Key Takeaways:

XRP down 4% to $2.15; Cardano (ADA) down ~2.3% to $0.609 amid risk-off sentiment.

Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable around $104,700, supported by long-term holder behavior.

Ether (ETH) at $2,525, modestly lower.

Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices continue to pressure markets.

U.S. Senate's GENIUS Act pass offers stablecoin regulatory clarity—potential catalyst ahead.

On‑chain data shows Bitcoin long‑term holders unmoved, pointing to Q3 bullish structure.

Crypto Markets: Altcoin Decline vs. Bitcoin Stability

While altcoins led losses, BTC's tight consolidation above $104K reflects a cautious but non-capitulation market:

XRP slid ~4% to $2.15

Cardano dropped to $0.609, down about 2.3%

Ethereum traded near $2,525, dipping slightly.

Markets are reacting to escalating Israel‑Iran tensions and hawkish central bank actions, which have lifted oil prices and triggered risk-off flows.

Bitcoin’s Resilience & On‑Chain Indicators

Despite volatility, Bitcoin showed resilience. On-chain metrics reveal long-term holders remain passive, suggesting consolidation rather than profit-taking. Analysts believe this positions Bitcoin for a potential Q3 breakout if macro conditions shift.

“Bitcoin hasn’t acted as a classic risk-on or risk-off asset lately—even as global tensions flare,” FXPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich noted.

GENIUS Act: Regulatory Spark for Stablecoins

The U.S. Senate's passage of the GENIUS Act creates regulatory clarity for tokenized stablecoins, supporting the infrastructure for institutional crypto adoption.

“The bill could enable American firms to begin integrating stablecoin payments in real-time,” said Nick Ruck of LVRG Research.

This landmark bill may set the stage for stablecoin use in real-world corporate and financial services, expanding crypto’s adoption horizon.

Outlook

Altcoins may remain subdued amid macro risks.

Bitcoin's hold above $104K suggests a base is being built.

Stablecoin regulation could be a catalyst for broader market growth.