Operational Suggestions: Buy on the pullback support, lightly buy around 4200-4202
Stop Loss: 4195
Target: 4208, 4212
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Wednesday, October 12th Golden Lunch

The short-term gold market has completed a bottom reversal trend, and the bullish signals have been fully confirmed. Combining technical characteristics and key price levels, I will outline a precise layout strategy for you.

From the short-term K-line chart, it can be seen that after the price fell to the stage low of 4203.04, it quickly rebounded, forming a classic golden needle bottoming pattern, with strong support from buyers below. The 5/10/20 day moving averages have shifted from diverging downwards to converging and then forming a golden cross upwards. The 4206 level has formed strong support, and after the price broke through this level, it retraced without breaking it, validating the effectiveness of the breakout. During the rebound process, the bullish candles have increased in volume, while the bearish candles during the pullback have decreased in volume, indicating a healthy volume-price relationship. The bullish-dominated market pattern has been established.

Operation suggestion

Enter between 3990-3940, target at 4216, 4246#黄金

The Underlying Logic Behind the Surge in Gold Prices: It's Not Speculation, But a 'Hedge Consensus' of Global Capital

Gold prices have surged again! This wave of increase is fundamentally not short-term speculative trading, but rather a 'gold rush' driven by individuals, institutions, and central banks working together.

First, let's look at how aggressive the actions of Asian buyers are—domestically, there was a surge of 4.5 billion in funds entering the gold market in a single month, and Hong Kong tycoons have directly doubled the proportion of gold in their asset allocation to 15%. Against the backdrop of unresolved geopolitical situations and rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, both ordinary investors and high-net-worth individuals are treating gold as an asset 'ballast'.

What’s more critical is the increased investment from institutional funds: the holdings of gold ETFs increased at a staggering rate of 164% in the first three quarters, with total scale surpassing 230 billion, setting a historic record. It is important to note that large increases in ETF holdings are never blind following the trend; behind this is the precise judgment of professional funds regarding the trend of 'de-dollarization' and global liquidity easing.

On one hand, global buyers are collectively buying up gold, while on the other hand, the supply of gold itself is rigid. With this supply-demand pattern in place, the rise in gold prices is actually a natural outcome.

For us ordinary investors, whether to follow the trend to buy ETFs or to hoard physical gold, the core consideration should be our own risk tolerance and holding period. Chasing high in the short term can easily lead to pitfalls; a phased layout and pairing with other assets to hedge risks is a more prudent choice. #黄金

#黄金 Evening Gold Strategy on October 12

Currently, gold is in the stage of 'Asian session oscillation under pressure + speculation before the Federal Reserve's decision':
The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning, with a general expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut, but there is uncertainty in the 'hawkish rate cut' signal. Combined with a weak labor market and inflation above target, volatility will increase after the decision, and capital in the Asian session is cautious and observing;
Although the longer cycle continues to rise, the Asian session is constrained by the previous high of 4219, oscillating around 4213. The short-term upward pace is slowing, and it is in a consolidation phase before the decision;
The MACD on a larger cycle has a golden cross upwards, but the energy bars above the 0 axis are weakening. The moving average system on the hourly chart is turning downward, and the price has fallen below the short-term moving average. The bullish momentum is temporarily paused during the Asian session's oscillation and consolidation.

Operational Suggestions: Take short positions when rebounds meet resistance, lightly short near 4205-4208
Defense: 4213
Target: 4198, 4195
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#黄金 Gold Trading Practical Experience Summary

This material focuses on short-term gold trading, specifically designed for independent traders who are continuously losing money and lack professional guidance, outlining the core logic and practical methods. The essence of trading is not to rush for profits, but to first protect the principal, maintain a rational mindset, and avoid self-consumption from inconsistency between knowledge and action. A stable mindset is essential for making accurate decisions, and one must plan before acting to respond to market fluctuations.

There are three core techniques for short-term gold trading: first, strict control of capital management, with a single short-term position not exceeding 10% of total funds, and not opening more than one new position in a single day. Adding to positions must be rational, and profits should be promptly locked in; second, combining multi-timeframe candlestick charts, using daily charts to determine trend direction, prioritizing short positions in bearish markets and light long positions in bullish markets, and capturing precise entry and exit opportunities using hourly charts; third, trading with caution to avoid risks, refraining from blind and frequent operations, and choosing to wait during critical policy announcements such as Federal Reserve interest rate hikes or cuts until market sentiment stabilizes and trends become clear before entering the market.

In addition, one must avoid six high-risk operations that can lead to liquidation: heavy trading, stubbornly holding losing positions, lack of stop-loss habits, frequent trading, averaging down against the market, and blindly following trades. The trend of gold prices can be traced, and profits rely on scientific methods and professional understanding. Only by strictly adhering to rules and acting rationally can one steadily walk on the path to profitability.
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#黄金 12.10 Morning Gold Strategy

12.10 Morning Gold Strategy

Gold is currently in a stage of "initial trend reversal to bullish + pre-event driven fluctuations":
Daily level: After testing the bottom at 4170, it closed with a small bullish candle, stabilizing above the MA10 moving average, maintaining operation in the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, and the bullish momentum is initially established; the previous adjustments are nearing an end but not completely finished;
Hourly chart level: The Bollinger Bands and moving averages are synchronously diverging upwards, with prices firmly situated in the middle and upper band regions, strong rebound momentum, and continuously holding key support levels, which is the core basis for intraday long positions;
Event perspective: The core variables are the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 3 AM + Powell's speech, and the current market's 80% rate cut expectation has been partially priced in, so one must be cautious of "realization pullback of expectations" or "exceeding expectations leading to an increase" in bidirectional volatility.

Trading suggestion: Buy on dips and stabilize, light positions around 4210-4215
Defense: 4205
Target: 4220, 4225#加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

12.10 Gold Early Market Strategy: The Main Theme is to Buy on Dips

Gold opened today maintaining a fluctuating pattern. It rebounded from a bottom yesterday, showing a clear recovery trend. After dipping to around 4170, it surged to a high of 4221, indicating initial bullish momentum. The short-term resistance is seen in the range of 4225-4230. If the bulls continue to be strong and break through that position, it is likely to stabilize. The core resistance above is locked in the 4245-4250 area. Currently, all technical indicators show signs of rising. The core strategy is firmly based on buying on dips. Relying on the short-term support around 4190, enter long positions. If the market gives a range of 4165-4175, you can decisively add to your position. However, based on the current strong market performance, there may not be many opportunities to add positions.

From the 4-hour trend, the key resistance zone is 4245-4260, with 4225-4230 as the short-term suppression level; below, 4165-4175 is an important support range. The essence of technical fluctuations is energy accumulation and adjustment. A pullback is a good opportunity to buy, so patiently wait for key levels before taking action.

Long on dips at 4190-4195, add positions in the range of 4165-4175, stop loss at 4165, target first at 4225-430, and continue to hold after breaking through.

#黄金

12.10 Gold Midnight Strategy: Market Ends in Fluctuation Before Federal Reserve Decision, Low Long Strategy Takes Precedence

Today's gold strategy for buying at 4190-4195 has already perfectly realized profits! Friends who kept up with the rhythm and actual trading clients have smoothly taken profits at the 4201 line, securing their gains.

Currently, the market is entering a narrow range of fluctuations, which is a typical characteristic before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision - the calm before the storm often hides undercurrents. The core principle of midnight operations: do not hold positions overnight, take profits when seen, and never blindly chase orders; stability in fluctuating markets is the key.

From the 4-hour technical perspective, gold overall maintains a fluctuating upward pattern, and operations should continue to rely on support for buying on dips. The short-term resistance above is focused on the 4225-4230 range, with strong resistance locked at the critical area of 4245-4260; below, pay close attention to the 4165-4175 support zone, which is the key defensive position for bulls.

Specific Midnight Gold Operation Strategy
Directly buy at 4190-4195 on a pullback, if it dips to the 4165-4175 range, decisively add to positions, with a unified stop loss at 4157. The target is first to look at 4225-4230, and after a breakthrough, you can continue to hold for higher points.

Real-time position changes during trading will be notified as soon as possible, everyone should keep an eye on the signals and steadily grasp profits! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金 $BTC $ETH

12.10 Gold Morning Strategy: Buy on Dips as the Main Theme

Gold opened today maintaining a fluctuating pattern, with a clear rebound after hitting the bottom yesterday, rising to a high of 4221 after dipping to around 4170, indicating initial bullish momentum. Short-term pressure is seen in the 4225-4230 range, and if the bulls continue their strength, a breakthrough and stabilization at this position is expected, with core pressure above locked in the 4245-4250 area. Currently, all technical indicators show signs of an upward trend; the operation should firmly focus on buying on dips as the core strategy. Rely on the short-term support at around 4190 to enter long positions; if the market gives a range of 4165-4175, one can decisively add to positions. However, given the current strong performance of the market, the opportunity for adding positions may be limited.

From the 4-hour trend, the key resistance band is 4245-4260, with 4225-4230 being the short-term resistance level; below, 4165-4175 is the important support range. The essence of technical fluctuations is energy accumulation and adjustment; a pullback is a good opportunity to buy, so patiently wait for key levels before taking action.

Gold Trading Strategy:

Buy on dips at around 4190-4195, add positions in the 4165-4175 range, stop loss at 4165, and target the initial look at 4225-430, continue to hold after breaking through.

Real-time signals during the session will be synchronized for updates, please pay attention.
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12.10 Asian plate gold XAUUSD latest trend analysis 💙
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News:
The Federal Reserve's decision is hard to stop the bullish sentiment: interest rate cut expectations have been set at a floor, even if the Federal Reserve releases "hawkish signals" after this interest rate cut, it is difficult to reverse the overall trend towards easing, and the market's pricing for interest rate cuts in 2026 will not reverse, leaving limited room for gold price pullbacks. Geopolitical risks can ignite at any time: the situation in the Middle East, Houthi forces attacking Red Sea merchant ships, and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict make sudden risk events likely to trigger a surge in safe-haven buying, providing short-term upward momentum for the gold price.

Technical Analysis:
From the current market perspective, after the gold price retraces to the 4200 integer level, it quickly rebounds. The hourly chart forms a "W bottom" pattern, and the MACD golden cross is moving upwards, with increasing volume, indicating that short-term pullbacks have absorbed profit-taking pressure, and bulls are beginning to dominate the market. The levels of 4200 and 4170 constitute dual support, with very low risks of breaking down, providing a sufficient safety margin for bullish positioning.

Trading Suggestions:
When the big yellow reaches around 4203-4195, go long ⬆️
🎯 Target expected: around 4225-4215

The content is practical, keep an eye on the levels and don’t hesitate. For friends who are unsure, quickly pay attention and feel free to ask Sister Fei #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场反弹 #黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察

The Reserve Bank of Australia leans hawkish: Policies have room to maneuver, asset differentiation shows volatility

On December 9, RBA Governor Philip Lowe released hawkish signals during a press conference, becoming a key variable in the market that day: his core statement focused on "inflation risks"—clearly indicating that current inflation pressures are biased upwards. Although the meeting did not formally discuss interest rate hike or cut options, it did mention the "possibility of tightening policies" and pointed out that "if inflation remains high, an interest rate hike will be considered"; he also emphasized that the policy framework is "data-driven + decisions made in consecutive meetings," without providing a clear timetable for interest rate hikes.

This statement has a differentiated impact on different assets:
For gold and silver, the short-term logic is "increased expectations of interest rate hikes → passive strengthening of the dollar → pressure on non-USD assets," but since Lowe did not anchor the timing of interest rate hikes, the hawkish tone leaves enough buffer space. Gold and silver are unlikely to experience a one-sided decline and will most likely maintain a high level of volatility. Subsequent tracking of the RBA's focus on "inflation data (CPI)" and "employment data (unemployment rate, new jobs)" is essential, as these two indicators will directly determine the strength of the policy hawkishness.

For crude oil, the impact of policy is relatively minor: although a stronger dollar slightly suppresses crude oil priced in dollars, the core pricing logic of crude oil still anchors on supply and demand—factors like Iraq's plan to increase crude oil production and supply disruptions in the Black Sea (geopolitical risks) dominate the market. The policy will only amplify short-term fluctuations and will not change the "supply-demand-driven volatility pattern."

Essentially, this hawkish stance by the RBA is not a "strong tightening signal," but rather a combination of "inflation warning + policy flexibility": it responds to high inflation risks while avoiding excessive tightening expectations in the market. Reflected in the asset side, it means "no one-sided trend, with localized volatility"—gold and silver need to await data to clarify policy direction, while crude oil continues to revolve around supply and demand games, all within a "waiting for new variables" volatility cycle. #黄金 #原油 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐

12.9 Tuesday Gold Lunch

The long position from the morning has successfully exited with profits, and the price in the afternoon has plunged back to the 4174 level. This drop is not an extension of a bearish trend, but a typical false breakdown washout action, which clears floating chips through a deep pullback, paving the way for subsequent upward movement. Such tactics are extremely common in the early stages of trend reversals.

From a technical perspective, the 4174 area is close to the previous bottom support level, with strong buying momentum. After a quick drop, the price did not exhibit a sustained break, but instead showed signs of stabilization, with short-term rebound momentum quietly accumulating. Combined with the moving average system and changes in trading volume, the current position is an excellent point for bullish layout, and the upside potential has been fully opened.

Current price operation suggestion: Buy directly at 4176, with a stop loss below 4168, aiming firmly for 4230, with no need for repeated profit-taking along the way, holding the position to await the target to be realized. #黄金