биткоина

Professional traders are reducing their positions amid the decline of #BTC , and the demand from investment funds for the first cryptocurrency has reached its limit, as reported by #QCPCapital .
🟢 "Expected price fluctuations #биткоина for the upcoming month have risen to a significant level (indicator 50v). Institutional demand for the asset has nearly reached its limit. Over the past 14 months, the issuance of securities related to cryptocurrencies has accounted for approximately 19% of the total issuance of corporate securities"
#Launchpool #Megadrop
$BTC

3) The historical lows #биткоина coincide with the capitulation of weak hands.

We are witnessing prolonged pain for STH, but not a complete panic sell-off yet.
Slow bleeding may accelerate if tariffs from April 2 bring more uncertainty, intensifying the impact of the trade war.
Whales are holding strong, but weak hands are capitulating — the next move for Bitcoin depends on April 2.
🔹 Will the tariffs lead to complete capitulation or will whales become the driving force of recovery?

The seven-day moving average of hashrate #биткоина reached a new historical maximum of 809 EH/s, and today's difficulty adjustment is expected to increase by +5%.

In the coming weeks, there is a likelihood of further price decline for #биткоина , which is related to changes in investor sentiment regarding risks, believes Andrei Dragosh, head of the research department at Bitwise in Europe.

The deterioration of the macroeconomic situation has led to increased interest from investors in traditional U.S. government bonds, while the attitude towards risky assets, such as bitcoin, has become more cautious. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve is wary of a repeat of the double peak inflation situation of the 1970s-1980s, which compels it to refrain from further aggressive interest rate cuts, according to the expert.

The Fed finds itself in a difficult position as financial conditions continue to worsen despite three consecutive rate cuts made since September. At the same time, real consumer price inflation figures have once again shown growth to record levels in recent months.

In the News+ format, we have gathered analysts' opinions on target levels for bitcoin in the event of its continued decline.

Market capitalization of #биткоина reached 14% of the value of gold, which has become a new historical maximum in the race with the precious metal.

According to Real Vision analyst, the inverse correlation #биткоина with the US dollar index (DXY) is at an unusually high level, but over time this gap will be closed. He noted that, despite the overall preference for a weaker dollar, political factors influence the DXY. A drop below 106, he added, would be a strong "bullish" signal for global liquidity, which markets are closely monitoring.

Analyst: In this cycle, given the minimal losses, it makes sense to focus on the trend of profit changes, rather than the volume of holders' losses. In the previous consolidation phase at the $70K level, the market needed an additional two months to form a new impulse.

In the current situation, the dynamics have changed: the market is now more influenced by news, especially related to the Trump administration and the potential recognition of #биткоина as a strategic reserve.

In fact, this can significantly accelerate the development of a new trend, unlike previous macro cycles.

#биткоина 's dominance exceeded 55% for the first time since April 2021.
#BTC $BTC

According to CNBC, countries in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf are also considering the possibility of creating reserves #биткоина !

BlackRock claims that #Биткоина will not be enough for every American millionaire to own just one.

Volatility #биткоина is at a rare minimum.

More than a third of the 100 largest companies in the USA (by market capitalization) are experiencing higher 30-day volatility than BTC.

The relative volatility #BTC has been this low only four times since 2021: in October 2022, January 2023, August 2023, and October 2023.

ecoinometrics: The volatility #биткоина is at the same level as mega-cap tech stocks. If we look at the monthly volatility distributions over the past years, we can see a clear pattern. #Биткоин shows similar volatility levels to other growing large-cap assets in its market category.

On November 5, legendary options trader Josh Man
called the price #биткоина at $84K on March 14.

Today Bitcoin reached $84K exactly on schedule.

His main forecast for the price of Bitcoin in this cycle is $440K.

The number of retail wallets with balances #биткоина has grown this week

Liquidity #биткоина on US exchanges rose to 2021 bullish trend levels.

Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas, with a net worth of $5.8 billion, stated that he is "practically fully into" cryptocurrencies, and his portfolio consists of 70% of #биткоина .

Glassnode claims that the bullish cycle #биткоина demonstrates reduced volatility compared to previous cycles.

The largest drop in this cycle was -32% (August 5, 2024), with most corrections around -25%.

Based on data on the volume of exchange transactions on both spot and derivatives exchanges, the peaks of exchange transactions, marked by red circles, precede sharp price changes or coincide with them.

The first peak in 2017 coincides with the historical price increase of #биткоина , and the second peak around 2021 coincides with another significant price movement.

And the volume of transactions has significantly decreased recently, indicating lower trading activity compared to previous years.