Análise XRP: preço segue no verde enquanto um grupo acende alerta
O preço do XRP negocia próximo a US$ 2,20, estável no dia e com alta de cerca de 1,5% na última semana. Superficialmente, a tendência ainda parece estável em comparação ao mercado mais amplo. No entanto, ao aprofundar-se no comportamento dos investidores, um grupo está silenciosamente mudando de apoio para risco. Investidores de curto prazo permanecem positivos HODL Waves monitoram quanto suprimento está em diferentes faixas de tempo de posse. Elas mostram que os investidores de curto prazo do XRP ainda estão estáveis. A faixa de um a três meses aumentou o estoque de 8,80% para 9,48% desde 11 de novembro. A faixa de uma semana a um mês também aumentou de 4,97% para 6,99%. Esses grupos geralmente vendem rapidamente quando a pressão atinge, contudo, têm acumulado em vez disso. O ponto de pressão está com os investidores de longo prazo. A Mudança de Posição Líquida dos Hodlers mede se as carteiras de longo prazo, em média, ganham ou perdem moedas. Em 23 de novembro, os investidores de longo prazo estavam vendendo cerca de 54 milhões de XRP. Em 25 de novembro, esse número aumentou para 84 milhões de XRP, um salto de aproximadamente 56%. Isso não é um pico aleatório. Um aumento semelhante nas vendas ocorreu entre 16 e 18 de novembro, seguido por uma queda acentuada do XRP de US$ 2,22 para US$ 1,96, quase 12%. NUPL (Lucro/Perda Não Realizado Líquido) mostra o motivo. O NUPL acompanha quanto lucro ou perda os investidores têm no papel. O NUPL dos investidores de longo prazo está próximo de 0,50, que cai na região “crença–negação” que geralmente indica topo local. Da última vez que o NUPL atingiu essa área em 18 de novembro, o XRP corrigiu logo em seguida. Portanto, o incentivo para lucrar é real, e os investidores de longo prazo estão agindo com base nisso — esse é o sinal de alerta. Um indício de que o preço do XRP está perdendo convicção entre os HODLers. Preço do XRP mantém níveis-chave por enquanto, mas confirmação de rompimento é necessária? O XRP negocia entre níveis já conhecidos. O primeiro suporte está em US$ 2,06. Se a venda dos investidores de longo prazo aumentar e o preço perder esse nível, o XRP pode revisitar US$ 1,81, um recente fundo local. Para permanecer em sua zona verde, o XRP precisa fechar acima de US$ 2,24, invertendo a tendência de curto prazo para cima. Isso abriria o caminho para US$ 2,58 e US$ 2,69, mas apenas se grandes investimentos apoiarem a ruptura. É aqui que entra o CMF (Chaikin Money Flow). O CMF mede o dinheiro que flui de grandes carteiras. Ele subiu ligeiramente acima de zero, indicando alguma entrada, mas ainda está abaixo de uma linha de tendência descendente. Até que o CMF rompa essa linha de tendência, as entradas não são fortes o suficiente para compensar totalmente as vendas dos investidores de longo prazo. Por enquanto, o preço do XRP ainda se mantém em sua zona verde (semana a semana), mas os investidores de longo prazo — respaldados por alto NUPL e aumentos nas saídas — permanecem como um sinal de alerta lento que os traders devem observar de perto. O artigo Análise XRP: preço segue no verde enquanto um grupo acende alerta foi visto pela primeira vez em BeInCrypto Brasil. $XRP
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