According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 82.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.3%.
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 40.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 50.7%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 8.7%.