BTC.d

1️⃣ Why this set-up matters

Bitcoin is coiling above $100 K inside a bullish pennant, while BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is testing the roof of a six-month rising channel near 70 %. Meanwhile the Altcoin Season Index (ASI) has climbed from 15 → 23 since 22 June — the first uptick in months.

This trio (pennant, dominance, ASI) often marks the hand-off between a Bitcoin-led run and an alt-coin rotation.

2️⃣ The Pennant – hero chart

See attached image
Pole: +40 K move from March lows
Break line: $109 K
Measured target on confirmation: $138–142 K
Invalidation if price closes < $104 K

3️⃣ BTC Dominance – described, not shown

Six-month channel: 62 % bottom / 70 % top
A weekly rejection from 70 % has preceded every alt rally since 2023
A breakout above turns the market into “BTC-only mode” again

Key level to watch live: 70 % cap on BTC.D

4️⃣ Altcoin Season Index – numbers to know

23 today (< 25 = Bitcoin Season)
First rotation signal arrives above 30
Full Alt-Season historically starts once ASI > 50 and BTC.D sets a lower high

5️⃣ Sectors with the quickest torque (when rotation begins)

Layer-2 / Modular: OP, ARB, zk roll-ups
AI & DePIN: FET, RNDR, AIOZ
Real-World Assets: ONDO, POLYX

Focus on relative-strength names, not everything with a pulse.

6️⃣ If Bitcoin breaks the pennant upward instead

Keep dry powder in stables; avoid chasing thin-liquidity alts
Hedge with small BTC puts or tight trailing stops
Re-enter rotation plays only after BTC.D rolls back under 67 %

7️⃣ Quick rotation checklist

Check BTC.D, ETH/BTC, USDT.D at the start of every session
Monitor July macro prints: NFP (3 Jul), CPI (11 Jul), FOMC (30 Jul)
Scale in, never all-in; risk ≤ 2 % per idea

Final take

Alt-season isn’t a date on the calendar—it’s a process. The pennant and dominance channel are reaching decision points within days. Stay flexible: if BTC clears $109 K, respect the trend; if BTC.D fails at 70 %, be ready to rotate into high-beta sectors.

Not financial advice — do your own research and manage risk responsibly.

#bitcoin #BTC.D #USDT #ONDO #AIOZ

#BTC.D

📊 What is BTC Dominance?

BTC Dominance (BTC.D) measures Bitcoin’s share of the total cryptocurrency market. It’s calculated as:

Bitcoin market cap ÷ Total crypto market cap × 100%

A high dominance percentage shows investor preference for Bitcoin over altcoins, often signaling cautious sentiment.

🔍 Current Stats

BTC Dominance is around 65.0%

CoinCodex reports it at 64.49% (down ~0.18 in the past 24 h)

TradingView lists it between 65.30–65.50%

So, we can say the current BTC dominance is roughly 65%.

⏳ Trends & Implications

Yearly high: It’s now at its highest level since early 2021, indicating Bitcoin's strong relative performance.

Altcoin movement: Historically, dominance near 65–71% often precedes either a pullback (as capital flows into altcoins) or further BTC gains.

Market sentiment: A rising BTC.D often points to risk-off sentiment—investors are parking in Bitcoin. A declining BTC.D signals rising confidence in altcoins.

🔮 What It Could Mean

If BTC dominance continues upward toward ~71%, some analysts anticipate a pullback in altcoins before a continued Bitcoin surge.

Should BTC dominance start to drop from 65%, we might be entering the much-anticipated altcoin season, where smaller tokens often outperform BTC.

✅ Summary

Current BTC dominance: ~65%

Trend: Higher dominance typical of 2025, possibly plateauing soon

Signals:

Rising → Bitcoin-centric market

Falling → Potential rebirth of altcoin strength