What does it really mean I’m leaving crypto this year?

Let me explain...

First of all, it doesn't mean I'm disappearing lol.

It's my 9th year in crypto & I'm far from leaving for good.

Besides, there's a mission and vision I'm fighting for.

I'm only referring the financial rotation.

When someone tells you they exit, here's what it means:

You can't exit into a vacuum.

You just rotate capital — from one market to another — based on risk, timing, and cycle data.

For that, here are some facts & figures to consider:

➾ My crypto exit will last 6–9 months (complex process)

➾ I had several big entries @ SMA200 resets: ~20k, 30k, 40k, and 50k since early 2023 (all shared publicly)

➾ Current #BTC performance from the bear market low is +700%, vs historical annualised return of +145%.

➾ Cycle tops always occurred in US post-election years: 2013, 2017, 2021 (now 2025).

➾ Bear markets always followed in midterm years: 2014, 2018, 2022.

➾ 2026 is a midterm year. Avg BTC bear return is –66%, with drawdowns from top to bottom reaching -80%.

➾ BTC topped in Q2 or Q4 in 100% of cases (Q2 ended). Q3 is weak seasonally (low volumes, summer lull).

➾ September is the worst month (–6.17% avg). Oct/Nov are historically strongest (Q4 avg +51%, Nov +17.34%).

➾ Macro: inverted yield curve (22/23), trade war, high rates → recession risk 6–9 months later = late 2025 / early 2026.

My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.

Rotation: cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury.

I'd burnt millions before (not willing to repeat that).

Better to exit into strength than hold through –70% bear.

I’ll look to re-enter crypto in Q4 2026 or early 2027 — after recession signals reset (aggressive rate cuts end of 2026/2027), and asymmetric upside returns.

It's a cyclical process - different time, same story.

Rinse and repeat.

That’s how we grow.