Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross: A New Overheating Signal?

In 2025, the NVT Golden Cross metric successfully flagged 3 local tops:

1️⃣ Feb 2, 2025

🔹 NVT GC: 2.68

🔹 BTC: $97,600

🔹 Aftermath: -23.65% correction

2️⃣ Mar 24, 2025

🔹 NVT GC: 2.87

🔹 BTC: $87,500

🔹 Aftermath: -16.06% correction

3️⃣ Jun 16, 2025

🔹 NVT GC: 2.21

🔹 BTC: $106,800

🔹 Aftermath: -9.87% correction

Currently, the NVT GC stands at 1.98.

While it hasn’t yet crossed the 2.2 mark, its upward move signals early signs of price overheating. Breaking its previous high is moderately bullish and shows momentum is building. If the metric crosses 2.2 again, it may hint at a local top. But don’t rush to exit—historically, the metric has stayed above 2.2 for several days.

🎯 Bottom line:

Crossing 2.2 suggests Bitcoin is heating up short term, but it can also imply bulls are regaining strength in the medium term.

Written by burakkesmeci