kizoki _Yz

Listen to me carefully. Right now, we are in a difficult phase, and everyone is waiting for the truth—whether those who support a bullish market that hasn’t reached its peak yet, or those who believe that the bear market has already started.
As you can see, there is only one correct possibility, but the question is: which one is correct?

First, Bitcoin has been declining from its last peak on October 6, which caused a stir due to a post claiming that Bitcoin’s peak was on that date.

Second, altcoins are not showing any real upward movement; in fact, they have gotten worse, hitting lower lows with each successive bottom.

Ethereum is shy from its previous peak and does not want to break it.
There are many news reports about whale manipulation on platforms.
There are also many news about insider traders and their connections to Trump.
Trump and his policies are unsettling the market.

Interest rates, U.S. debt, China, and many other factors are at play.

Listen carefully: Bitcoin is starting to weaken against altcoins, and its weakness became apparent after the dominance drop on October 10. Observe how dominance rose and how it behaved afterward—you’ll see that Bitcoin’s dominance has not yet reached the peak it had during the great crash on October 10. This indicates weakness in dominance.

From Bitcoin’s perspective, the trend is unclear, but one possibility is that a 130k peak is very reasonable. Other targets like 200k, 300k, or 500k are possible based on statistics and data, supported by central bank monetary policy and interest rate cuts.

However, an important question you must realize: altcoins are not in a bear market and haven’t entered one. They exited it in 2023 and are now in an accumulation phase. The rise of altcoins depends on individual conviction. Here are some stats: cash exists, but people are unwilling to take risks because the market is strange and oversaturated with new projects whose goal is to make you lose. So, someone might enter a new coin that just dropped, lose, and then avoid altcoins completely. This is dangerous, but I don’t blame them.

Big players’ plan is to mislead people with new projects and drain them, while strong projects remain stagnant. Even if they rise, they won’t rise like a seasonal trend but rather as individual coins. This is what we see now. My critique of this perspective is centered on the core of Bitcoin’s dominance.

A simple equation: rising dominance and some coins performing like in a seasonal altcoin run indicates manipulation is taking place.

Final advice: altcoins have exited the bear market and are now in an accumulation phase. But this phase will end when altcoins outperform Ethereum.

As for Bitcoin, it is currently being manipulated. This is not just my opinion but is evident from its dominance, which has started to show weakness.

Therefore, the more manipulation, price suppression, and interference with monetary easing policies occur, the more the altcoin season is delayed. If 2026 arrives and the cycle hasn’t happened, this proves manipulation and that people are being pushed out, extending the cycle. This means the cycle follows the business cycle, not the halving, which makes sense. If it followed the halving, why would people focus on interest rates? Bitcoin is decentralized, and individuals are affected by monetary policy and money flowing from individuals and institutions. Hence, we conclude that Bitcoin follows monetary policy, not halving, which indicates that an altcoin season will not happen until monetary easing occurs.
One last thing I am sure of: altcoins have exited the accumulation phase and are ready to rise. But the trigger depends on monetary easing policy.

#MarketPullback #altsesaon #bitcoin #Ethereum $BTC $ETH