Kirill Gaitan l Trading

🪙 The Bitcoin decline scenario is working out and is already yielding good results.
I hope this helped someone avoid losses and maybe even make some money.
Yesterday, he gave me a setup for a breakout of 109, which I traded and haven't closed yet.
Throw me 30 🔥whales if you need an update, and I'll let you know what I expect next. $BTC #BTC

The price is moving sideways. The trades I'm watching for are a breakout of 109K to trigger the H&S pattern, with targets of 104-105K. $BTC

A false breakout of 109K is at the upper boundary of the sideways trend at 115-116.
Give me a 🔥 if you need an update on Ethereum

Why are privacy coins growing?
The global financial system is moving toward strict capital controls. The US is already imposing restrictions on the inflow of private capital—a step never seen before. In the future, the global economy will split into several "technozones."
Capital will circulate only within these zones. Transfers, including private ones, will be prohibited between them. To achieve this, CBDCs—programmable digital currencies—are being introduced. Sending them outside their economic zone will be impossible: such a function simply won't exist.
Against this backdrop, cryptocurrency remains the only instrument for cross-border capital movement. However, most cryptoassets are traceable, which brings back the focus on privacy coins.
Major privacy cryptocurrencies:
* Monero $XMR — a completely anonymous coin. A model of privacy.
* Zcash $ZEC — technology similar to Bitcoin, but completely confidential.
* Dash $DASH — partial (optional) anonymity.
* Horizen $ZEN — a Zcash fork with scaling potential.
* Verge $XVG — also offers optional anonymity.
New projects:
* Secret Network (SCRT) — privacy not only for transactions but also for smart contracts.
* Oasis Network (ROSE) — partial privacy, focused on private computing.
Conclusion:
Demand for anonymous cryptocurrencies will grow as capital controls tighten.
From an investment perspective, the risk is high.
From a speculation and trading perspective, there may be good opportunities amidst the surge in interest in privacy.
Let me know your reactions, and I'll create a review of Secret Network, Verge, and ROSE, analyzing entry points and key levels. #Privacy

Of course, altcoins have been squeezed very hard, 80-85% on many "promising" coins.
But one in particular stands out—it was simply driven to zero, the current record-holder being ATOM. The spot price reached zero, falling from $4.
The question is, why did they deliberately squeeze everyone out of these coins to eliminate their chances, and then pump them up without any extra passengers, or is the project simply dead and lacking liquidity? What do you think? $ATOM #ATOM @Cosmos - The Interchain

💡Ethereum tested the $3,500 support level amid a cryptocurrency market decline following the announcement of tariffs against China, but has recovered and is now trading around $4,000K.
🔍 The risk of further decline remains toward the $3,500 zone, as the support zone is often tested after a massive sell-off. A local trend reversal is expected after the price returns above $4,300.
However, as long as the price remains above the $3,000-$3,200 zone, we can say the uptrend is intact.
💰 I've been buying $70 worth of cryptocurrency over the past week as part of my DCA portfolio.
🖋️ As a reminder, I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. #DCA #ETH @Ethereum

🪙 One of the largest liquidations in the crypto market in history.
Bitcoin -15%, altcoins -75% on average. Many were liquidated, and one of my accounts was partially affected.
What do I expect next? I can't bring myself to recommend buying anything now; it's not the most reliable idea, as the market is completely seller-driven, and they could continue to apply pressure. After such a drop, the price could still return and take away the liquidity that remained below 108,000, all the way down to 100,000. There's a lot of liquidity in the order book at the top, all the way up to 120,000, with a large stack at 117,000, while at the bottom, it's 108,000,000, and 104,000. Therefore, buying only on spot, without margin, with a long-term view will yield a good return.
Somewhere in this range, the price will stabilize, and the picture will become clearer by Monday. #BTC $BTC

💡After last week's 10% rally, Bitcoin reached $126,000. It corrected by 4% yesterday and is currently trading around $123,000.
🔍 The risk of a further decline remains towards $116,000, with pressure from LTH position fixing balanced by renewed inflows into ETFs.
For the uptrend to continue, the price must return above $123,000. In that case, we can expect a new ATH.
💰 I've been buying $70 over the past week as part of my DCA portfolio.
🖋️ As a reminder, I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. The results and portfolio are publicly available.
#DCA #BTC $BTC

Yesterday, Bitcoin corrected by 4%—a significant move considering its cap. Recent growth has been largely supported by inflows into ETFs, which have recently resumed but have been offset by selling from long-term holders. Currently, approximately 95% of holders are in the black, increasing profit-taking pressure on the price.
If ETF inflows weaken, this will be a factor for further declines. Futures contract activity is also worth considering—their volumes are at historical highs, and they are used with high leverage, making the market vulnerable to sharp movements.
On the chart, the key zones remain:
— resistance at 123K–123.5K, where a large number of orders and liquidations are concentrated;
— the next level is 126K;
— support at 121K and 120.2K, where large orders and liquidations are concentrated.
The main selling pressure came from 123K. If the price consolidates below 123.5K and remains below this resistance, a further decline to the 116,000-115,000 range is likely. A return above 123.5K will indicate that buyers have regained the initiative and could lead to a test of the local high.
How to trade this: it's important to wait for confirmation of the direction. For a confident entry, the price needs to consolidate either above 123,500, with an eye on continued growth, or below 121K, with a target of 116,000-115,000.
Also, a false breakout would be an excellent setup.
Without confirmation, the price will continue to trade within the range. $BTC #BTC

@Litecoin which used to be called digital silver but now has no name; everyone has forgotten about it.
On-chain analysis of long-term holders' sentiment, which shows price peaks when long-term investors begin to lock in their positions. Currently, long-term investors are still holding on to their coins and not dumping them into the market, indicating expectations for price growth.
On the weekly chart, the price has been trading sideways since 2022, ranging from $50 to $150. Since last year, a squeeze with a local uptrend has begun to form, and is now approaching the upper boundary of the sideways trend.
A breakout of 120% is likely to push the price to the $300 region. A similar potential is also seen with a breakout of the local triangle that formed on the daily chart.
On the 4-hour chart, the price has now approached the distribution zone it reached last summer, when it reached $135. The price is currently testing this zone as well, so buying at this resistance level is inadvisable because the upside is limited to 15-20%. However, if the market corrects, the price could revert to the lower boundary of this triangle in the $80-$90 region, where buying opportunities could be considered.
Key support is below $75.
Where could this breakout of the consolidation occur? This could be related to the adoption of a Litecoin ETF. Three applications have been submitted (Canary, CoinShares, Grayscale, converting the existing LTC Trust into an ETF). Due to the shutdown in the US, the SEC will only begin work after the settlement, and the ETF adoption could begin before the end of the year, or the deadline is Q1 2026.
Therefore, to summarize, it's safe to say that some medium-term Litecoin positions make sense. I believe that if the $140-$145 zone is broken, there's an increased likelihood of a move to the $200 zone and possibly further if the trend accelerates, or to catch the market from the lower boundary in the $80-$90 zone to the upper boundary. $LTC
#LTC $LTC

Name an altcoin?
Throw in 120 🔥
I'll make a post about a coin that no one really cares about yet.

The coin has been moving sideways for over six months. Open interest has recently increased, indicating a position buildup.
An important zone to watch is 0.28-0.3, as a breakout could trigger a move the full width of the sideways range (60%) and the $0.44 zone. The next zone the price could reach is $0.8.
Key support that shouldn't be broken is $0.18.
The coin has a wide range of applications, from staking to RWA, and is already used by major funds such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Spiko, totaling over $1 billion. DYOR.
#Polygon @0xPolygon $POL

Bitcoin has reached a new ATH, reaching almost 126,000, creating a full megaphone pattern.
Bitcoin is currently experiencing massive flow, and we need to watch for a repeat of the summer peak, when the movement completely reversed.
The important zone is 121.4k; if sellers absorb it, it could lead to a deeper correction to 119k and 117k.
One zone where the price could continue to rise is 127.7k, where there are many orders in the book. $BTC #BTC

🔷Closed my Ethereum position, +85% or 1.8R.
H&S potential is 90% exploited; it could go higher, but it's still weak, with a weak R/R, and the expiration is at 4.5 billion today. And they drew a shady pin bar. Overall, it's not comfortable.
By the way, I'm testing a new strategy for short-term speculation, or trading, whichever you prefer.
When the market creates a profitable position, I use a strategy of adding to the position rather than cutting it. To maximize my profit.
For example, a 100% entry, and then adding 10% at a time. With a trailing stop for each addition and the main position. You can see how it looks on the chart.
95% of people do the opposite, and I used to do it myself, cutting a profitable position as the trend developed. If 95% of people do this and they can't make money, then we'll do the opposite. What do you think? 🤔 #ETH @Ethereum $ETH

#ASTER новая хайповая платформа для торговли DEX криптодеривативами. За последние 24 часа её объём оказался в 9 раз выше, чем у Hyperliquid. Основное внимание участников сейчас приковано к Airdrop второго сезона: отсечки для него заканчиваются 5 октября, однако дата распространения до сих пор неизвестна.

Текущая слабая динамика цены ASTER объясняется тем, что вчера открылся вывод средств для первоначальной заявки на airdrop, и часть участников фиксирует прибыль.

С технической точки зрения инструмент пробил нисходящий тренд и подходит к важной зоне 2 долларов. При благоприятном сценарии цену могут закинуть выше — в район теста исторического максимума. Но почему этот токен должен стоить дорого мне не понятно, и мы можем увидеть как по классике его опустят на -80-90% где может снова появится интерес. $ASTER

✅ +200% from the zone I indicated upon breaking through $50.
An interesting fact is that Zcash began trading in 2017 at $30,000 per coin, and paired with Bitcoin at 25 Bitcoins per ZEC😀. It was then predicted that it would replace Bitcoin due to its greater privacy.
It's just a parabola. Fidelity added fuel to the movement by publishing a post about the Zcash trust fund.
I hope everyone understands that buying in such a place is quite risky :) Although the growth could certainly continue, no one knows.
But if you're still interested in buying, you should at least wait for a correction to the Fibonacci zones from 0.382 to 0.786, or $110-$70 in real money.
I unloaded part of the position I'd taken on at $65 on the spot. I left some in a cold wallet. $ZEC @Zcash Official #ZEC

📈 Crypto Market Seasonality in October
Historically, October is one of the strongest months for crypto assets.
🪙Bitcoin:
82% of the month closed higher.
The average October return was +19.5%.
🔷 Ethereum:
70% of the month closed positive.
The average October return was +9.9%.
Thus, October traditionally kicks off the autumn rally and is considered a bullish month for both BTC and ETH. Past seasonality does not guarantee a repeat in the future, but it increases the chances. #Seasonality

Today, the news is focusing on the US shutdown. But markets are driven by expectations, not actual events. Since there are no strong movements on the charts, it means the market isn't yet pricing in any serious risks.
There are two truly important events, however:
1️⃣ Today marks the quarterly expiration of BTC and ETH derivatives. A large volume will leave the market, which could cause sharp movements, as happened after the Fed meeting last week.
2️⃣ On Friday, Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released—a key macro indicator that markets are currently closely monitoring.
⚠️ Therefore, the main focus is on this evening and Friday. $BTC $ETH

#ZEC A month ago, I called on Zcash, with the potential for a breakout above $50. Since then, the coin has gained 50% in a falling market.
The coin has seen many updates, which I also mentioned in my previous post.
My spot portfolio contains a handful of coins, about 2%. $ZEC @Zcash Official

💡Ethereum tested the 4000K support.
🔍 The risk of further decline remains towards the $3500 zone, amid cooling ETF inflows.
For the uptrend to continue, the price must remain above $3200, where the sloping level provides support.
💰 I'm adding $70 over the past week as part of my DCA portfolio.
🖋️ As a reminder, I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. The results and portfolio are publicly available.

#DCA #ETH $ETH @Ethereum

On Ethereum, the price reached the 4125 zone, where the stop was located, and the position was closed at the stop. I locked in a loss of 1r.
Currently, there's momentum that hasn't developed yet. But yesterday, volume was added, and the price is currently in this range. There's significant resistance above, starting from current prices up to 4250. I don't want to buy into this resistance right now, so I'm waiting to see how the price goes. This zone could form a short scenario with a false breakout, or a long position could form if this zone breaks above 4250. Shorts remain the priority, but they could also be pulled up to the average price first. Therefore, I won't simply short without a setup.
For now, I'm watching. #ETH $ETH @Ethereum