黄金
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$Spot gold fell 2.00% intraday, currently reported at $3222.44 per ounce, possibly due to the following reasons:
Macroeconomic and Policy Factors
- Easing Trade Tensions: The trade tensions are expected to further ease, leading to a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets. Previously, during trade frictions, gold was favored due to its safe-haven attributes, causing prices to rise. However, after the Trump administration signaled on April 30 that it would announce the first batch of trade agreements and reduce tariffs on major trading partners, market expectations for an escalation of the “trade war” reversed, leading institutional investors to sell off gold, resulting in a price decline. For instance, the U.S. Treasury Secretary hinted at a significant reduction in tariffs on China, resonating with the U.S. Fed's April core PCE price index data, which weakened the inflation-hedging logic of gold.
- Shift in Fed Policy Expectations: The April PCE data exceeded expectations (core inflation at 2.6% year-on-year), disrupting the market's prior consensus on the Fed's rate cut timeline in June. U.S. Treasury yields surged, and the dollar index rebounded strongly. A high-interest rate environment increased the opportunity cost of holding gold, leading speculative funds to accelerate their exit. Additionally, the expectation of a slowdown in the Fed's balance sheet reduction did not materialize, leading to a decrease in the probability of a rate cut in June and a rise in expectations for a cut in September, which also impacted the gold market.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices fell below the key support level of $3250, triggering systemic risks. The daily MACD indicator formed a death cross, the KDJ indicator entered the oversold zone, and the RSI indicator quickly fell from the overbought range, indicating that bearish forces are dominant. At the same time, non-commercial net long positions in COMEX gold decreased, and speculative short positions were released, exacerbating market panic and triggering more sell-offs.
Geopolitical Factors
New developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On May 1, local time in Ukraine, related individuals revealed that based on an agreement between the Ukrainian and U.S. presidents, the “U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund Agreement” was signed. Russia has also repeatedly signaled its willingness to negotiate directly with Ukraine. The easing of geopolitical tensions reduced the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Moreover, changes in market sentiment may also influence investor behavior, prompting them to sell gold and push prices down. #黄金
Macroeconomic and Policy Factors
- Easing Trade Tensions: The trade tensions are expected to further ease, leading to a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets. Previously, during trade frictions, gold was favored due to its safe-haven attributes, causing prices to rise. However, after the Trump administration signaled on April 30 that it would announce the first batch of trade agreements and reduce tariffs on major trading partners, market expectations for an escalation of the “trade war” reversed, leading institutional investors to sell off gold, resulting in a price decline. For instance, the U.S. Treasury Secretary hinted at a significant reduction in tariffs on China, resonating with the U.S. Fed's April core PCE price index data, which weakened the inflation-hedging logic of gold.
- Shift in Fed Policy Expectations: The April PCE data exceeded expectations (core inflation at 2.6% year-on-year), disrupting the market's prior consensus on the Fed's rate cut timeline in June. U.S. Treasury yields surged, and the dollar index rebounded strongly. A high-interest rate environment increased the opportunity cost of holding gold, leading speculative funds to accelerate their exit. Additionally, the expectation of a slowdown in the Fed's balance sheet reduction did not materialize, leading to a decrease in the probability of a rate cut in June and a rise in expectations for a cut in September, which also impacted the gold market.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices fell below the key support level of $3250, triggering systemic risks. The daily MACD indicator formed a death cross, the KDJ indicator entered the oversold zone, and the RSI indicator quickly fell from the overbought range, indicating that bearish forces are dominant. At the same time, non-commercial net long positions in COMEX gold decreased, and speculative short positions were released, exacerbating market panic and triggering more sell-offs.
Geopolitical Factors
New developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On May 1, local time in Ukraine, related individuals revealed that based on an agreement between the Ukrainian and U.S. presidents, the “U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund Agreement” was signed. Russia has also repeatedly signaled its willingness to negotiate directly with Ukraine. The easing of geopolitical tensions reduced the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Moreover, changes in market sentiment may also influence investor behavior, prompting them to sell gold and push prices down. #黄金
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Let's share some gold with everyone. The market is generally still fluctuating widely in the 3370-3260 range. The 3260 area below has previously been tested twice without breaking through, becoming a key resistance for the market's decline. #黄金
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In the current global economic situation, where changes are rapid and unpredictable, the gold market is experiencing unprecedented heat. The trade war initiated by Trump, along with his threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Powell, are like two boulders thrown into the lake of the economy, creating ripples upon ripples. These unstable factors have greatly shaken people's confidence in the dollar, leading to international gold prices successfully breaking through the $3,500 per ounce mark last week, setting a new historical record.
Since entering 2025, the financial markets have been turbulent, with significant declines in the stock and bond markets, causing heavy losses for many investors. However, gold has demonstrated its unique safe-haven properties, with prices climbing steadily, becoming the 'safe harbor' in the investment field. This counter-trend rise in a complex economic environment has once again made gold the focus of global investors' attention.
Famous investor Paulson made a bold and eye-catching decision during this gold rush. He not only did not cash out when gold prices rose but instead doubled down, investing $800 million to purchase a substantial stake in a remote gold mine in the rugged regions of southwestern Alaska. Paulson provided a detailed explanation for his investment, citing a series of potential economic risks ranging from inflation to government asset seizures. He emphasized: 'Throughout the long course of history, only one physical reserve has consistently protected investors from all these potential risks, and that is gold.'
The value of gold has been recognized by humanity for thousands of years. As early as ancient Egypt, gold was regarded as a treasure of unmatched value, with King Tutankhamun buried in a golden mask, hoping to enjoy the glory and protection that gold brings in the afterlife. Throughout the long history of human economic development, gold has long been the cornerstone of the monetary system, supporting the stable operation of the global economy. Although Nixon severed the link between the dollar and gold in 1971, changing the international monetary landscape, even today, tons of gold are still stored in Fort Knox and the reserves of central banks around the world, serving as an important guarantee of national wealth and economic stability. #黄金
Since entering 2025, the financial markets have been turbulent, with significant declines in the stock and bond markets, causing heavy losses for many investors. However, gold has demonstrated its unique safe-haven properties, with prices climbing steadily, becoming the 'safe harbor' in the investment field. This counter-trend rise in a complex economic environment has once again made gold the focus of global investors' attention.
Famous investor Paulson made a bold and eye-catching decision during this gold rush. He not only did not cash out when gold prices rose but instead doubled down, investing $800 million to purchase a substantial stake in a remote gold mine in the rugged regions of southwestern Alaska. Paulson provided a detailed explanation for his investment, citing a series of potential economic risks ranging from inflation to government asset seizures. He emphasized: 'Throughout the long course of history, only one physical reserve has consistently protected investors from all these potential risks, and that is gold.'
The value of gold has been recognized by humanity for thousands of years. As early as ancient Egypt, gold was regarded as a treasure of unmatched value, with King Tutankhamun buried in a golden mask, hoping to enjoy the glory and protection that gold brings in the afterlife. Throughout the long history of human economic development, gold has long been the cornerstone of the monetary system, supporting the stable operation of the global economy. Although Nixon severed the link between the dollar and gold in 1971, changing the international monetary landscape, even today, tons of gold are still stored in Fort Knox and the reserves of central banks around the world, serving as an important guarantee of national wealth and economic stability. #黄金
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When the financial order collapses, only gold, Bitcoin (BTC), and XRP can support your future.
When the world reaches a critical point, we must ask ourselves a cruel question: Do the assets in our hands still hold value?
As financial hegemony, geopolitical conflicts, and technological transformations intertwine into a massive storm, gold, Bitcoin, and XRP—these three seemingly unrelated assets are quietly weaving a survival baseline for the future.
Those who ignore this undercurrent will become the casualties in the next great reshuffle.
Gold: The emperor of the past five thousand years, but can it still guard the future?
Gold is the oldest symbol of value in the history of civilization. No matter how empires rise and fall, or currencies collapse, gold always shines with an immortal light amid the ruins.
As financial hegemony, geopolitical conflicts, and technological transformations intertwine into a massive storm, gold, Bitcoin, and XRP—these three seemingly unrelated assets are quietly weaving a survival baseline for the future.
Those who ignore this undercurrent will become the casualties in the next great reshuffle.
Gold: The emperor of the past five thousand years, but can it still guard the future?
Gold is the oldest symbol of value in the history of civilization. No matter how empires rise and fall, or currencies collapse, gold always shines with an immortal light amid the ruins.
生為炒幣人死為炒幣魂:
Xrp真垃圾
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Is Bitcoin Becoming the 'Digital Fort Knox'? The Ambition of America's New Financial Order is Reshaping the Global Landscape
When the U.S. government places Bitcoin on the national strategic table and even envisions it as a 'gold reserve for the digital age'—do you still think crypto assets are merely speculative tools?
When the pendulum of history swings back toward 'crisis', many pieces hidden behind geopolitical games are surfacing. In April 2025, a seemingly 'sudden' policy from the U.S. government reveals the tip of the iceberg in the reshuffling of the global financial order. Since Trump returned to the White House, the U.S. has operated its foreign trade and financial system with increasing strategic intent, no longer merely a bargaining chip for short-term negotiations but more like preparatory actions for building a 'new world order'. Among these, the most eye-catching is that Bitcoin and gold are simultaneously regarded as the 'dual anchor assets' of the dollar.
When the pendulum of history swings back toward 'crisis', many pieces hidden behind geopolitical games are surfacing. In April 2025, a seemingly 'sudden' policy from the U.S. government reveals the tip of the iceberg in the reshuffling of the global financial order. Since Trump returned to the White House, the U.S. has operated its foreign trade and financial system with increasing strategic intent, no longer merely a bargaining chip for short-term negotiations but more like preparatory actions for building a 'new world order'. Among these, the most eye-catching is that Bitcoin and gold are simultaneously regarded as the 'dual anchor assets' of the dollar.
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The biggest regret in my life is that I bought too little Bitcoin when it was $3000...
One of my biggest regrets in life is that I bought too little Bitcoin when it was $3000. I chose gold instead. This is how it was: ten years ago, when I was still a college student and didn't have much money to invest, I heard about Bitcoin in the news. At that time, in Taiwan, you could directly purchase Bitcoin at FamilyMart convenience stores. Back then, one Bitcoin was $300, and with my monthly salary from part-time work, after deducting living expenses, I could afford to buy about one. However, after some hesitation, I chose to spend 50,000 Taiwan dollars on gold instead. At that time, one ounce of gold was $1300. By 2017, Bitcoin had already risen to $3000, but I still planned to use the majority of my hard-earned money to buy gold and a small amount of Bitcoin. Later, Bitcoin surged again in 2018 to $15,000 and then fluctuated between $3000 and $10,000. I thought this was a good buying point, so I bought a little bit eight years ago, but it was very little, less than 0.1 Bitcoin. Now Bitcoin is $90,000, which is about a 36-fold increase. If I had used all the money I spent on gold to buy Bitcoin back then, I would have been financially free by now. However, gold has only increased by less than 3 times in eight years. Sometimes, in life, making the right choice is truly more important than hard work.
#比特币 #比特幣走勢分析 #加密货币 #黄金 #加密市场反弹
One of my biggest regrets in life is that I bought too little Bitcoin when it was $3000. I chose gold instead. This is how it was: ten years ago, when I was still a college student and didn't have much money to invest, I heard about Bitcoin in the news. At that time, in Taiwan, you could directly purchase Bitcoin at FamilyMart convenience stores. Back then, one Bitcoin was $300, and with my monthly salary from part-time work, after deducting living expenses, I could afford to buy about one. However, after some hesitation, I chose to spend 50,000 Taiwan dollars on gold instead. At that time, one ounce of gold was $1300. By 2017, Bitcoin had already risen to $3000, but I still planned to use the majority of my hard-earned money to buy gold and a small amount of Bitcoin. Later, Bitcoin surged again in 2018 to $15,000 and then fluctuated between $3000 and $10,000. I thought this was a good buying point, so I bought a little bit eight years ago, but it was very little, less than 0.1 Bitcoin. Now Bitcoin is $90,000, which is about a 36-fold increase. If I had used all the money I spent on gold to buy Bitcoin back then, I would have been financially free by now. However, gold has only increased by less than 3 times in eight years. Sometimes, in life, making the right choice is truly more important than hard work.
#比特币 #比特幣走勢分析 #加密货币 #黄金 #加密市场反弹
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I have already mentioned gold; if you get stuck at a high position, it's purely your own fault. #黄金
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Gold hits a new high vs. Bitcoin rebounds, the battle for safe-haven assets enters a white-hot stage
Yesterday, the price of gold set a new record, soaring nearly $3,430 per ounce. This strong trend is mainly due to investors' dual concerns about the continued escalation of the Sino-US trade war and the weakness of the US dollar.
Peter Schiff, a well-known gold bull, recently spoke out, predicting that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates sharply, the price of gold is expected to break through $3,500. He also issued a severe warning that the United States may face the "worst recession since the Great Depression", and even a 50% stock market crash may not bottom out. These remarks have driven more funds into the gold market, strengthening its traditional safe-haven status.
Just as gold was shining, Bitcoin also quietly rebounded to $94,392 today, hitting a four-week high. However, Schiff scoffed at this. He brought out volatility data for comparison, saying that gold's annual volatility is usually 10%-20%, while Bitcoin often exceeds 50%, "not suitable as a reserve asset at all."
But the counterattack from the cryptocurrency supporters was even more sharp. For example, Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, believes that the price of Bitcoin may reach $1 million sooner than his previous prediction of 2031. Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, recently spent another $555 million to increase its holdings by 6,556 BTC. Even Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, predicts that Bitcoin may reach $180,000 to $200,000 this year.
In summary, the competition between gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets is a reflection of investors' re-recognition of the traditional financial system. Gold has been firmly in the safe-haven throne with a thousand-year consensus, while Bitcoin has made a strong challenge with fixed supply and institutional endorsement. The struggle between the two is not only a battle of assets, but also a transfer and reshaping of market trust.
At the same time, some investors have begun to adopt a "dual-track parallel" strategy, allocating gold and Bitcoin at the same time to hedge different types of risks. This strategy reflects the market's general concern about the uncertainty of the traditional financial system and the pursuit of diversified asset allocation.
Which investment option do you prefer? Welcome to leave your opinions and investment logic in the comment area!
#黄金 #比特币 #避险资产 #经济衰退
Yesterday, the price of gold set a new record, soaring nearly $3,430 per ounce. This strong trend is mainly due to investors' dual concerns about the continued escalation of the Sino-US trade war and the weakness of the US dollar.
Peter Schiff, a well-known gold bull, recently spoke out, predicting that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates sharply, the price of gold is expected to break through $3,500. He also issued a severe warning that the United States may face the "worst recession since the Great Depression", and even a 50% stock market crash may not bottom out. These remarks have driven more funds into the gold market, strengthening its traditional safe-haven status.
Just as gold was shining, Bitcoin also quietly rebounded to $94,392 today, hitting a four-week high. However, Schiff scoffed at this. He brought out volatility data for comparison, saying that gold's annual volatility is usually 10%-20%, while Bitcoin often exceeds 50%, "not suitable as a reserve asset at all."
But the counterattack from the cryptocurrency supporters was even more sharp. For example, Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, believes that the price of Bitcoin may reach $1 million sooner than his previous prediction of 2031. Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, recently spent another $555 million to increase its holdings by 6,556 BTC. Even Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, predicts that Bitcoin may reach $180,000 to $200,000 this year.
In summary, the competition between gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets is a reflection of investors' re-recognition of the traditional financial system. Gold has been firmly in the safe-haven throne with a thousand-year consensus, while Bitcoin has made a strong challenge with fixed supply and institutional endorsement. The struggle between the two is not only a battle of assets, but also a transfer and reshaping of market trust.
At the same time, some investors have begun to adopt a "dual-track parallel" strategy, allocating gold and Bitcoin at the same time to hedge different types of risks. This strategy reflects the market's general concern about the uncertainty of the traditional financial system and the pursuit of diversified asset allocation.
Which investment option do you prefer? Welcome to leave your opinions and investment logic in the comment area!
#黄金 #比特币 #避险资产 #经济衰退
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Last month, I published an article: The risk of gold is that you can't hold on to it.
As a result, tariffs came immediately, and the impact of tariffs drove gold prices to rise sharply, making people excited about the effortless profit model.
Today, I published an article: The current risk of gold is that you are still holding on to it.
Although the factors affecting gold are quite complex, what we see now is just the result. The market has quietly begun to shift, and in the short term, we may need to be wary of a serious situation of multiple liquidations.
A healthy adjustment in gold prices might be around 2500/2600.
In summary, whenever you see a variety that is rising sharply, you can avoid shorting it, but going long again would be foolish.
#黄金
As a result, tariffs came immediately, and the impact of tariffs drove gold prices to rise sharply, making people excited about the effortless profit model.
Today, I published an article: The current risk of gold is that you are still holding on to it.
Although the factors affecting gold are quite complex, what we see now is just the result. The market has quietly begun to shift, and in the short term, we may need to be wary of a serious situation of multiple liquidations.
A healthy adjustment in gold prices might be around 2500/2600.
In summary, whenever you see a variety that is rising sharply, you can avoid shorting it, but going long again would be foolish.
#黄金
Regarding gold, open your imagination and welcome the great changes of the century ——
If my friends hadn't consulted me about gold, I would have almost forgotten about gold.
The trend of gold, first of all, can be seen to be positively correlated with the US M2 money supply (shaded area chart), so it can be seen that the Fed's actual balance sheet reduction (QT) has shrunk alone. Even so, the market is still expecting the March interest rate decision to give the expectation of ending QT, because the Treasury account balance (TGA) has begun to slowly inject liquidity.
The fundamentals throughout the market in the past two years are uncertain uncertainties. In fact, gold miners have been drastically reducing their holdings since 24 years. This is the main position of gold ETFs, including the central bank has stopped increasing its holdings of gold, but the price of gold has continued to rise.
With the landing of Trump's inauguration, the boots did not fall. On the contrary, Trump is an unexpected surprise. Especially the recent remarks check the gold inventory for decades. If there is no or not enough, then gold will usher in the largest squeeze and surge in history. So these are all unexpected surprises. You can maintain reasonable suspicion, but you dare not believe it.
With the huge amount of US debt, will the US push up the gold price to repay the debt, and then change the anchor from the gold standard to the currency standard (digital currency)? Isn't this what Trump did when he came to power, promoting the hegemony of digital currency to maintain the low position of the US dollar.
The core variables of gold have exceeded a series of factors such as interest rates, the scale of negative interest rate bonds, the share of US dollar payments, geopolitics, and changes in gold miners' positions. The market may be pricing in the other side that we can't see. In short, it is unpredictable, but it must be prevented.
What aunties have enough gold to push up gold prices, this is all nonsense, the media is just looking for reasons for the rise in gold.
——Continue the following
#黄金 #GOLD #XAUUSD #比特币 #BTC
If my friends hadn't consulted me about gold, I would have almost forgotten about gold.
The trend of gold, first of all, can be seen to be positively correlated with the US M2 money supply (shaded area chart), so it can be seen that the Fed's actual balance sheet reduction (QT) has shrunk alone. Even so, the market is still expecting the March interest rate decision to give the expectation of ending QT, because the Treasury account balance (TGA) has begun to slowly inject liquidity.
The fundamentals throughout the market in the past two years are uncertain uncertainties. In fact, gold miners have been drastically reducing their holdings since 24 years. This is the main position of gold ETFs, including the central bank has stopped increasing its holdings of gold, but the price of gold has continued to rise.
With the landing of Trump's inauguration, the boots did not fall. On the contrary, Trump is an unexpected surprise. Especially the recent remarks check the gold inventory for decades. If there is no or not enough, then gold will usher in the largest squeeze and surge in history. So these are all unexpected surprises. You can maintain reasonable suspicion, but you dare not believe it.
With the huge amount of US debt, will the US push up the gold price to repay the debt, and then change the anchor from the gold standard to the currency standard (digital currency)? Isn't this what Trump did when he came to power, promoting the hegemony of digital currency to maintain the low position of the US dollar.
The core variables of gold have exceeded a series of factors such as interest rates, the scale of negative interest rate bonds, the share of US dollar payments, geopolitics, and changes in gold miners' positions. The market may be pricing in the other side that we can't see. In short, it is unpredictable, but it must be prevented.
What aunties have enough gold to push up gold prices, this is all nonsense, the media is just looking for reasons for the rise in gold.
——Continue the following
#黄金 #GOLD #XAUUSD #比特币 #BTC
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