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$BTC $1B+ Open Interest ramp up in 3 hours during a weekend. BTC has been strong lately but be careful when a lot of leverage is added during weekends.
$BTC $1B+ Open Interest ramp up in 3 hours during a weekend.

BTC has been strong lately but be careful when a lot of leverage is added during weekends.
While $BTC made new highs, we can see how the $TOTAL Altcoin Market Cap is still nowhere close. Even though it has bounced and taken back some previous losses, it's still 30%+ away from reaching those all time highs (which are still from 2021). The key horizontal level on the chart is what needs to be broken for alts to play some catch up with BTC. But overall, the BTC trend is just much stronger as it has been all cycle.
While $BTC made new highs, we can see how the $TOTAL Altcoin Market Cap is still nowhere close.

Even though it has bounced and taken back some previous losses, it's still 30%+ away from reaching those all time highs (which are still from 2021).

The key horizontal level on the chart is what needs to be broken for alts to play some catch up with BTC. But overall, the BTC trend is just much stronger as it has been all cycle.
While $BTC made new highs, we can see how the $TOTAL Altcoin Market Cap is still nowhere close. Even though it has bounced and taken back some previous losses, it's still 30%+ away from reaching those all time highs (which are still from 2021). The key horizontal level on the chart is what needs to be broken for alts to play some catch up with BTC. But overall, the BTC trend is just much stronger as it has been all cycle.
While $BTC made new highs, we can see how the $TOTAL Altcoin Market Cap is still nowhere close.

Even though it has bounced and taken back some previous losses, it's still 30%+ away from reaching those all time highs (which are still from 2021).

The key horizontal level on the chart is what needs to be broken for alts to play some catch up with BTC. But overall, the BTC trend is just much stronger as it has been all cycle.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction. We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle. If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible. These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money. Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
It's a fact that most summers, price action gets relatively choppy and doesn't often trend in a strong direction.

We saw it in 2023 and 2024 this cycle.

If there are any signs that we'd go through something similar again in 2025 where we're just following up big moves with full retraces every few weeks or so, my goal will be to try and do as little as possible.

These periods can be good to rebalance long term exposure and do some shorter term trades. But positioning for swing trades and roundtripping your "bottom" or "top" entries is generally quite wasteful of your time, energy and money.

Just writing this for future reference and to remind others that the Summer is generally pretty slow as there's simply less volume, liquidity and market participants. The same counts for stocks.
$BTC relative to Stocks trading back at the all time highs. We saw a strong outperformance since the liberation day uncertainty. Then we saw stocks outperform for a week or so since the US-China Trade "Deal" as uncertainty was removed from the market. Since then, BTC took the lead back. Will keep monitoring the ratio. The higher this holds, the more bullish it is for BTC.
$BTC relative to Stocks trading back at the all time highs.

We saw a strong outperformance since the liberation day uncertainty.

Then we saw stocks outperform for a week or so since the US-China Trade "Deal" as uncertainty was removed from the market. Since then, BTC took the lead back.

Will keep monitoring the ratio. The higher this holds, the more bullish it is for BTC.
Can't recall a time in history where $BTC just casually traded around in a 1% range at all time highs. Bigger move following once it breaks this local tiny range. Quite a lot of positions being build up on both sides.
Can't recall a time in history where $BTC just casually traded around in a 1% range at all time highs.

Bigger move following once it breaks this local tiny range. Quite a lot of positions being build up on both sides.
$BTC Superb Price Action. $500+ candles every few minutes 🤪
$BTC Superb Price Action.

$500+ candles every few minutes 🤪
It's going to be an interesting trading day today.
It's going to be an interesting trading day today.
$ETH Has been chopping around the 2400-2600 region since the big squeeze higher. Although $BTC is strong and has made a new all time high, ETH is lagging behind again on this most recent move. This has caused the ETH/BTC ratio to cool off a bit as well. My levels of interest are market on the chart. The <2500 area has been defended well so far but we've not seen a strong follow up yet. Above 2850 and below 2100 are key areas.
$ETH Has been chopping around the 2400-2600 region since the big squeeze higher.

Although $BTC is strong and has made a new all time high, ETH is lagging behind again on this most recent move.

This has caused the ETH/BTC ratio to cool off a bit as well.

My levels of interest are market on the chart. The <2500 area has been defended well so far but we've not seen a strong follow up yet.

Above 2850 and below 2100 are key areas.
$BTC Arrived at its range & all time high area. This is resistance until it's not. Generally not where you want to be adding on crazy amounts of risk until a proper breakout is confirmed. A daily close would be a good start.
$BTC Arrived at its range & all time high area.

This is resistance until it's not. Generally not where you want to be adding on crazy amounts of risk until a proper breakout is confirmed. A daily close would be a good start.
The $SPX bounce has been pretty insane, recovering back to its yearly open and is now green since Liberation day. Although I've been loving this bounce after buying into tech stocks during the first week of April (shared on here), the sheer pace of this bounce is what makes me a little cautious. This recovery, although a smaller move, has only taken about a month. Compared to for example 3 months after the covid crash which was paired with massive stimulus. Something we don't have (yet). I did scale out a good bunch of profits after most of the buys have been up 30-50% in the matter of weeks. Generally you expect those returns over 1-3 years on average. Not 4 weeks. So happy to scale out in that regard and have some cash on the side. As for $BTC, it has been strong during the tariff drama but has kinda stalled against $SPX since the US/China "deal" was made. I would assume some higher low being created does put some pressure on BTC as well. If stocks go down and BTC holds up well then that'd be incredibly bullish but I think this mostly comes down to the pace of the sell off (when it comes). Anyways, we'll see what we get. I think we've gone from sentiment expecting a 1929 depression repeat to a lot of good news being baked in now, within a 1 month time span. Expecting summer to be mostly choppy and don't like the risk/reward on equities much in the short/mid term. If we get 5250 or 5500 I'll start slowly scaling back in exposure. For now I'm happy yielding 4-5% on the cash while I wait out what the market does next.
The $SPX bounce has been pretty insane, recovering back to its yearly open and is now green since Liberation day.

Although I've been loving this bounce after buying into tech stocks during the first week of April (shared on here), the sheer pace of this bounce is what makes me a little cautious. This recovery, although a smaller move, has only taken about a month. Compared to for example 3 months after the covid crash which was paired with massive stimulus. Something we don't have (yet).

I did scale out a good bunch of profits after most of the buys have been up 30-50% in the matter of weeks. Generally you expect those returns over 1-3 years on average. Not 4 weeks. So happy to scale out in that regard and have some cash on the side.

As for $BTC, it has been strong during the tariff drama but has kinda stalled against $SPX since the US/China "deal" was made. I would assume some higher low being created does put some pressure on BTC as well. If stocks go down and BTC holds up well then that'd be incredibly bullish but I think this mostly comes down to the pace of the sell off (when it comes).

Anyways, we'll see what we get. I think we've gone from sentiment expecting a 1929 depression repeat to a lot of good news being baked in now, within a 1 month time span. Expecting summer to be mostly choppy and don't like the risk/reward on equities much in the short/mid term.

If we get 5250 or 5500 I'll start slowly scaling back in exposure. For now I'm happy yielding 4-5% on the cash while I wait out what the market does next.
$BTC Just made a new all time high.
$BTC Just made a new all time high.
Most of $BTC's returns this month have come during the US & EU trading sessions. Meanwhile, the Asia session has been rather bearish and has been flat over the month and negative during the last week.
Most of $BTC's returns this month have come during the US & EU trading sessions.

Meanwhile, the Asia session has been rather bearish and has been flat over the month and negative during the last week.
The Big Hyperliquid Whale, @JamesWynnReal has been sitting on a large unrealized profit. He just scaled out half of his previously $800M+ $BTC position during the last hour. This is partially why you've seen the move down just now, as he's essentially twapping out $15M clips every few minutes currently. Hats off to this degen. You can call it skill or you can call it luck. But to open nearly a billion $ size position publically for everyone to track is insane and not something we've seen before. Interesting times.
The Big Hyperliquid Whale, @JamesWynnReal has been sitting on a large unrealized profit.

He just scaled out half of his previously $800M+ $BTC position during the last hour.

This is partially why you've seen the move down just now, as he's essentially twapping out $15M clips every few minutes currently.

Hats off to this degen. You can call it skill or you can call it luck. But to open nearly a billion $ size position publically for everyone to track is insane and not something we've seen before.

Interesting times.
$PAAL Slowly grinding higher making consistent higher highs and higher lows since March. Looking for a break of that $0.18 level to get the part started and accelerate the momentum. AI coins were the best performers next to Memes on this recent bounce and this has been the case for the entire cycle. So naturally, it has my interest and I bought into some PAAL as well.
$PAAL Slowly grinding higher making consistent higher highs and higher lows since March.

Looking for a break of that $0.18 level to get the part started and accelerate the momentum.

AI coins were the best performers next to Memes on this recent bounce and this has been the case for the entire cycle. So naturally, it has my interest and I bought into some PAAL as well.
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