牛市生存法则

Last night while running long distances, I casually kept an eye on the market, chewing on a sandwich, thinking: this Bitcoin market trend is really "excessive", directly returning to the starting point, it's really both frustrating and funny 😂. This big pie has stirred up, and many contract traders probably got liquidated again, right? But if you look at it from a broader perspective, isn't this just a beautiful pullback? The market of the weak being eliminated by the strong has never changed its essence.

In this market trend, Ray, OM, ENA, and ADA have all been quite resilient. To be honest, this makes me more convinced of one thing: the weak are always the first to be eliminated. Taking advantage of this downturn, I cleared out those weak coins and decisively switched to stronger projects. It's like choosing a route while driving; my intuition tells me which road is reliable.

ALL-IN announcement time: Just bought $OM and $ENA , with average prices of 3.81 and 0.97 respectively. Target? At least doubling, definitely aiming for 2x. This market, only those who understand the trend can make quick profits.

Brothers, what do you think? #牛市生存法则 #BTC价格趋势 #BTC重回10万 #SOLV开盘 #莱特币ETF通过预期

📉 Cryptocurrency Bull and Bear Cycle Brief Analysis & Action Guide 📈

🔄 Cycle Phases (2024-2026)

1️⃣ 2024 Q4-2025 Q1: Early Bull Market

• Signal: Bitcoin breaks through $30k, halving expectations fermenting.

• Action: Dollar-cost averaging into BTC/ETH, focus on Layer2 (Arbitrum) and spot ETF concepts.

2️⃣ 2025 Q2-Q3: Mid Bull Market

• Signal: Altcoins surge, leveraged trading spikes.

• Action: Reduce positions in altcoins, hold leading coins (BNB, SOL), hedge risks.

3️⃣ 2025 Q4-2026 Q1: Late Bull Market

• Signal: Bitcoin peaks and retreats, retail FOMO.

• Action: Take profits in batches, cash is king, allocate to safe-haven assets (USDC, gold tokens).

4️⃣ 2026 Q2-Q3: Early Bear Market

• Signal: BTC drops below $40k, exchanges face run on deposits.

• Action: Wait for the bottom (15k-20k), dollar-cost average into core assets.

💡 Investment Principles

✅ Never be fully invested: Keep cash in bull markets, prepare ammunition in bear markets.
✅ Stay away from leverage: Especially in bear markets, liquidation is catastrophic.
✅ Only follow the classics: BTC, ETH are resilient, altcoins are for quick in-and-out trades.
✅ Keep an eye on macro: Fed rate cuts = go signal, rate hikes = turn off the lights and eat noodles.

⚠️ Risk Warnings

❗ Policy Black Swan: SEC regulation, exchange collapses (like FTX 2.0).
❗ Liquidity Drying Up: US Treasury yields spike, funds flee risk assets.
❗ Technical Traps: Halving benefits fully priced in, altcoins face zeroing out.

#比特币减半 #Web3投资 #牛市生存法则
👉 Action: Dollar-cost average with spare money, control your hands; in bear markets, pick up the dead, don't get too carried away!