StrategyTrade

Current market structure:
This btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution.
$BTC
The price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase.

Accumulation phase:
the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface.

Unfilled fair value gap:
beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation.

Manipulation setup:
the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward.

Reaccumulation and breakout:
following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone.

Distribution projection:
at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out.

Market psychology:
this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses.

Summary:
the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.

Trade at your own Risk 👍
Best Regards, Trade Cryptocurrency
Stay Tuned for Further Updates.

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$AVAX

We've been looking at Avalanche many times but each time only with short-term targets, that is because we were considering a leveraged trade setup. When using leverage, we tend to ignore the higher targets because profits tend to climb pretty high pretty fast even with the short-term ones. But this doesn't mean that these targets won't hit or that you should ignore them. In these types of leveraged trade setup, once the great entry is achieve and the market goes bullish, it is easy to hold long-term. Once the holding is in place, you can wait for whatever target you prefer. Leveraged trading is for experienced traders and you have to develop your own plan, I only share the numbers, the timing and the charts.

Looking at AVAXUSDT, notice the blue line and inverted triangle. The current week recovered the early March drop that led to the correction bottom. The correction produced the lowest prices since November 2023.

Now that the low is in and fully confirmed, we know the market will enter a bullish phase. This means long-term growth, thus we need to map some long-term targets.

The main target that I am mapping for you is $162, this is an easy target. By easy I mean that Avalanche has potential to grow beyond it. Total profits from current price is equal to 560%.

The final target on this chart is 949% at $257. I believe this isn't likely to be the end for this pair and even higher is possible. In fact, if you move the chart upwards a little bit you will find additional targets.

While Avalanche can grow really strong, ~900% is a lot, incredible and perfect. We are happy with such big wins/moves if it happens but we are ready for more.

It will go higher.

Thanks a lot for your continued support.

Namaste.

✅Buy and Trade here on $AVAX
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If price rejects between 25%-50% of the previous bearish candle:

That’s strong bearish continuation.But if price retraces above 75% of that candle:

Weak bearish — avoid or prepare for a reversal.
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