美联储政策

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Hello everyone, I am A10JQK! Today, let's talk about the US CPI data and see if we can smell the taste of interest rate cuts from it! ♠️♥️♣️♦️

♠️ Look at the August CPI annual rate, which dropped from 2.9% to 2.5%, lower than the expected 2.6%! Does this imply that inflation is slowly cooling down? The Fed should be relieved now!

♥️ Look at the core CPI monthly rate, which jumped from the expected 0.2% to 0.3%. This little guy is not obedient, it seems that the "diehards" of inflation are still at work!

♣️ However, the core CPI annual rate has stopped steadily at 3.2%, exactly as expected. This tells us that although inflation is falling, it has not yet reached the Fed's target of 2%.

♦️ Overall, inflation is indeed going down, but the pace is not big. Economic recession? There is really no obvious sign. So, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut? I don't think it's possible!

The Fed may think this way:

1. Inflation is indeed falling, but it is not time to relax yet.

2. The economy has no obvious signs of recession, and the risk of a large rate cut is too high now.

3. At most, consider a small rate cut, such as 25 basis points, but 50 basis points? Overthinking!

Dear card friends, how do you think the Fed will play? Will it continue to stay put, or will it make a small rate cut? Or do you think there is still a chance for a 50 basis point rate cut? Welcome to show your insights in the comment section! ♠️♥️♣️♦️ #美国经济软着陆？ #美国CPI数据 #美联储政策 #通胀走势

📢Demand for Ethereum spot ETFs has cooled, and inflows are growing negatively! 🚀

Let's take a look at the recent developments of Ethereum ETFs. 🌟On July 30, Bitwise's Ethereum ETF inflows actually exceeded BlackRock's, the first time since the Ethereum ETF began trading!

💰Nansen analysis pointed out that because Bitwise waived the 0.2% fee for the first six months of the ETF's launch, it "increased its inflows."

👏Sure enough, according to Nansen data, as of the time of publication on July 31, BlackRock has regained its trading volume position, accounting for 5.59% of assets under management (AUM).

👀 Let's take a look at the data from another report. Since its listing, the total outflow of Ethereum ETF has reached US$405 million. At the same time, the value of Ethereum held by Ethereum ETF brokers is about US$9.17 billion, accounting for only 2.32% of the total. Therefore, some people believe that this is the main reason why the price of Ethereum has been a bit sluggish recently!

🤔 At the same time, there are voices in the market saying that the demand for Ethereum ETF is not as hot as expected, and it seems a bit deserted compared to the craze of Bitcoin ETF when it was first listed. But I think it is too early to draw conclusions now. The market is always unpredictable. Who knows, maybe when the altcoin market picks up, the inflow of funds to Ethereum ETF will soar!

💡 So, my advice is, don't be scared away by short-term fluctuations. Take a long-term view, now may be a good opportunity to accumulate Ethereum. When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and market confidence picks up, the inflow of funds to Ethereum ETF may usher in explosive growth.

🙏 Remember, don't wait until the market is hot to regret not getting on the train earlier. Now may be a good time to lay out, wait patiently, and the spring of Ethereum will always come.

💬 What do you think the future of Ethereum ETF will be? Is it a good time to enter Ethereum now? See the comments section!

#以太坊ETF #市场动态 #加密货币投资 #美联储政策

CoinShares Report: Cryptocurrency Funds Accelerate Outflows, Bitcoin Has Evaporated $1.2 Billion in Two Weeks

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a noticeable outflow of funds. According to CoinShares' latest report, last week saw a net outflow of $584 million from global digital asset investment products. Among them, the Bitcoin spot ETF has seen large-scale fund withdrawals for the second consecutive week, with a total outflow of nearly $1.2 billion over the two weeks.

The report also noted that the trading volume of global cryptocurrency ETPs has plummeted to $6.9 billion, marking the lowest level since the Bitcoin spot ETF was launched in January.

This trend reflects investors' cautious attitude amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly concerns deepening over the direction of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy.

Regionally, the U.S. market has become a hard-hit area, with a net outflow of $475 million last week alone, while Canada also saw a net outflow of $109 million. However, Switzerland and Brazil bucked the trend, attracting net inflows of $3.89 million and $850,000, respectively. This regional disparity may suggest differing judgments among investors in various markets regarding risk assets.

In terms of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin remains the primary target for outflows, with a single week outflow of $630 million. Notably, although there was a slight outflow of $1.2 million from Bitcoin shorts, market sentiment has not shifted towards significantly large bearish bets.

Ethereum also reflected the overall risk-averse sentiment of the market with a net outflow of $58 million. Amidst the gloom, some altcoins like Solana, Litecoin, and XRP have unexpectedly attracted funds, achieving net inflows of $2.7 million, $1.3 million, and $700,000, respectively, indicating that some altcoin investors are seeking buying opportunities in oversold conditions.

Meanwhile, multi-asset investment products unexpectedly gained a net inflow of $98 million, which may indicate that institutional investors are responding to market volatility through diversified portfolios.

CoinShares research director James Butterfill directly associates this phenomenon with changes in expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. As market expectations for a rate cut in June continue to cool, risk assets are generally under pressure.

In the current environment, every action taken by investors is conveying different predictions for the future market, and the next direction of the market may very well depend on the Federal Reserve's next move.

#加密货币资金外流 #比特币ETF #美联储政策

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♣️Hi everyone, I'm A10JQK. Today I'll bring you the latest news on US employment data and Fed policy trends.

🃏On October 4, the US Department of Labor released its September employment report, which showed that job growth accelerated, which may reduce the possibility of the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts at the remaining two meetings this year.

♠️Specific data showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 254,000 in September, far exceeding expectations. In addition, the August data was revised to show an increase of 159,000, which was also higher than the previously announced figures.

♥️Federal Reserve Chairman Powell recently refuted investors' expectations of another 50 basis point rate cut in November. He said, "This committee does not feel that it is in a hurry to cut interest rates quickly."

♦️These data and remarks suggest that the Fed may continue to be cautious despite market expectations of rate cuts. Strong employment data means that the economy remains resilient, which may prevent the Fed from rushing to cut interest rates until inflation is fully under control.

For the cryptocurrency market, the Fed's policy direction often has an important impact. If interest rates remain high, it may continue to suppress the attractiveness of risky assets. Investors need to pay close attention to future economic data and speeches by Fed officials to assess potential policy changes.

#美联储政策 #就业数据 #经济分析 #加密货币市场