原油
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Four major potential risk events in the fourth quarter of this year:
1: The 30% increase in crude oil has led to the resurgence of inflation
The Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes;
2: The U.S. government shutdown is beset by crises;
Three: European economic recession, active or passive appreciation of the US dollar;
Four: The U.S. auto workers' strike escalates, pushing up wages and reversing expectations of a soft landing for the U.S. economy.
#原油 #美元 #BTC
1: The 30% increase in crude oil has led to the resurgence of inflation
The Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes;
2: The U.S. government shutdown is beset by crises;
Three: European economic recession, active or passive appreciation of the US dollar;
Four: The U.S. auto workers' strike escalates, pushing up wages and reversing expectations of a soft landing for the U.S. economy.
#原油 #美元 #BTC
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Tonight, the financial markets will welcome the release of two important data points that crypto enthusiasts should closely monitor:
1. 20:30 US February CPI data The US February unadjusted CPI annual rate and adjusted CPI monthly rate will be released soon. Market expectations for US inflation are heating up, with Goldman Sachs predicting that core PCE will reach 3% by the end of 2025, up from the previous expectation of 2%. Morgan Stanley also expects the inflation rate to rise to 2.5% by 2025, higher than the 2.3% recorded in December last year. This CPI data will directly affect the market's assessment of inflation and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the data is higher than expected, it may exacerbate inflation concerns and delay the Fed's rate cuts; if lower than expected, it could bring optimism to the market.
2. 22:30 US EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending March 7 Recently, the international crude oil market has been fluctuating downward, with Brent crude falling below $70 per barrel. Iraq has resumed exports from the Kurdistan region, and OPEC+ has announced a production increase plan for April, coupled with a higher-than-expected rise in US crude oil inventories, raising concerns about supply easing. This EIA inventory data will reveal the supply and demand situation for US crude oil; if inventories increase significantly, oil prices may continue to be under pressure; if inventories decrease, it may provide support for oil prices. #掌握市场 #美国加征关税 #币安 #原油
1. 20:30 US February CPI data The US February unadjusted CPI annual rate and adjusted CPI monthly rate will be released soon. Market expectations for US inflation are heating up, with Goldman Sachs predicting that core PCE will reach 3% by the end of 2025, up from the previous expectation of 2%. Morgan Stanley also expects the inflation rate to rise to 2.5% by 2025, higher than the 2.3% recorded in December last year. This CPI data will directly affect the market's assessment of inflation and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the data is higher than expected, it may exacerbate inflation concerns and delay the Fed's rate cuts; if lower than expected, it could bring optimism to the market.
2. 22:30 US EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending March 7 Recently, the international crude oil market has been fluctuating downward, with Brent crude falling below $70 per barrel. Iraq has resumed exports from the Kurdistan region, and OPEC+ has announced a production increase plan for April, coupled with a higher-than-expected rise in US crude oil inventories, raising concerns about supply easing. This EIA inventory data will reveal the supply and demand situation for US crude oil; if inventories increase significantly, oil prices may continue to be under pressure; if inventories decrease, it may provide support for oil prices. #掌握市场 #美国加征关税 #币安 #原油
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