#美国失业救济人数下降 #美国加征关税 #韩国加密政策 Tonight at 8:30 PM, U.S. unemployment claims data will be released, with the previous value at 240,000 and the expectation at 235,000.
What does this signal? Simply put, if the data is below expectations, it indicates that the U.S. job market is still 'hot', and the Federal Reserve will have to continue delaying interest rate cuts. The market will be bearish, the dollar will strengthen, risk assets will be under pressure, and the cryptocurrency market is likely to fluctuate downwards, especially ETH and BTC, which have already shown weak sentiment recently.
On the other hand, if the data is above expectations and unemployment increases, it signals the arrival of a 'soft landing', and the market will immediately shift to betting on interest rate cuts, the dollar will weaken, funds will flow back to risk assets, and the cryptocurrency market could warm up directly, potentially sparking a rebound.
Don't forget that tonight's scenario involves a three-way game of data + expectations + market sentiment. Regardless of the outcome, the key is the 'first reaction after the data is released', which will determine the short-term direction.
Plan your positions in advance, don't bet on direction; observe the reaction after the data is released to follow the trend, and don't be easily swayed by emotions. Keeping up with the rhythm is essential for profit.