Abhi 2025 ka Q2 chal raha hai, aur yeh $crypto markets abhi bhi ajeeb o ghareeb hain. Pichla saal toh siyasat ki garbar, tariff ki laraiyon, aur jo umeed thi woh poori nahi hui, uss wajah se investors confuse hain ke ab kya hoga. Shuru shuru mein toh log keh rahe thay ke bara bull run aayega, lekin waisa kuch hua nahi. Phir bhi, kuch possible raaste hain aage ke liye. Chalo dekhte hain teen sab se zyada chances wale scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bull Phir Se Aa Gaya
Yeh optimistic scenario hai, matlab achhi umeed rakhni. Is mein yeh socha ja raha hai ke agar inflation kam hota rahe, trade ki tension kam ho jaye, aur Fed ne rate cut kar diye June tak. Agar siyasat stable ho jaye aur duniya mein paisa zyada ho jaye na, toh markets mein bari rally aa sakti hai.
Bitcoin June tak $150K tak ja sakta hai, phir summer mein thora down ho sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai 2025 ke end tak ya 2026 ke shuru mein $250K bhi touch kar jaye.
Altcoins jaise Solana $1,000 tak bhi jump kar sakta hai, aur meme coins mein toh deewangi wala hype ho sakta hai.
Agar central banks rate kam kar dein aur Ukraine aur Iran jaise regions mein aman ho jaye toh yeh bullish outcome aur strong ho jaye ga.
Scenario 2: Beech Ka Raasta
Yeh thora normal scenario hai. Is mein yeh hai ke trade deals toh ho jayengi aakhir mein, lekin jo nuksan pehle ho gaya hai uss wajah se growth slow rahegi.
Fed QT toh end kar dega lekin rate cut nahi karega kyunke inflation thora thora barh raha hoga.
Bitcoin $110K–$120K tak rally karega aur phir saara saal ussi range mein ghoomta rahega.
Altcoins zyada perform nahi karenge kyunke ETF mein zyada paisa nahi aayega aur tokens unlock hote rahenge.
Jo Bitcoin ka har chaar saal baad cycle hota hai na, woh ho sakta hai 2026 tak delay ho jaye.
Scenario 3: Goblin Town (Bura Haal)
Yeh sab se bura scenario hai. Duniya ki economy aur kharab ho jaye, trade wars aur barh jayein, aur siyasat ki tension aur zyada ho jaye.
America aur China dono bari recession mein chale jayein, aur ho sakta hai poori duniya mein depression aa jaye.
Stocks crash ho jayein, housing market toot jaye, aur inflation phir se barh jaye global laraiyon ki wajah se.
Bitcoin $50K se bhi neeche gir jaye, Ethereum $500–$600 tak chala jaye, aur Solana $50 se bhi neeche.
Investors ka bharosa toot jaye aur crypto ka sentiment bilkul khatam ho jaye, aur recovery 2026 tak bhi mushkil ho.
Conclusion (Nateeja)
Scenario 3 sab se zyada bura aur kam chances wala hai, lekin yeh dikhata hai ke abhi bhi khatre maujood hain. Scenario 1 achha hai lekin uske liye kaafi cheezon ko theek hona parega. Scenario 2 thora balance wala lag raha hai. Aap jo bhi socho, lekin umeed rakho aur tayyar raho. Crypto ka future abhi bhi boht achha ho sakta hai — lekin agar aap informed raho aur har situation ke liye ready raho toh faida hai.
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