数据统计
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The Ethereum market is staging a dramatic battle between bulls and bears! As of June 12, 2025, Ethereum futures open interest has surged past $40 billion, setting a new historical high. This data not only exposes the crazy rise in market leverage but also foreshadows a liquidation storm involving $1.8 billion in short positions that is brewing.
Whale operations and institutional buying act as the fuse
On-chain data shows that a mysterious whale completed three rounds of precise strikes within 44 days: accumulating 30,000 ETH at low prices in April, selling off for a profit of $23.73 million at high prices in May, and then selling off for $82.76 million on June 10 to lock in a profit of $7.3 million, totaling over $31 million. Meanwhile, institutions like BlackRock have been aggressively accumulating through spot ETFs, with a net inflow of 43,000 ETH on June 11, setting a new 20-day high. The influx of institutional funds and whale operations have combined to push ETH prices above $2,860, hitting a four-month high.
Leverage nearing critical levels, liquidation risks on the brink
The current Ethereum market presents a risk map resembling a "death cross": around $2,600, there is a $2 billion risk of long position liquidations, while above $2,900, there lies $1.8 billion in short positions. If prices break through key resistance levels, it could trigger a chain liquidation, forming a cascading collapse similar to that in “”. CoinGlass data shows that since May 8, the amount of short liquidations has reached $438 million, far exceeding the scale of long liquidations, intensifying the short squeeze.
Institutional predictions: Is $5,000 just the starting point?
Technical analysts point out that the ETH daily chart has formed a "cup and handle" pattern, targeting $4,100. If it stabilizes above the $3,000 neckline, upward momentum may be fully released. More aggressive forecasts suggest that ETH could challenge a historical high of $5,232. However, regulatory risks and profit-taking pressure remain hidden concerns, and if the macro environment deteriorates, prices could fall back to $1,200.
#数据统计
For valuable insights in the crypto space, click my profile picture to follow me for more. Bull market potential coins deployment and daily spot strategies available.
Whale operations and institutional buying act as the fuse
On-chain data shows that a mysterious whale completed three rounds of precise strikes within 44 days: accumulating 30,000 ETH at low prices in April, selling off for a profit of $23.73 million at high prices in May, and then selling off for $82.76 million on June 10 to lock in a profit of $7.3 million, totaling over $31 million. Meanwhile, institutions like BlackRock have been aggressively accumulating through spot ETFs, with a net inflow of 43,000 ETH on June 11, setting a new 20-day high. The influx of institutional funds and whale operations have combined to push ETH prices above $2,860, hitting a four-month high.
Leverage nearing critical levels, liquidation risks on the brink
The current Ethereum market presents a risk map resembling a "death cross": around $2,600, there is a $2 billion risk of long position liquidations, while above $2,900, there lies $1.8 billion in short positions. If prices break through key resistance levels, it could trigger a chain liquidation, forming a cascading collapse similar to that in “”. CoinGlass data shows that since May 8, the amount of short liquidations has reached $438 million, far exceeding the scale of long liquidations, intensifying the short squeeze.
Institutional predictions: Is $5,000 just the starting point?
Technical analysts point out that the ETH daily chart has formed a "cup and handle" pattern, targeting $4,100. If it stabilizes above the $3,000 neckline, upward momentum may be fully released. More aggressive forecasts suggest that ETH could challenge a historical high of $5,232. However, regulatory risks and profit-taking pressure remain hidden concerns, and if the macro environment deteriorates, prices could fall back to $1,200.
#数据统计
For valuable insights in the crypto space, click my profile picture to follow me for more. Bull market potential coins deployment and daily spot strategies available.
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🌊Opening Quote：
"When the market rises, focus on momentum; when it falls, focus on quality—after SHELL's revelry, is it the pop of a bubble or the accumulation of value?"
Market Analysis: Good news is fully priced in, momentum is exhausted
Technical Narrative Cooling Down
MyShell surged 70% in early May due to MCP integration, but recently lacks new developments, and the market's enthusiasm for AI + Web3 has significantly declined. Community discussion volume has plummeted (referencing the explosive 42x oversubscription in February), the pace of ecological expansion has slowed, and funds have shifted towards mainstream chain narratives like SOL and ETH.
Concerns About Unlocking and Selling Pressure
According to token economics, SHELL's circulation is only 27%, and team and investor locked tokens will gradually be released over the next 3-4 years. The current price has dropped below the cost price of IDO participants (approximately $0.27), and if large holders sell to stop losses, it may trigger a stampede.
Market Environment Cooling Down
Bitcoin is oscillating at high levels (around $110,000), and funds are clearly flowing back from altcoins to BTC. The enthusiasm for the AI sector is being diverted by meme coins and DeFi (such as HYPE, CRYBB, etc.), leaving SHELL without independent market support.
Technical Analysis: Heightened Breakdown Risk
Key Signals in the Four-Hour K-Line
Support Lost: The current price of 0.1683 is close to the historical lowest point of 0.1684; if it falls below this, it opens up downward space, targeting the 0.12-0.15 range (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
Volume Shrinking: Trading volume continues to decrease during rebounds (referencing on-chain data), with a clear bearish dominance.
Indicator Divergence: After the MACD death cross, it is close to the zero axis, while RSI hovers in the 30 oversold zone without rebound momentum, indicating a typical weak oscillation pattern.
Key Resistance Pressures
The 0.17-0.18 range forms a dense accumulation zone (with chips piling up after the explosive rise in February), and repeated rebounds have failed, confirming the effectiveness of resistance. The upper levels of 0.20 (psychological barrier) and 0.24 (previous high neckline) constitute a strong resistance zone.
#数据统计
🔮Closing Hook：
"When the tide goes out, don’t be the last fish to take the bait—SHELL's next stop, is it a deep squat for strength or a free fall? Follow me, I will sound the alarm for you before the crash!"
"When the market rises, focus on momentum; when it falls, focus on quality—after SHELL's revelry, is it the pop of a bubble or the accumulation of value?"
Market Analysis: Good news is fully priced in, momentum is exhausted
Technical Narrative Cooling Down
MyShell surged 70% in early May due to MCP integration, but recently lacks new developments, and the market's enthusiasm for AI + Web3 has significantly declined. Community discussion volume has plummeted (referencing the explosive 42x oversubscription in February), the pace of ecological expansion has slowed, and funds have shifted towards mainstream chain narratives like SOL and ETH.
Concerns About Unlocking and Selling Pressure
According to token economics, SHELL's circulation is only 27%, and team and investor locked tokens will gradually be released over the next 3-4 years. The current price has dropped below the cost price of IDO participants (approximately $0.27), and if large holders sell to stop losses, it may trigger a stampede.
Market Environment Cooling Down
Bitcoin is oscillating at high levels (around $110,000), and funds are clearly flowing back from altcoins to BTC. The enthusiasm for the AI sector is being diverted by meme coins and DeFi (such as HYPE, CRYBB, etc.), leaving SHELL without independent market support.
Technical Analysis: Heightened Breakdown Risk
Key Signals in the Four-Hour K-Line
Support Lost: The current price of 0.1683 is close to the historical lowest point of 0.1684; if it falls below this, it opens up downward space, targeting the 0.12-0.15 range (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
Volume Shrinking: Trading volume continues to decrease during rebounds (referencing on-chain data), with a clear bearish dominance.
Indicator Divergence: After the MACD death cross, it is close to the zero axis, while RSI hovers in the 30 oversold zone without rebound momentum, indicating a typical weak oscillation pattern.
Key Resistance Pressures
The 0.17-0.18 range forms a dense accumulation zone (with chips piling up after the explosive rise in February), and repeated rebounds have failed, confirming the effectiveness of resistance. The upper levels of 0.20 (psychological barrier) and 0.24 (previous high neckline) constitute a strong resistance zone.
#数据统计
🔮Closing Hook：
"When the tide goes out, don’t be the last fish to take the bait—SHELL's next stop, is it a deep squat for strength or a free fall? Follow me, I will sound the alarm for you before the crash!"
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June 10th Bitcoin/Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Thoughts
Current Market Analysis:
After experiencing three consecutive bearish candles on the four-hour chart, Bitcoin saw a bullish candle breakout, with prices breaching the upper Bollinger Band. However, the MACD histogram has shortened, indicating a weakening bullish momentum, and the KDJ is hovering in the overbought zone without forming a valid golden cross. Although trading volume has rebounded, overall activity has not significantly increased, limiting the upward space. Ethereum correlated with Bitcoin's rally but is constrained by the resistance in the 2720-2750 area, with technical indicators showing signs of high-level consolidation.
Trading Strategy:
Bitcoin:
Key Level: $108,000 is the short-term dividing line for bulls and bears, while $110,000 serves as daily support.
Short Position Opportunities: If the price is pressured in the 110,300-110,800 range, consider a light short position with a target of 108,000-107,000 and a stop-loss at 111,500.
Long Position Opportunities: If it stabilizes after a pullback to the 107,200-106,800 range, consider a low long entry with a target of 109,500.
Ethereum:
Resistance Area: 2720-2750 is the short-term resistance, with 2800 as strong resistance.
Short Position Strategy: If it rebounds to around 2720-2750, consider attempting a short position with a target of 2600 and a stop-loss at 2780.
Long Position Defense: If it pulls back to the 2540-2510 range and stabilizes, consider a low long entry with a target above 2700.
Risk Warning:
The current market has intensified the battle between bulls and bears, and one should be cautious of overbought pullbacks and liquidity changes. It is recommended to build positions in batches and implement strict stop-loss measures, while paying attention to the Federal Reserve's policies and institutional capital movements that may disturb the market.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto circle; remain vigilant and find the right timing is key. I have also discovered a project with short-term explosive growth potential that could double! If you want to keep up, follow me for free sharing!
Current Market Analysis:
After experiencing three consecutive bearish candles on the four-hour chart, Bitcoin saw a bullish candle breakout, with prices breaching the upper Bollinger Band. However, the MACD histogram has shortened, indicating a weakening bullish momentum, and the KDJ is hovering in the overbought zone without forming a valid golden cross. Although trading volume has rebounded, overall activity has not significantly increased, limiting the upward space. Ethereum correlated with Bitcoin's rally but is constrained by the resistance in the 2720-2750 area, with technical indicators showing signs of high-level consolidation.
Trading Strategy:
Bitcoin:
Key Level: $108,000 is the short-term dividing line for bulls and bears, while $110,000 serves as daily support.
Short Position Opportunities: If the price is pressured in the 110,300-110,800 range, consider a light short position with a target of 108,000-107,000 and a stop-loss at 111,500.
Long Position Opportunities: If it stabilizes after a pullback to the 107,200-106,800 range, consider a low long entry with a target of 109,500.
Ethereum:
Resistance Area: 2720-2750 is the short-term resistance, with 2800 as strong resistance.
Short Position Strategy: If it rebounds to around 2720-2750, consider attempting a short position with a target of 2600 and a stop-loss at 2780.
Long Position Defense: If it pulls back to the 2540-2510 range and stabilizes, consider a low long entry with a target above 2700.
Risk Warning:
The current market has intensified the battle between bulls and bears, and one should be cautious of overbought pullbacks and liquidity changes. It is recommended to build positions in batches and implement strict stop-loss measures, while paying attention to the Federal Reserve's policies and institutional capital movements that may disturb the market.
Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto circle; remain vigilant and find the right timing is key. I have also discovered a project with short-term explosive growth potential that could double! If you want to keep up, follow me for free sharing!
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Tianfeng Securities Research Report: Artificial Intelligence and Cryptocurrencies, Dual Guardians of the Dollar's Dominance?
Recently, Tianfeng Securities released an in-depth research report exploring the potential role of artificial intelligence (AI) and cryptocurrencies in maintaining the dollar's dominance. The report points out that AI is seen as 'Plan A' for maintaining the dollar's status, while cryptocurrencies serve as 'Plan B' to address potential challenges to the dollar's position.
AI and Cryptocurrencies: A Dual Guarantee of the Dollar's Status
The report emphasizes that the application of AI in the financial sector is becoming increasingly widespread, and its powerful data processing and analysis capabilities provide solid support for the dollar. By optimizing trading strategies and improving risk management levels, AI helps the dollar maintain a leading position in the global financial system. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies, as an emerging category of digital assets, are gradually showing their potential as an alternative to the dollar. Especially in the context of the increasingly apparent trend of de-dollarization, cryptocurrencies offer investors diversified asset allocation choices.
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🔥AO is gradually recognized by the market, and #CEX trading volume has become active!
✅ According to @CoinMarketCap data statistics,#AOperpetual contract and spot trading volume has increased significantly compared with last week's data analysis!
🔹 $AO 24-hour perpetual contract trading volume: 5.06 million US dollars, +68.4%
🔹 $AO 24-hour spot trading volume: 1.98 million US dollars, +32.6%
#数据统计
$BTC $AR
✅ According to @CoinMarketCap data statistics,#AOperpetual contract and spot trading volume has increased significantly compared with last week's data analysis!
🔹 $AO 24-hour perpetual contract trading volume: 5.06 million US dollars, +68.4%
🔹 $AO 24-hour spot trading volume: 1.98 million US dollars, +32.6%
#数据统计
$BTC $AR
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This morning, Binance released its Proof of Reserves (PoR), showing that the reserve ratios of major assets exceed 100%
BTC reserve ratio 102.13% (holding 606,000)
USDT reserve ratio 101.52% (29.27 billion)
ETH/SOL reserve ratio 100% (5.337 million ETH)
BNB reserve ratio 111.74% (44.536 million)
The most surprising is USDC's reserve ratio reaching 153.01%—far exceeding other stablecoins.
This may reflect a surge in institutional demand: USDC has become the preferred choice for traditional funds due to its compliant transparency (fully backed + anchored by US Treasuries).
Arbitrage opportunities driving high reserve ratios may indicate that Binance is using USDC for on-chain to off-chain interest rate arbitrage (such as the spread between US Treasury yields and on-chain lending rates).
Liquidity management strategy: Excess reserves may be used to respond to extreme redemptions, avoiding a repeat of the Silicon Valley Bank incident (in 2023, USDC de-pegged to $0.90 due to banking risks).
BTC reserve ratio 102.13% (holding 606,000)
USDT reserve ratio 101.52% (29.27 billion)
ETH/SOL reserve ratio 100% (5.337 million ETH)
BNB reserve ratio 111.74% (44.536 million)
The most surprising is USDC's reserve ratio reaching 153.01%—far exceeding other stablecoins.
This may reflect a surge in institutional demand: USDC has become the preferred choice for traditional funds due to its compliant transparency (fully backed + anchored by US Treasuries).
Arbitrage opportunities driving high reserve ratios may indicate that Binance is using USDC for on-chain to off-chain interest rate arbitrage (such as the spread between US Treasury yields and on-chain lending rates).
Liquidity management strategy: Excess reserves may be used to respond to extreme redemptions, avoiding a repeat of the Silicon Valley Bank incident (in 2023, USDC de-pegged to $0.90 due to banking risks).
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