山寨祭
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Is the Altcoin Season Turning into an Altcoin Festival? Altcoins May Accelerate Their Plunge
From 2023 to 2025, aside from the on-chain MEME and the popularity of AI agents, as well as the fleeting moments of inscriptions, there have been no significant technological upgrades, no ample liquidity support from interest rate cuts, and increasingly clear regulations have led to a loss of regulatory arbitrage opportunities. The era of wild growth has ended. The previous scenario where project teams could endlessly issue tokens for profit, and ordinary users enjoyed the dividends of rapid industry development, has now shifted; users have been exploited, and project teams have been completely replaced by real giant institutions and compliant companies. The soil that once fostered the explosion of altcoin seasons no longer exists.
To analyze altcoin trends, one must first look at the movements of BTC and ETH. It has been previously noted that the range of 108,000-112,000 has now formed strong resistance, serving as a significant battleground for capital. Even if the genius bill passes today, companies continuously increasing their BTC holdings have still failed to break through 110,000 strongly. In this situation, one must be cautious about risks.
If BTC returns to solid support around 95,000, and ETH returns to around 2,200, then altcoins may see a decline of 30-50%. Currently, I do not hold any altcoin positions and am prepared to continue waiting. If BTC continues to choose mild adjustments and experiences fluctuations, then we need to wait until BTC's market share falls below 60% for altcoins to have a better rebound opportunity to escape.
#山寨祭 #山寨季将持续多久 $BTC
From 2023 to 2025, aside from the on-chain MEME and the popularity of AI agents, as well as the fleeting moments of inscriptions, there have been no significant technological upgrades, no ample liquidity support from interest rate cuts, and increasingly clear regulations have led to a loss of regulatory arbitrage opportunities. The era of wild growth has ended. The previous scenario where project teams could endlessly issue tokens for profit, and ordinary users enjoyed the dividends of rapid industry development, has now shifted; users have been exploited, and project teams have been completely replaced by real giant institutions and compliant companies. The soil that once fostered the explosion of altcoin seasons no longer exists.
To analyze altcoin trends, one must first look at the movements of BTC and ETH. It has been previously noted that the range of 108,000-112,000 has now formed strong resistance, serving as a significant battleground for capital. Even if the genius bill passes today, companies continuously increasing their BTC holdings have still failed to break through 110,000 strongly. In this situation, one must be cautious about risks.
If BTC returns to solid support around 95,000, and ETH returns to around 2,200, then altcoins may see a decline of 30-50%. Currently, I do not hold any altcoin positions and am prepared to continue waiting. If BTC continues to choose mild adjustments and experiences fluctuations, then we need to wait until BTC's market share falls below 60% for altcoins to have a better rebound opportunity to escape.
#山寨祭 #山寨季将持续多久 $BTC
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The roots of the last batch of new and old leeks have been cut off
We need to bring in a new batch of leeks
Remind the new leeks to trade cautiously, do not follow orders, do not go all in, do not play contracts.
If you want to leverage, then you are right in what you say. #美国加征关税 $ETH
We need to bring in a new batch of leeks
Remind the new leeks to trade cautiously, do not follow orders, do not go all in, do not play contracts.
If you want to leverage, then you are right in what you say. #美国加征关税 $ETH
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In this bull market, there will definitely be a consensus: absolutely do not touch altcoins 😂
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