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Is Wall Street Really Warming Up to Ethereum? The Truth Behind ETH ETF Inflows A year ago, when enthusiasm for the launch of Ethereum ETFs was at its peak, we took a contrarian bearish stance. Wall Street lacked a compelling marketing narrative to position these products to institutional investors, and on-chain activity on the Ethereum network was largely stagnant. Unsurprisingly, Ether prices fell from $4,000 to $1,500. Why this report matters Now, as financial markets rebound, helped by easing concerns over Trump's tariffs, Ethereum has also recovered. While we expected a pullback a few days ago, price action has proven more resilient than anticipated. Where do we stand on Ethereum today? Technically, Ethereum is approaching the apex of a broader triangle formation, with an eventual breakout likely to push prices toward either $2,000 or $3,000. Such a move would be significant and could be triggered by shifting fundamentals or simply the entry of a large buyer. The key questions now: Has Wall Street finally begun effectively marketing Ethereum ETFs to long-only investors, potentially unlocking a similar inflow dynamic to Bitcoin? Has on-chain activity improved after the Petra upgrade, as Ethereum attempts to recapture value lost to Layer 2s? And is Sharplink Gaming’s $425 million ETH treasury purchase a sign that institutional adoption is finally taking root? Or is the recent progress of the GENIUS Act, a stablecoin bill advancing in the U.S. Senate, the real catalyst behind Ethereum’s price resilience? We answer all those important questions in our latest report, see link in the bio to our website and take it from there. A big move is coming.... --
Is Wall Street Really Warming Up to Ethereum? The Truth Behind ETH ETF Inflows

A year ago, when enthusiasm for the launch of Ethereum ETFs was at its peak, we took a contrarian bearish stance.

Wall Street lacked a compelling marketing narrative to position these products to institutional investors, and on-chain activity on the Ethereum network was largely stagnant.

Unsurprisingly, Ether prices fell from $4,000 to $1,500.

Why this report matters

Now, as financial markets rebound, helped by easing concerns over Trump's tariffs, Ethereum has also recovered.

While we expected a pullback a few days ago, price action has proven more resilient than anticipated.

Where do we stand on Ethereum today?

Technically, Ethereum is approaching the apex of a broader triangle formation, with an eventual breakout likely to push prices toward either $2,000 or $3,000.

Such a move would be significant and could be triggered by shifting fundamentals or simply the entry of a large buyer.

The key questions now:

Has Wall Street finally begun effectively marketing Ethereum ETFs to long-only investors, potentially unlocking a similar inflow dynamic to Bitcoin?

Has on-chain activity improved after the Petra upgrade, as Ethereum attempts to recapture value lost to Layer 2s?

And is Sharplink Gaming’s $425 million ETH treasury purchase a sign that institutional adoption is finally taking root?

Or is the recent progress of the GENIUS Act, a stablecoin bill advancing in the U.S. Senate, the real catalyst behind Ethereum’s price resilience?

We answer all those important questions in our latest report, see link in the bio to our website and take it from there. A big move is coming....

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The One Chart Explaining Why Altcoins Still Aren’t Moving Why This Report Matters Altcoin bulls were promised fireworks—what crypto Twitter once called the "banana zone"—but reality has delivered a slow grind. Despite Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs and attracting deep-pocketed institutions, altcoins are stuck in neutral, weighed down by relentless unlocks and a narrative void. The old playbook of hype and leverage isn’t working in a world of 4.5% bond yields. Even Ethereum, once the heart of crypto innovation, has settled into staking for a modest yield. So what’s really holding altcoins back this cycle—and who, if anyone, is still buying? The answers reveal a very different market structure than many expected. Main Argument It doesn’t take much to trigger altcoin pumps; a few well-placed buy orders can easily overwhelm low liquidity. However, sustaining those rallies is a different story. That requires broader participation from retail investors, and that’s where the real challenge lies. For over a year, crypto Twitter has repeatedly promised an explosive altcoin season, what some dubbed the “banana zone.” But that narrative has yet to materialize. Despite the hype, we still aren’t seeing the key ingredients needed to support such a rally. Read the full report, see link in the bio, and understand why is truly holding altcoins back...
The One Chart Explaining Why Altcoins Still Aren’t Moving

Why This Report Matters

Altcoin bulls were promised fireworks—what crypto Twitter once called the "banana zone"—but reality has delivered a slow grind.

Despite Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs and attracting deep-pocketed institutions, altcoins are stuck in neutral, weighed down by relentless unlocks and a narrative void.

The old playbook of hype and leverage isn’t working in a world of 4.5% bond yields.

Even Ethereum, once the heart of crypto innovation, has settled into staking for a modest yield.

So what’s really holding altcoins back this cycle—and who, if anyone, is still buying?

The answers reveal a very different market structure than many expected.

Main Argument

It doesn’t take much to trigger altcoin pumps; a few well-placed buy orders can easily overwhelm low liquidity.

However, sustaining those rallies is a different story.

That requires broader participation from retail investors, and that’s where the real challenge lies.

For over a year, crypto Twitter has repeatedly promised an explosive altcoin season, what some dubbed the “banana zone.”
But that narrative has yet to materialize.

Despite the hype, we still aren’t seeing the key ingredients needed to support such a rally.

Read the full report, see link in the bio, and understand why is truly holding altcoins back...
Blinded by Liquidity: Bitcoin’s False ProphetWhy This Report Matters Bitcoin continues to climb, but the story behind the rally may not be what most investors think. At the center of it all is a seductive narrative—one that promises clarity through the lens of global liquidity. The charts look convincing, the correlation looks strong… until it suddenly isn’t. History has shown how quickly conviction can turn into complacency. What if the most widely accepted explanation for Bitcoin’s move is also its biggest risk? We unpack the cracks forming beneath the surface, and what savvy investors need to watch before the next move surprises the crowd. Main Argument Macro theories often capture investors' imaginations, but the reality is less glamorous. Over the past two decades, macro investing has been one of the most challenging strategies for hedge funds. Notably, legends like Soros and Druckenmiller based much of their success on bottom-up analysis, despite being labeled macro investors. Peter Thiel also found early success in macro before ultimately returning to his roots in tech-focused venture capital. And economists? They’re notoriously unreliable when it comes to forecasting economic data. While macro commentary often sounds intellectually compelling, relying solely on this lens rarely leads to consistent investment success. More often, it functions as a narrative device for Wall Street rather than a practical framework for generating returns. Peter Thiel is known for asking a provocative question to test contrarian thinking: “Tell me something that’s true that almost nobody agrees with you on.” But this question can just as easily be flipped: “Tell me something that’s false that almost nobody disagrees with you on.” Both versions are designed to uncover originality of thought and the courage to challenge consensus, even when it’s unpopular. We believe the claim that Bitcoin is driven solely by liquidity is flawed, and below, we explain why that narrative doesn’t hold up. Read our full report, helping you understand what everybody gets wrong about Liquidity (link in the bio)...

Blinded by Liquidity: Bitcoin’s False Prophet

Why This Report Matters

Bitcoin continues to climb, but the story behind the rally may not be what most investors think.

At the center of it all is a seductive narrative—one that promises clarity through the lens of global liquidity.

The charts look convincing, the correlation looks strong… until it suddenly isn’t.
History has shown how quickly conviction can turn into complacency.

What if the most widely accepted explanation for Bitcoin’s move is also its biggest risk?
We unpack the cracks forming beneath the surface, and what savvy investors need to watch before the next move surprises the crowd.

Main Argument

Macro theories often capture investors' imaginations, but the reality is less glamorous.
Over the past two decades, macro investing has been one of the most challenging strategies for hedge funds.

Notably, legends like Soros and Druckenmiller based much of their success on bottom-up analysis, despite being labeled macro investors.

Peter Thiel also found early success in macro before ultimately returning to his roots in tech-focused venture capital. And economists?

They’re notoriously unreliable when it comes to forecasting economic data.
While macro commentary often sounds intellectually compelling, relying solely on this lens rarely leads to consistent investment success.

More often, it functions as a narrative device for Wall Street rather than a practical framework for generating returns.

Peter Thiel is known for asking a provocative question to test contrarian thinking: “Tell me something that’s true that almost nobody agrees with you on.” But this question can just as easily be flipped: “Tell me something that’s false that almost nobody disagrees with you on.”
Both versions are designed to uncover originality of thought and the courage to challenge consensus, even when it’s unpopular.

We believe the claim that Bitcoin is driven solely by liquidity is flawed, and below, we explain why that narrative doesn’t hold up.

Read our full report, helping you understand what everybody gets wrong about Liquidity (link in the bio)...
Tactical Bitcoin Bearish as MicroStrategy’s retail extraction strategy takes a pause. Why This Report Matters Bitcoin just posted another strong month, but beneath the surface, cracks are forming. A growing divergence between price action, volatility, and retail behavior suggests the cycle may be shifting. Major players, such as MicroStrategy, are slowing their purchases, and key altcoins are slipping below critical support levels. Volumes are fading, momentum is fracturing, and the technical signs are eerily similar to what we saw in 2021, just before things turned. Main Arguments We took a contrarian bearish stance on Bitcoin back in February and were also among the first to rejoin the rally in early April. However, after a 25% move higher, we turned bearish again last week, initiating a put spread trade idea on MicroStrategy. We followed up on our report, “10 Bearish Signals Bitcoin Bulls Are Ignoring Right Now,” and with Bitcoin now struggling to hold the $106,000 support level, our timing appears well-aligned once again. Key developments in MicroStrategy’s NAV, declining trading volume, and—critically—falling volatility may be early signs that this gravy train is running out of steam. Our “10 Bearish Signals” report remains highly relevant and could help preserve valuable capital, capital that can be redeployed into Bitcoin once the market bottoms. See our full report Please take a look at the full report for trade ideas and our insights into where we think Bitcoin is headed next - see the link in our bio.
Tactical Bitcoin Bearish as MicroStrategy’s retail extraction strategy takes a pause.

Why This Report Matters

Bitcoin just posted another strong month, but beneath the surface, cracks are forming.

A growing divergence between price action, volatility, and retail behavior suggests the cycle may be shifting.

Major players, such as MicroStrategy, are slowing their purchases, and key altcoins are slipping below critical support levels.

Volumes are fading, momentum is fracturing, and the technical signs are eerily similar to what we saw in 2021, just before things turned.

Main Arguments

We took a contrarian bearish stance on Bitcoin back in February and were also among the first to rejoin the rally in early April.

However, after a 25% move higher, we turned bearish again last week, initiating a put spread trade idea on MicroStrategy.

We followed up on our report, “10 Bearish Signals Bitcoin Bulls Are Ignoring Right Now,” and with Bitcoin now struggling to hold the $106,000 support level, our timing appears well-aligned once again.

Key developments in MicroStrategy’s NAV, declining trading volume, and—critically—falling volatility may be early signs that this gravy train is running out of steam.

Our “10 Bearish Signals” report remains highly relevant and could help preserve valuable capital, capital that can be redeployed into Bitcoin once the market bottoms.

See our full report

Please take a look at the full report for trade ideas and our insights into where we think Bitcoin is headed next - see the link in our bio.
10 Bearish Signals Bitcoin Bulls Are Ignoring Right Now Why This Report Matters Bitcoin’s sharp rally since April has captivated investors, but signs are emerging that the engine behind this move may be running low on fuel. While price action remains strong, several critical momentum indicators are flashing early warnings. Capital inflows from ETFs and institutional buyers like MicroStrategy appear to be slowing, just as volatility drops and retail interest wanes. Surprisingly, Asia has taken the reins in driving prices, yet this narrow buying window may not hold indefinitely. With market euphoria building and valuations stretched, is this the calm before the storm—or just a summer breather? The data tells a compelling story that every serious crypto investor needs to see. Read the full report, see the link in our bio, as we identified 10 bearish signals that can make the difference between locking in your Bitcoin returns or riding down the consolidation phase. While no investor wants to sell too early, missing the opportunity to sell high can leave fewer chances to buy low later—time to read our report and decide for yourself.
10 Bearish Signals Bitcoin Bulls Are Ignoring Right Now

Why This Report Matters

Bitcoin’s sharp rally since April has captivated investors, but signs are emerging that the engine behind this move may be running low on fuel.

While price action remains strong, several critical momentum indicators are flashing early warnings.

Capital inflows from ETFs and institutional buyers like MicroStrategy appear to be slowing, just as volatility drops and retail interest wanes.

Surprisingly, Asia has taken the reins in driving prices, yet this narrow buying window may not hold indefinitely.

With market euphoria building and valuations stretched, is this the calm before the storm—or just a summer breather?

The data tells a compelling story that every serious crypto investor needs to see.

Read the full report, see the link in our bio, as we identified 10 bearish signals that can make the difference between locking in your Bitcoin returns or riding down the consolidation phase.

While no investor wants to sell too early, missing the opportunity to sell high can leave fewer chances to buy low later—time to read our report and decide for yourself.
Metaplanet Is Trading at $596,154 per Bitcoin—Time to Short?Why this report matters: Bitcoin is up $15,000 in weeks—but not for the reasons most think. A little-known Japanese stock trades as if Bitcoin were worth $596,154, more than five times its actual price. Meanwhile, Asian trading hours quietly take control of the market narrative, and a dangerous NAV distortion is forming beneath the surface. With volatility dropping and retail flows shifting, the signals we see now closely resemble past inflection points. Something unusual is happening across Japan’s bond market, currency flows, and crypto proxies—and it’s not in the headlines yet. You'll want to read this if you're looking for where the next big move starts. Main argument: Bitcoin is undeniably one of the most groundbreaking innovations of the 21st century, yet widespread misconceptions persist. One of the most fundamental principles, “not your keys, not your coins”, is rarely emphasized, and we’ve drifted far from Satoshi’s original vision of a truly peer-to-peer electronic cash system. Today, billions in retail capital are funneled into vehicles that promise Bitcoin exposure, but often at a steep markup. In some cases, investors unknowingly pay a 447% premium, buying Bitcoin at $596,154 while the actual market price is just $109,000. While some of our calls have been controversial, many have proven remarkably accurate. Notably, in December 2022, we flagged Grayscale’s GBTC trading at a 47% discount to NAV (Bitcoin was at $18,000) as one of our top trades for 2023 (including Solana at $13.70), at a time when sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish and recession fears were high. On January 29, 2024, we wrote that “MicroStrategy might be a better bet than the Bitcoin ETFs,” highlighting that the stock was trading at a 7% discount to Bitcoin, effectively calling the bottom before its explosive NAV revaluation. We also identified MicroStrategy as a breakout candidate on October 7, 2024, when the stock traded at $177 (now $380). Read the full report which is available on our 'updates' site..

Metaplanet Is Trading at $596,154 per Bitcoin—Time to Short?

Why this report matters:

Bitcoin is up $15,000 in weeks—but not for the reasons most think.

A little-known Japanese stock trades as if Bitcoin were worth $596,154, more than five times its actual price.

Meanwhile, Asian trading hours quietly take control of the market narrative, and a dangerous NAV distortion is forming beneath the surface.

With volatility dropping and retail flows shifting, the signals we see now closely resemble past inflection points.

Something unusual is happening across Japan’s bond market, currency flows, and crypto proxies—and it’s not in the headlines yet.

You'll want to read this if you're looking for where the next big move starts.

Main argument:

Bitcoin is undeniably one of the most groundbreaking innovations of the 21st century, yet widespread misconceptions persist.

One of the most fundamental principles, “not your keys, not your coins”, is rarely emphasized, and we’ve drifted far from Satoshi’s original vision of a truly peer-to-peer electronic cash system.

Today, billions in retail capital are funneled into vehicles that promise Bitcoin exposure, but often at a steep markup.

In some cases, investors unknowingly pay a 447% premium, buying Bitcoin at $596,154 while the actual market price is just $109,000. While some of our calls have been controversial, many have proven remarkably accurate.

Notably, in December 2022, we flagged Grayscale’s GBTC trading at a 47% discount to NAV (Bitcoin was at $18,000) as one of our top trades for 2023 (including Solana at $13.70), at a time when sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish and recession fears were high.

On January 29, 2024, we wrote that “MicroStrategy might be a better bet than the Bitcoin ETFs,” highlighting that the stock was trading at a 7% discount to Bitcoin, effectively calling the bottom before its explosive NAV revaluation.

We also identified MicroStrategy as a breakout candidate on October 7, 2024, when the stock traded at $177 (now $380). Read the full report which is available on our 'updates' site..
MicroStrategy Collapsing (-7.5%)? Our Put Spread Trade +66%Yesterday, we issued a bearish put spread idea on MicroStrategy as our reversal indicators signaled weakness. More critically, we flagged the sharp drop in volatility and its broader implications. MicroStrategy dropped 7.5% following our note, highlighting our research's timeliness, accuracy, and actionable nature. In Q1 2025, our research outperformed Bitcoin by generating +11% alpha. We turned bearish in February near $95,000 and re-entered mid-April when our trend model signaled a bullish reversal—since then, Bitcoin has been up over 30%. We’ve also added high-conviction leveraged trades, including Bitdeer (+90%) and well-performing Bitcoin call spreads. Our analysis identified that Coinbase was undervalued relative to Bitcoin, with shares rising by +30% since we showed the chart overlay. We also outperformed Bitcoin on the way up by strategically adding leverage when the risk-reward profile turned favorable. Even if you’re only trading Bitcoin, our research delivers clear value, providing timely insights that enhance performance and save time. Why This Report Matters Bitcoin is making new all-time highs, but one of its biggest proxies, MicroStrategy, isn’t keeping up. Under the surface, something is shifting: volatility is falling, momentum is fading, and key signals are quietly flashing caution. Retail traders chasing upside may not realize what’s already changed. We’ve seen this setup before, and it rarely ends as most expect. In a market where perception often moves faster than reality, knowing what matters now can mean the difference between profit and regret. The full report breaks down the signals, levels, and setups professionals are already watching. While at university, I spent two summers at the derivatives and structured products desks at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. These desks specialized in sourcing cheap volatility and reselling it at a premium. In practice, this meant buying volatility from hedge funds and packaging it into products sold to retail investors, allowing banks to capture riskless profits in the middle. How can retail investors possibly assess the fair value of volatility when most don’t even have access to an option pricing model on their computer? This is, in many ways, what MicroStrategy is doing today. They are sourcing, or engineering, cheap Bitcoin volatility and selling it at a premium. Like the banks, MicroStrategy acts as the middleman, rarely taking on real risk. As long as prices continue to rise, everyone wins. It’s financial engineering, creating billions of dollars out of thin air as eager retail investors buy into the illusion of unlimited upside, fueled by bold promises that a $1 million Bitcoin is just around the corner. The first sign that this three-party dynamic is unraveling is when MicroStrategy’s stock stops rising or its volatility begins to fade. Read the full report free on our website - link in bio.

MicroStrategy Collapsing (-7.5%)? Our Put Spread Trade +66%

Yesterday, we issued a bearish put spread idea on MicroStrategy as our reversal indicators signaled weakness. More critically, we flagged the sharp drop in volatility and its broader implications. MicroStrategy dropped 7.5% following our note, highlighting our research's timeliness, accuracy, and actionable nature.
In Q1 2025, our research outperformed Bitcoin by generating +11% alpha. We turned bearish in February near $95,000 and re-entered mid-April when our trend model signaled a bullish reversal—since then, Bitcoin has been up over 30%.
We’ve also added high-conviction leveraged trades, including Bitdeer (+90%) and well-performing Bitcoin call spreads. Our analysis identified that Coinbase was undervalued relative to Bitcoin, with shares rising by +30% since we showed the chart overlay.
We also outperformed Bitcoin on the way up by strategically adding leverage when the risk-reward profile turned favorable. Even if you’re only trading Bitcoin, our research delivers clear value, providing timely insights that enhance performance and save time.
Why This Report Matters
Bitcoin is making new all-time highs, but one of its biggest proxies, MicroStrategy, isn’t keeping up. Under the surface, something is shifting: volatility is falling, momentum is fading, and key signals are quietly flashing caution. Retail traders chasing upside may not realize what’s already changed.
We’ve seen this setup before, and it rarely ends as most expect. In a market where perception often moves faster than reality, knowing what matters now can mean the difference between profit and regret. The full report breaks down the signals, levels, and setups professionals are already watching.
While at university, I spent two summers at the derivatives and structured products desks at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. These desks specialized in sourcing cheap volatility and reselling it at a premium. In practice, this meant buying volatility from hedge funds and packaging it into products sold to retail investors, allowing banks to capture riskless profits in the middle.
How can retail investors possibly assess the fair value of volatility when most don’t even have access to an option pricing model on their computer?
This is, in many ways, what MicroStrategy is doing today. They are sourcing, or engineering, cheap Bitcoin volatility and selling it at a premium. Like the banks, MicroStrategy acts as the middleman, rarely taking on real risk.
As long as prices continue to rise, everyone wins. It’s financial engineering, creating billions of dollars out of thin air as eager retail investors buy into the illusion of unlimited upside, fueled by bold promises that a $1 million Bitcoin is just around the corner.
The first sign that this three-party dynamic is unraveling is when MicroStrategy’s stock stops rising or its volatility begins to fade.
Read the full report free on our website - link in bio.
The Signal That Caught Bitcoin’s Breakout—And What Comes Next Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high—but we believe the most important phase of this rally is just beginning. In January, we warned about a Diamond Top forming. That led to a breakdown below $95,000, and although our $73,000 downside target was narrowly missed, we shifted to a bullish stance quickly. On March 26, one of our market structure models triggered a rare buy signal. A model with a 77% hit rate and a median return of +31% over a 3-month window. The current signal is still live and has already delivered +24% since then. But that’s just one pillar. Our trend-following models captured every key move since September 2024—from the year-end surge to the February–April correction, and the renewed uptrend from $84,500. On April 22, we issued a new range-trading signal with a $116,000 upside target. A shorter-term breakout was triggered. All deep in the money. Add to that our liquidity indicator, which continues to support the bullish trend into early July—just as multiple macro catalysts line up. We don’t rely on just one tool. Our edge comes from the confluence of signals—macro flows, on-chain data, market structure, and systematic models. This holistic framework has helped us stay on the right side of the trade—both on the way up and during corrections. Right now, that framework still supports the bullish case. But we’re watching carefully. The next phase of any bull market is often the most dangerous—when sentiment overheats, conviction softens, & whales begin to distribute. Just as we did in Sep 2024, we’ve helped our readers capitalize fully on this move. But timing the exit is just as important as timing the entry. It is too early to turn bearish/cautious as we did in March 2024 and in February 2025, ahead of a notable decline. The trigger will again be in the data before the down move occurs. We’ll be ready for it. Will you? — 📩 Want to receive these signals in real-time? 🔗 DM me or visit our website, link in bio.
The Signal That Caught Bitcoin’s Breakout—And What Comes Next

Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high—but we believe the most important phase of this rally is just beginning.

In January, we warned about a Diamond Top forming.

That led to a breakdown below $95,000, and although our $73,000 downside target was narrowly missed, we shifted to a bullish stance quickly.

On March 26, one of our market structure models triggered a rare buy signal.

A model with a 77% hit rate and a median return of +31% over a 3-month window. The current signal is still live and has already delivered +24% since then.

But that’s just one pillar.

Our trend-following models captured every key move since September 2024—from the year-end surge to the February–April correction, and the renewed uptrend from $84,500.

On April 22, we issued a new range-trading signal with a $116,000 upside target. A shorter-term breakout was triggered. All deep in the money.

Add to that our liquidity indicator, which continues to support the bullish trend into early July—just as multiple macro catalysts line up.

We don’t rely on just one tool. Our edge comes from the confluence of signals—macro flows, on-chain data, market structure, and systematic models.

This holistic framework has helped us stay on the right side of the trade—both on the way up and during corrections.

Right now, that framework still supports the bullish case.

But we’re watching carefully.

The next phase of any bull market is often the most dangerous—when sentiment overheats, conviction softens, & whales begin to distribute.

Just as we did in Sep 2024, we’ve helped our readers capitalize fully on this move.

But timing the exit is just as important as timing the entry. It is too early to turn bearish/cautious as we did in March 2024 and in February 2025, ahead of a notable decline. The trigger will again be in the data before the down move occurs.

We’ll be ready for it. Will you?

📩 Want to receive these signals in real-time?

🔗 DM me or visit our website, link in bio.
Why Bitcoin’s Biggest Holders Are Quietly Stepping Aside Everyone has a price—even Bitcoin’s earliest believers. In each of Bitcoin’s five bull markets, a new cast of promoters has taken the stage: from cypherpunks and libertarians to hedge fund titans and corporate CEOs. Today, it’s Michael Saylor, Larry Fink, and even Donald Trump embracing Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Ironically, many of them were skeptics not long ago. But the data tells a deeper story—and it’s not just about who’s buying anymore. Our on-chain analysis shows that OG wallets—those belonging to early investors, miners, and exchanges—have been steadily distributing in 2025. These are not panic sales. This is calculated, disciplined portfolio rotation into the hands of high-net-worth individuals, hedge funds, and corporate treasuries like MicroStrategy. Meanwhile, whale exchange deposits remain low, and volatility is being suppressed. This is not the impulsive, retail-fueled melt-up we saw in 2017 or 2021. It’s slow, strategic, and institutional. And as long as whales can absorb the supply, Bitcoin can keep rising. But here’s the twist: Bitcoin’s historical pattern shows that the real risk isn’t when long-term holders start selling—it’s when their selling stops. That’s when demand falters, absorption fails, and early adopters turn into forced holders once again. We saw it in March 2024. We saw it again in January 2025. The signal was clear both times—and we turned bearish accordingly. Right now, long-term holder supply is still rising, which suggests this cycle isn’t over yet. We’ve called the breakout above $84,500, then the move to $95,000 and $106,000. Our next target is $122,000—driven by the same macro-cycle and behavioral flow analysis that’s helped us call major turning points. Bitcoin isn’t just about code or narratives. It’s a mirror of human conviction—and on-chain data tells you when belief starts to crack. — 📩 Want to stay ahead of these turning points? DM me or visit our website, link in the bio.
Why Bitcoin’s Biggest Holders Are Quietly Stepping Aside

Everyone has a price—even Bitcoin’s earliest believers.

In each of Bitcoin’s five bull markets, a new cast of promoters has taken the stage: from cypherpunks and libertarians to hedge fund titans and corporate CEOs.

Today, it’s Michael Saylor, Larry Fink, and even Donald Trump embracing Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Ironically, many of them were skeptics not long ago.

But the data tells a deeper story—and it’s not just about who’s buying anymore.

Our on-chain analysis shows that OG wallets—those belonging to early investors, miners, and exchanges—have been steadily distributing in 2025.

These are not panic sales. This is calculated, disciplined portfolio rotation into the hands of high-net-worth individuals, hedge funds, and corporate treasuries like MicroStrategy.

Meanwhile, whale exchange deposits remain low, and volatility is being suppressed. This is not the impulsive, retail-fueled melt-up we saw in 2017 or 2021.

It’s slow, strategic, and institutional. And as long as whales can absorb the supply, Bitcoin can keep rising.

But here’s the twist: Bitcoin’s historical pattern shows that the real risk isn’t when long-term holders start selling—it’s when their selling stops.

That’s when demand falters, absorption fails, and early adopters turn into forced holders once again. We saw it in March 2024. We saw it again in January 2025. The signal was clear both times—and we turned bearish accordingly.

Right now, long-term holder supply is still rising, which suggests this cycle isn’t over yet. We’ve called the breakout above $84,500, then the move to $95,000 and $106,000.

Our next target is $122,000—driven by the same macro-cycle and behavioral flow analysis that’s helped us call major turning points.

Bitcoin isn’t just about code or narratives. It’s a mirror of human conviction—and on-chain data tells you when belief starts to crack.


📩 Want to stay ahead of these turning points?
DM me or visit our website, link in the bio.
OMO? The One Bitcoin Signal OGs Are Watching Right NowWhy This Report Matters Bitcoin is hovering near all-time highs, and on-chain signals will flash subtle warnings. While price action remains strong, early holders are beginning to distribute their holdings to newer wallets. Retail participation is notably absent, replaced by steady demand from corporations and institutions. We've seen this pattern before—just before momentum reverses. Understanding who's buying and selling has helped us call past tops, and will again. This report reveals why the next move might be the most important one yet. On-chain data offers powerful insights into who is selling and who is buying, and tracking these flows has been instrumental in helping us identify key market tops, including in March 2024 and February 2025, when selling pressure from early Bitcoin holders began to overwhelm demand. We expect this data to once again signal when the current rally is nearing exhaustion and a deeper correction is likely to occur. Just as importantly, our analysis of which investor segments were accumulating gave us confidence that the February–April pullback would be short-lived. Based on our cycle framework, we projected back in July 2023 that Bitcoin could peak at $125,000—a level now converging with our next price target of $122,000. This rally has unfolded in line with our forecasts, following our call for a breakout above $84,500 with an initial target of $95,000. With the $106,000 level now reached, the path is open toward our next projected target. In anticipation of this move, we recommended rolling up Bitcoin call spreads from the $ 100,000 to $110,000 range to $ 110,000 to $120,000 last week, reflecting our expectation that Bitcoin would reach new all-time highs this week. However, we must remain vigilant—OG investors are likely to seek liquidity on the next price spike, and our on-chain data will be critical in assessing whether the market can absorb this anticipated supply. We highly encourage you to read the full report—it could make a meaningful difference in how you navigate the market. You’ll find the link to the article in our bio. ----

OMO? The One Bitcoin Signal OGs Are Watching Right Now

Why This Report Matters

Bitcoin is hovering near all-time highs, and on-chain signals will flash subtle warnings.

While price action remains strong, early holders are beginning to distribute their holdings to newer wallets.

Retail participation is notably absent, replaced by steady demand from corporations and institutions.

We've seen this pattern before—just before momentum reverses.

Understanding who's buying and selling has helped us call past tops, and will again.

This report reveals why the next move might be the most important one yet.
On-chain data offers powerful insights into who is selling and who is buying, and tracking these flows has been instrumental in helping us identify key market tops, including in March 2024 and February 2025, when selling pressure from early Bitcoin holders began to overwhelm demand.

We expect this data to once again signal when the current rally is nearing exhaustion and a deeper correction is likely to occur.

Just as importantly, our analysis of which investor segments were accumulating gave us confidence that the February–April pullback would be short-lived.

Based on our cycle framework, we projected back in July 2023 that Bitcoin could peak at $125,000—a level now converging with our next price target of $122,000.

This rally has unfolded in line with our forecasts, following our call for a breakout above $84,500 with an initial target of $95,000.
With the $106,000 level now reached, the path is open toward our next projected target.

In anticipation of this move, we recommended rolling up Bitcoin call spreads from the $ 100,000 to $110,000 range to $ 110,000 to $120,000 last week, reflecting our expectation that Bitcoin would reach new all-time highs this week.

However, we must remain vigilant—OG investors are likely to seek liquidity on the next price spike, and our on-chain data will be critical in assessing whether the market can absorb this anticipated supply.

We highly encourage you to read the full report—it could make a meaningful difference in how you navigate the market. You’ll find the link to the article in our bio.
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Bitcoin’s Rally Isn’t What It Seems - Should You Panic? From my early days as an intern at Goldman Sachs, I have always been a power user of data, initially developing insights for the hedge fund desk. My career quickly accelerated at Morgan Stanley, where I led the Quant and Derivatives Strategies desk before transitioning to proprietary trading. Over the years, I have held various trading and portfolio management roles, consistently leveraging a critical advantage: access to the industry's most sophisticated data. This insider’s view is so valuable that firms like Citadel pay hundreds of millions of dollars to “see” retail order flow from platforms like Robinhood. It’s a stark reminder of a fundamental truth in finance: if you’re not paying for a service, you are the product. The beauty of crypto lies in the transparency of blockchain data—information that is often proprietary in traditional finance (TradFi) is openly accessible. However, accessing this data can be costly, and the true challenge lies in effectively sorting, analyzing, and interpreting it. The real edge comes from understanding what these insights mean for the trajectory of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Many of the tools I have used to manage large TradFi portfolios have been successfully adapted for crypto markets, providing a significant informational advantage. This approach has consistently proven successful, transforming complex data into actionable insights. It's remarkable how much of the information surrounding crypto remains superficial, driven by flashy narratives and simplistic claims. Instead of chasing hype, we rely on a combination of our proprietary indicators and our judgment, developed through analyzing hundreds of data points that our models meticulously process. The reality is that most people still misunderstand how the crypto game is truly played, obsessing over retail activity and clinging to the idea that “we are still early.” Our focus is different. You can read our full report, please see link in the bio...
Bitcoin’s Rally Isn’t What It Seems - Should You Panic?

From my early days as an intern at Goldman Sachs, I have always been a power user of data, initially developing insights for the hedge fund desk.

My career quickly accelerated at Morgan Stanley, where I led the Quant and Derivatives Strategies desk before transitioning to proprietary trading.

Over the years, I have held various trading and portfolio management roles, consistently leveraging a critical advantage: access to the industry's most sophisticated data.

This insider’s view is so valuable that firms like Citadel pay hundreds of millions of dollars to “see” retail order flow from platforms like Robinhood.

It’s a stark reminder of a fundamental truth in finance: if you’re not paying for a service, you are the product.

The beauty of crypto lies in the transparency of blockchain data—information that is often proprietary in traditional finance (TradFi) is openly accessible.

However, accessing this data can be costly, and the true challenge lies in effectively sorting, analyzing, and interpreting it.

The real edge comes from understanding what these insights mean for the trajectory of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Many of the tools I have used to manage large TradFi portfolios have been successfully adapted for crypto markets, providing a significant informational advantage.

This approach has consistently proven successful, transforming complex data into actionable insights.

It's remarkable how much of the information surrounding crypto remains superficial, driven by flashy narratives and simplistic claims.

Instead of chasing hype, we rely on a combination of our proprietary indicators and our judgment, developed through analyzing hundreds of data points that our models meticulously process.

The reality is that most people still misunderstand how the crypto game is truly played, obsessing over retail activity and clinging to the idea that “we are still early.”

Our focus is different.

You can read our full report, please see link in the bio...
The ONE Altcoin Korean Traders Could Soon Chase 👇1-11) Crypto retail traders have been in hibernation since the Trump inauguration, but this could change soon as many seem to be overlooking what the underlying data is signaling. A major shift may already be underway — even as, in the short term, the $94,000–$95,000 resistance zone we previously highlighted continues to cap Bitcoin’s rally. 👇2-11) Two of our reversal indicators have turned bearish, and the stochastics oscillator has risen to 95%, further suggesting short-term downside risk. However, this may represent a consolidation phase before a potential breakout above $100,000. This consolidation phase will be short - in the meantime, we are betting on THIS altcoin… 👇3-11) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/the-one-altcoin-korean-traders-could-soon-chase Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Leave a comment... Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts.
The ONE Altcoin Korean Traders Could Soon Chase

👇1-11) Crypto retail traders have been in hibernation since the Trump inauguration, but this could change soon as many seem to be overlooking what the underlying data is signaling.

A major shift may already be underway — even as, in the short term, the $94,000–$95,000 resistance zone we previously highlighted continues to cap Bitcoin’s rally.

👇2-11) Two of our reversal indicators have turned bearish, and the stochastics oscillator has risen to 95%, further suggesting short-term downside risk.

However, this may represent a consolidation phase before a potential breakout above $100,000.

This consolidation phase will be short - in the meantime, we are betting on THIS altcoin…

👇3-11) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/the-one-altcoin-korean-traders-could-soon-chase

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Bitcoin: A Smash Move Is Coming 👇1-13) In our February 4 report, with Bitcoin trading near $100,000, we identified a Diamond Top pattern formation and warned of an impending correction. A break below the critical $95,000 support — our key technical trigger — confirmed the pattern. 👇2-13) By February 25, Bitcoin had not only breached $95,000 but also the short-term holder realized price, triggering a wave of liquidations. As the technical structure shifted into an ascending broadening wedge, we outlined further downside risk with a target of $73,000. Bitcoin ultimately fell to $74,400, within less than $1,400 of our projected level. 👇3-13) By April 13, with Bitcoin trading at $85,322, we shifted back to a bullish stance. Although we did not capture the exact low, the technical setup pointed clearly to a +10% rally. Having been vocal bears at $95,000 — and bulls from $85,000 — our alpha over Bitcoin during the past two months reached +11%. It is critical to consistently compound such outperformance, particularly by eliminating the left-tail risks that have historically challenged Bitcoin investors. This underscores the value of these Market Updates, driven by market structure, on-chain data, technicals, and sentiment analysis. 👇4-13) Bitcoin has rallied back to the $94,000–$95,000 zone — exactly where we expected (see our video) — but has stalled at this critical resistance. 👇5-13) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-a-smash-move-is-coming Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Leave a comment... Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts. ---
Bitcoin: A Smash Move Is Coming

👇1-13) In our February 4 report, with Bitcoin trading near $100,000, we identified a Diamond Top pattern formation and warned of an impending correction.

A break below the critical $95,000 support — our key technical trigger — confirmed the pattern.

👇2-13) By February 25, Bitcoin had not only breached $95,000 but also the short-term holder realized price, triggering a wave of liquidations.

As the technical structure shifted into an ascending broadening wedge, we outlined further downside risk with a target of $73,000.

Bitcoin ultimately fell to $74,400, within less than $1,400 of our projected level.

👇3-13) By April 13, with Bitcoin trading at $85,322, we shifted back to a bullish stance.

Although we did not capture the exact low, the technical setup pointed clearly to a +10% rally.

Having been vocal bears at $95,000 — and bulls from $85,000 — our alpha over Bitcoin during the past two months reached +11%.

It is critical to consistently compound such outperformance, particularly by eliminating the left-tail risks that have historically challenged Bitcoin investors.

This underscores the value of these Market Updates, driven by market structure, on-chain data, technicals, and sentiment analysis.

👇4-13) Bitcoin has rallied back to the $94,000–$95,000 zone — exactly where we expected (see our video) — but has stalled at this critical resistance.

👇5-13) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-a-smash-move-is-coming

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Follow us! Leave a comment...

Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts.
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Bitcoin Smashes $95K as Altcoins Surge on Institutional FOMO, DeFi Boom, and Regulatory Tailwinds Crypto markets surged broadly this week, led by Bitcoin’s breakout above $95,000 amid easing macro risks, record ETF inflows, and a weaker dollar. Altcoins followed strongly, fueled by rising institutional interest, ecosystem growth, DeFi momentum, and positive regulatory signals. Crypto Trends Chart Book: Understand What is Moving in the Market and Why. Full report: https://signal.10xresearch.com/p/crypto-trends-chart-book-understand-what-is-moving-in-the-market-and-why-084e 👇1-12) #Bitcoin surged past $95,000, driven by eased U.S.-China trade tensions, record Bitcoin ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, easing Fed crypto rules, and tightened supply from corporate buying. 👇2-12) @solana rose 6.7% this week, supported by institutional buying, DeFi growth, a major short squeeze, and meme coin activity within its ecosystem. 👇3-12) @Ripple XRP gained modestly following CME’s launch of XRP futures and growing banking integration, although legal risks continued to cap enthusiasm. 👇4-12) #Stellar XLM rallied 18.1% after partnering with South Asia’s largest retailer, rising trading volumes, and tailwinds from relaxed U.S. crypto banking rules. 👇5-12) Polkadot climbed 10.1% despite the SEC delaying ETF decisions, with optimism persisting around eventual approval and broader crypto market openness. 👇6-12) @SuiNetwork SUI skyrocketed 64.3% amid explosive DEX growth, stablecoin expansion, and speculation around major partnerships like Pokémon and Mastercard. 👇7-12) @RaydiumProtocol RAY gained 27.9% on new trading incentives tied to meme coin pools and broader DeFi momentum on Solana’s blockchain. 👇8-12) @aave jumped 21.5%, helped by a strong Bitcoin rally, a $50 million buyback plan, GHO stablecoin growth, and rising total value locked. 👇9-12) @realDonaldTrump token soared 86% after a dinner announcement with Trump, despite political controversy, fueling speculation and renewed investor interest. Full report on our website...
Bitcoin Smashes $95K as Altcoins Surge on Institutional FOMO, DeFi Boom, and Regulatory Tailwinds

Crypto markets surged broadly this week, led by Bitcoin’s breakout above $95,000 amid easing macro risks, record ETF inflows, and a weaker dollar.

Altcoins followed strongly, fueled by rising institutional interest, ecosystem growth, DeFi momentum, and positive regulatory signals.

Crypto Trends Chart Book: Understand What is Moving in the Market and Why.

Full report: https://signal.10xresearch.com/p/crypto-trends-chart-book-understand-what-is-moving-in-the-market-and-why-084e

👇1-12) #Bitcoin surged past $95,000, driven by eased U.S.-China trade tensions, record Bitcoin ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, easing Fed crypto rules, and tightened supply from corporate buying.

👇2-12) @solana rose 6.7% this week, supported by institutional buying, DeFi growth, a major short squeeze, and meme coin activity within its ecosystem.

👇3-12) @Ripple XRP gained modestly following CME’s launch of XRP futures and growing banking integration, although legal risks continued to cap enthusiasm.

👇4-12) #Stellar XLM rallied 18.1% after partnering with South Asia’s largest retailer, rising trading volumes, and tailwinds from relaxed U.S. crypto banking rules.

👇5-12) Polkadot climbed 10.1% despite the SEC delaying ETF decisions, with optimism persisting around eventual approval and broader crypto market openness.

👇6-12) @SuiNetwork SUI skyrocketed 64.3% amid explosive DEX growth, stablecoin expansion, and speculation around major partnerships like Pokémon and Mastercard.

👇7-12) @RaydiumProtocol RAY gained 27.9% on new trading incentives tied to meme coin pools and broader DeFi momentum on Solana’s blockchain.

👇8-12) @aave jumped 21.5%, helped by a strong Bitcoin rally, a $50 million buyback plan, GHO stablecoin growth, and rising total value locked.

👇9-12) @realDonaldTrump token soared 86% after a dinner announcement with Trump, despite political controversy, fueling speculation and renewed investor interest.

Full report on our website...
Bitcoin/SP500: Pay-to-Play Is Back 👇1-22) No, the title doesn't refer to Trump’s private crypto meetings—where a select few seem to benefit disproportionately by having insider access, or to those suspiciously timed upside call option purchases ahead of tariff truce announcements, or even to closed-door sessions where Treasury Secretary Bessent drops subtle hints that send markets surging shortly after. 👇2-22) Instead, it points to trading strategies that now make sense to consider, as a broader market shift is underway—one that’s likely to catch many investors off guard. 👇3-22) The U.S. stock market is approaching a key technical level—one that initially acted as support in late February but turned into resistance in late March after momentum from the 90-day tariff truce announcement faded. While relatively straightforward trade agreements with countries like India, Israel, South Korea, and Japan were expected, negotiations with China remain contentious. Trump continues to suggest progress is being made, while Chinese officials deny that meaningful talks are even underway. 👇4-22) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-sp500-pay-to-play-is-back Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com
Bitcoin/SP500: Pay-to-Play Is Back

👇1-22) No, the title doesn't refer to Trump’s private crypto meetings—where a select few seem to benefit disproportionately by having insider access, or to those suspiciously timed upside call option purchases ahead of tariff truce announcements, or even to closed-door sessions where Treasury Secretary Bessent drops subtle hints that send markets surging shortly after.

👇2-22) Instead, it points to trading strategies that now make sense to consider, as a broader market shift is underway—one that’s likely to catch many investors off guard.

👇3-22) The U.S. stock market is approaching a key technical level—one that initially acted as support in late February but turned into resistance in late March after momentum from the 90-day tariff truce announcement faded.

While relatively straightforward trade agreements with countries like India, Israel, South Korea, and Japan were expected, negotiations with China remain contentious.

Trump continues to suggest progress is being made, while Chinese officials deny that meaningful talks are even underway.

👇4-22) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-sp500-pay-to-play-is-back

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Follow us!

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Tide Turns: Bitcoin $$$ Inflows Reignite Rally - $100,000 Possible 👇1-10) As anticipated, Bitcoin has resumed its bullish trend. The next key resistance zone lies in the $94,000–$95,000 range, which aligns with our target for this move. However, whether this level can be decisively broken will depend heavily on broader market sentiment and the performance of risk assets. 👇2-10) This week highlights the core value of our research: identifying shifts in risk/reward and signaling when markets transition from bearish to bullish and vice versa. We reinforced this view with a technical analysis video released two days ago (here), which reemphasized and predicted this Bitcoin breakout. 👇3-10) This is the week when several key trade deals are expected to be finalized. Yet, Trump appears to be backing down on two major fronts—softening his tariff rhetoric after China called his bluff and easing his push for Powell’s resignation. These developments are contributing to a broader risk-on sentiment, which was already anticipated by our trend-following indicators. 👇4-10) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/tide-turns-bitcoin-inflows-reignite-rally-100-000-possible Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com
Tide Turns: Bitcoin $$$ Inflows Reignite Rally - $100,000 Possible

👇1-10) As anticipated, Bitcoin has resumed its bullish trend.
The next key resistance zone lies in the $94,000–$95,000 range, which aligns with our target for this move.

However, whether this level can be decisively broken will depend heavily on broader market sentiment and the performance of risk assets.
👇2-10) This week highlights the core value of our research: identifying shifts in risk/reward and signaling when markets transition from bearish to bullish and vice versa.
We reinforced this view with a technical analysis video released two days ago (here), which reemphasized and predicted this Bitcoin breakout.
👇3-10) This is the week when several key trade deals are expected to be finalized.
Yet, Trump appears to be backing down on two major fronts—softening his tariff rhetoric after China called his bluff and easing his push for Powell’s resignation.
These developments are contributing to a broader risk-on sentiment, which was already anticipated by our trend-following indicators.
👇4-10) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/tide-turns-bitcoin-inflows-reignite-rally-100-000-possible
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Follow us!
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Bitcoin Mining Stocks - A Compelling Trade ??? 👇1-13) We have rarely recommended a bullish stance on publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies, and as the cycle progressed, we've largely avoided them. However, with many of these stocks now down 50% or more, we’ve received many questions about whether current levels present attractive entry points, especially as Bitcoin shows signs of recovery, and the U.S. dollar weakens. Bitcoin continues to serve as a potential macro hedge. 👇2-13) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-mining-stocks-a-compelling-trade Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ----
Bitcoin Mining Stocks - A Compelling Trade ???

👇1-13) We have rarely recommended a bullish stance on publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies, and as the cycle progressed, we've largely avoided them.

However, with many of these stocks now down 50% or more, we’ve received many questions about whether current levels present attractive entry points, especially as Bitcoin shows signs of recovery, and the U.S. dollar weakens.

Bitcoin continues to serve as a potential macro hedge.

👇2-13) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-mining-stocks-a-compelling-trade

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Bitcoin Breakout? 6 Charts Making the Bullish Case 👇1-6) Bitcoin appears to be breaking out of a downtrend channel, closely resembling the classic Falling Wedge pattern. This formation is characterized by two converging, downward-sloping trendlines and typically signals a bullish continuation or reversal, particularly when it forms during a corrective phase within a broader uptrend. A key feature of this pattern is a gradual decline in volume throughout the wedge, followed by a sharp increase upon breakout, confirming the move. 👇2-6) Full report: https://signal.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-breakout-6-charts-making-the-bullish-case Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ----
Bitcoin Breakout? 6 Charts Making the Bullish Case

👇1-6) Bitcoin appears to be breaking out of a downtrend channel, closely resembling the classic Falling Wedge pattern.

This formation is characterized by two converging, downward-sloping trendlines and typically signals a bullish continuation or reversal, particularly when it forms during a corrective phase within a broader uptrend.

A key feature of this pattern is a gradual decline in volume throughout the wedge, followed by a sharp increase upon breakout, confirming the move.

👇2-6) Full report: https://signal.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-breakout-6-charts-making-the-bullish-case

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Bitcoin FOMO Trading Is Dead - Here’s How to Still Make Money 👇1-15) Despite a +113% return in 2024, most of Bitcoin’s gains came during just two months (February +44% and November +37%). We were strongly bullish during those two months (here) but adopted a more cautious stance over the summer—tactically, this was the right call. Given Bitcoin’s historical tendency to perform better between October and March, and to consolidate between April and September, it makes sense to adopt a more conservative, seasonally aware approach during this part of the year. 👇2-15) In 2024, a simple buy-and-hold strategy likely outperformed most actively traded approaches, supported by strong demand from newly launched Bitcoin ETFs, primarily driven by Wall Street’s marketing push. With $35 billion in inflows, ETF demand landed within our projected $20–40 billion range for the first year. Bitcoin’s strong performance was also fueled by U.S. government stimulus to boost asset prices, create a feel-good environment ahead of the Presidential election, and a dovish Fed stance amid falling inflation expectations. The three key drivers of last year’s rally—a dovish Fed, government stimulus, and strong ETF demand—have notably reversed. 👇3-15) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-fomo-trading-is-dead-here-s-how-to-still-make-money Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ----
Bitcoin FOMO Trading Is Dead - Here’s How to Still Make Money

👇1-15) Despite a +113% return in 2024, most of Bitcoin’s gains came during just two months (February +44% and November +37%).

We were strongly bullish during those two months (here) but adopted a more cautious stance over the summer—tactically, this was the right call.

Given Bitcoin’s historical tendency to perform better between October and March, and to consolidate between April and September, it makes sense to adopt a more conservative, seasonally aware approach during this part of the year.

👇2-15) In 2024, a simple buy-and-hold strategy likely outperformed most actively traded approaches, supported by strong demand from newly launched Bitcoin ETFs, primarily driven by Wall Street’s marketing push.

With $35 billion in inflows, ETF demand landed within our projected $20–40 billion range for the first year.

Bitcoin’s strong performance was also fueled by U.S. government stimulus to boost asset prices, create a feel-good environment ahead of the Presidential election, and a dovish Fed stance amid falling inflation expectations.

The three key drivers of last year’s rally—a dovish Fed, government stimulus, and strong ETF demand—have notably reversed.

👇3-15) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-fomo-trading-is-dead-here-s-how-to-still-make-money

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Follow us!

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Is Bitcoin’s On-Chain Data Starting to Turn Bullish? 👇1-15) Several of our on-chain indicators have been signaling a Bitcoin correction since February. At the same time, the technical breakdown from an ascending broadening wedge confirmed the move (see February 25 report), the on-chain data provided early conviction of a more sustained decline. The break below the short-term realized price triggered a wave of liquidations, initiating the sharp drop from $95,000. We’re now approaching a critical juncture where it’s important to reassess these on-chain metrics to determine whether they are nearing a bullish reversal or still firmly in bearish territory. 👇2-15) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/is-bitcoin-s-on-chain-data-starting-to-turn-bullish Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ----
Is Bitcoin’s On-Chain Data Starting to Turn Bullish?

👇1-15) Several of our on-chain indicators have been signaling a Bitcoin correction since February.

At the same time, the technical breakdown from an ascending broadening wedge confirmed the move (see February 25 report), the on-chain data provided early conviction of a more sustained decline.

The break below the short-term realized price triggered a wave of liquidations, initiating the sharp drop from $95,000.

We’re now approaching a critical juncture where it’s important to reassess these on-chain metrics to determine whether they are nearing a bullish reversal or still firmly in bearish territory.

👇2-15) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/is-bitcoin-s-on-chain-data-starting-to-turn-bullish

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