交易者林潇
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#币安HODLer空投NXPC $BTC Deep Summary: Survival Rules of Contract Trading
1. Position control is the lifeline: The reason the fan in the story fell into such a predicament is due to heavy positions. Keeping the initial position within 3% may seem to limit potential profits, but in fact, it builds a solid defense line for the account. Proper position sizing allows traders to remain calm amidst market fluctuations and avoids the vicious cycle of continuously adding funds due to a single mistake. For example, if this fan had maintained a reasonable initial position, even if their judgment was wrong, they wouldn't have to fall into the endless cycle of adding more capital.
2. Take profit and stop loss are protective talismans: Market conditions are unpredictable, and no one can make 100% accurate predictions. Taking profit allows for timely securing of gains, while stop loss helps control losses within a bearable range when judgments are wrong. This fan refused to set stop losses from the very beginning, causing losses to snowball until they were on the verge of liquidation. Only by strictly implementing take profit and stop loss strategies can one survive in the market for the long term.
3. Maintain rationality and avoid emotional trading: During the trading process, this fan was driven by resentment and a sense of luck, blindly averaging down and refusing to hedge, repeatedly missing opportunities for recovery. Emotional trading often leads to irrationality and poor decision-making. Traders need to stay calm at all times, analyze the market with an objective attitude, and not let emotions dictate trading behavior.
4. Value professional advice and continue learning: Professional advice is often based on rich experience and deep understanding of the market. The fan in the story repeatedly rejected my reasonable suggestions, leading to escalating risks. In trading, investors should humbly accept professional guidance while continuously learning trading knowledge and skills to improve their own trading abilities, allowing them to navigate the contract market more steadily and further.
1. Position control is the lifeline: The reason the fan in the story fell into such a predicament is due to heavy positions. Keeping the initial position within 3% may seem to limit potential profits, but in fact, it builds a solid defense line for the account. Proper position sizing allows traders to remain calm amidst market fluctuations and avoids the vicious cycle of continuously adding funds due to a single mistake. For example, if this fan had maintained a reasonable initial position, even if their judgment was wrong, they wouldn't have to fall into the endless cycle of adding more capital.
2. Take profit and stop loss are protective talismans: Market conditions are unpredictable, and no one can make 100% accurate predictions. Taking profit allows for timely securing of gains, while stop loss helps control losses within a bearable range when judgments are wrong. This fan refused to set stop losses from the very beginning, causing losses to snowball until they were on the verge of liquidation. Only by strictly implementing take profit and stop loss strategies can one survive in the market for the long term.
3. Maintain rationality and avoid emotional trading: During the trading process, this fan was driven by resentment and a sense of luck, blindly averaging down and refusing to hedge, repeatedly missing opportunities for recovery. Emotional trading often leads to irrationality and poor decision-making. Traders need to stay calm at all times, analyze the market with an objective attitude, and not let emotions dictate trading behavior.
4. Value professional advice and continue learning: Professional advice is often based on rich experience and deep understanding of the market. The fan in the story repeatedly rejected my reasonable suggestions, leading to escalating risks. In trading, investors should humbly accept professional guidance while continuously learning trading knowledge and skills to improve their own trading abilities, allowing them to navigate the contract market more steadily and further.
#美国加密立法 $BTC The Road to Unwinding in the Race Against Time
The next day, the market did not behave as he wished, and the prices continued to rise. I was anxious and desperate, and to help him see the situation clearly, I shared the painful experience of another fan who had a liquidation of 110,000 oil, hoping he could take it as a warning, stop losses in time, or take remedial measures. However, he seemed blinded by obsession, ignoring my advice.
During the fluctuations in the market, I repeatedly suggested he lock in his position. When the price reached 102,600 and 103,500, these were clearly excellent opportunities to reduce risk, but he hesitated repeatedly and never took action. Each missed opportunity made his situation more perilous.
On the 10th, the market rose to 104,085, and he recharged 30,000 oil, causing the forced liquidation line to rise to 118,085. He helplessly said, "I can't sleep at all without adding money." But the market has never shown mercy to the weak; all the positive news came one after another, and he repeatedly missed the opportunity to lock in his position.
Once, late at night when the market reached 102,500, I sensed danger and immediately called him. The phone rang continuously in the quiet night but was never answered. When I finally got through, the market had already risen again, and yet another excellent opportunity slipped away.
Finally, when the market reached 104,000, I decisively gave the advice: "Directly add 6,000 contracts to pull the average price up to 101,962!" This time he finally listened. After a series of operations, the liquidation price dropped to 110,908. In this game against the market, he finally managed to stabilize the situation temporarily and could sleep soundly.
The next day, the market did not behave as he wished, and the prices continued to rise. I was anxious and desperate, and to help him see the situation clearly, I shared the painful experience of another fan who had a liquidation of 110,000 oil, hoping he could take it as a warning, stop losses in time, or take remedial measures. However, he seemed blinded by obsession, ignoring my advice.
During the fluctuations in the market, I repeatedly suggested he lock in his position. When the price reached 102,600 and 103,500, these were clearly excellent opportunities to reduce risk, but he hesitated repeatedly and never took action. Each missed opportunity made his situation more perilous.
On the 10th, the market rose to 104,085, and he recharged 30,000 oil, causing the forced liquidation line to rise to 118,085. He helplessly said, "I can't sleep at all without adding money." But the market has never shown mercy to the weak; all the positive news came one after another, and he repeatedly missed the opportunity to lock in his position.
Once, late at night when the market reached 102,500, I sensed danger and immediately called him. The phone rang continuously in the quiet night but was never answered. When I finally got through, the market had already risen again, and yet another excellent opportunity slipped away.
Finally, when the market reached 104,000, I decisively gave the advice: "Directly add 6,000 contracts to pull the average price up to 101,962!" This time he finally listened. After a series of operations, the liquidation price dropped to 110,908. In this game against the market, he finally managed to stabilize the situation temporarily and could sleep soundly.
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Repost! Don't miss the treasure post
Don't let the current market fluctuations shake your confidence. I firmly believe: the current sluggish situation is merely the darkness before dawn, and soon my predictions will be validated! The subtle movements in the market are already clear, and the big players are sparing no effort to use various strategies to lower prices, intending to force retail investors to sell in panic. However, if we look towards a broader future, it is not difficult to find that this pullback is just a trivial setback in the rising curve of the 'big market'!
The essence of the market reveals: the pullback actually hides secrets, it is a bait set by the big players, while the real rebound wave is ready to surge. The little cleverness of the big players, trying to profit from short-term fluctuations, often overlooks the power of the market's long-term trends.
Many fans are curious why you focus on Bitcoin, the reason is that I have deeply cultivated in the Bitcoin field, adhering to the principle of 'professional matters lead to excellence'. For others, it is not that I do not dabble, but due to considerations of market stability and my own professional expertise, I choose to concentrate my efforts on the skill of Bitcoin, striving to achieve the realm of mastery. After all, each profession has its specialization, and focus is essential to achieve excellence. #特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC
Don't let the current market fluctuations shake your confidence. I firmly believe: the current sluggish situation is merely the darkness before dawn, and soon my predictions will be validated! The subtle movements in the market are already clear, and the big players are sparing no effort to use various strategies to lower prices, intending to force retail investors to sell in panic. However, if we look towards a broader future, it is not difficult to find that this pullback is just a trivial setback in the rising curve of the 'big market'!
The essence of the market reveals: the pullback actually hides secrets, it is a bait set by the big players, while the real rebound wave is ready to surge. The little cleverness of the big players, trying to profit from short-term fluctuations, often overlooks the power of the market's long-term trends.
Many fans are curious why you focus on Bitcoin, the reason is that I have deeply cultivated in the Bitcoin field, adhering to the principle of 'professional matters lead to excellence'. For others, it is not that I do not dabble, but due to considerations of market stability and my own professional expertise, I choose to concentrate my efforts on the skill of Bitcoin, striving to achieve the realm of mastery. After all, each profession has its specialization, and focus is essential to achieve excellence. #特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC
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The most discussed topic these days is whether to chase the rebound of Bitcoin. There is a fear of standing at the peak if one chases, and a worry of missing out if one doesn't chase. Although it's hard to confirm if a bull market is really returning, there are solid reasons to believe that the price is heading towards 98.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has been oscillating in a triangular area and has now broken through the resistance line of that range, which is a clear bullish signal. According to market logic, after a breakout, the price is likely to continue rising, with 98 being the target based on this breakout pattern.
Moreover, the expectation that Hassert may take charge of the Federal Reserve has added fuel to the market. He is generally dovish, which is likely to promote interest rate cuts and release more market liquidity, while risk assets like Bitcoin typically rise during times of loose liquidity; additionally, he has close ties to the crypto industry, which may lead to clearer regulations and attract traditional capital. However, one must also be wary of the risk of over-inflated expectations, as Federal Reserve policy is not solely determined by him. If actual policies do not meet expectations, the market may correct. Additionally, the crypto market has its own cycles; the expected bull market in the second half of 2026 is related to Bitcoin halving and the lag in policy transmission, with macro policies acting merely as catalysts.
#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has been oscillating in a triangular area and has now broken through the resistance line of that range, which is a clear bullish signal. According to market logic, after a breakout, the price is likely to continue rising, with 98 being the target based on this breakout pattern.
Moreover, the expectation that Hassert may take charge of the Federal Reserve has added fuel to the market. He is generally dovish, which is likely to promote interest rate cuts and release more market liquidity, while risk assets like Bitcoin typically rise during times of loose liquidity; additionally, he has close ties to the crypto industry, which may lead to clearer regulations and attract traditional capital. However, one must also be wary of the risk of over-inflated expectations, as Federal Reserve policy is not solely determined by him. If actual policies do not meet expectations, the market may correct. Additionally, the crypto market has its own cycles; the expected bull market in the second half of 2026 is related to Bitcoin halving and the lag in policy transmission, with macro policies acting merely as catalysts.
#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
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December 4th Thursday evening operation strategy
Today we look at the 4H trend of Bitcoin, currently priced around 93500, with a slight increase of more than 0.5 points in the last 24 hours, which is in a state of "oscillation with some bullish momentum"~ very strong
Currently, the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, but the MACD bars are slightly contracting, and the RSI is nearing the overbought zone, which indicates an oscillation phase of "bulls are not so fierce, but temporarily not collapsing." The contract funds are buying, while the spot market is selling, showing some divergence between long and short positions; just avoid chasing highs~
Going Long
Wait for a pullback to the support range of 919-925, and if a bullish candlestick pattern like a morning star appears, you can enter in batches.
Set a stop loss directly at 90500, with the first target looking at 9448, and if it moves up, then look at 956.
Going Short
In the short term, focus on the resistance level of 945, and if the price reaches here without stabilizing, you can try a light short position.
Don’t be greedy with the stop loss, just set it at 95, with the first target looking at a pullback to 925.
#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
Today we look at the 4H trend of Bitcoin, currently priced around 93500, with a slight increase of more than 0.5 points in the last 24 hours, which is in a state of "oscillation with some bullish momentum"~ very strong
Currently, the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, but the MACD bars are slightly contracting, and the RSI is nearing the overbought zone, which indicates an oscillation phase of "bulls are not so fierce, but temporarily not collapsing." The contract funds are buying, while the spot market is selling, showing some divergence between long and short positions; just avoid chasing highs~
Going Long
Wait for a pullback to the support range of 919-925, and if a bullish candlestick pattern like a morning star appears, you can enter in batches.
Set a stop loss directly at 90500, with the first target looking at 9448, and if it moves up, then look at 956.
Going Short
In the short term, focus on the resistance level of 945, and if the price reaches here without stabilizing, you can try a light short position.
Don’t be greedy with the stop loss, just set it at 95, with the first target looking at a pullback to 925.
#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
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October 28th, Friday midday operation strategy
Last week, after dropping to around 80600, it directly formed a long lower shadow, and then surged with consecutive bullish candles to above 91000, confirming the support below. However, after briefly touching around 91900, it was pushed down again. The latest candlestick has a slight upper shadow, indicating that a short-term upward movement is somewhat challenging. The short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD red bars are still expanding, but the RSI has reached 71, and the KDJ is nearly at 93, both of which are considered overbought zones, meaning "the body is a bit tired and may need to catch a breath."
For those looking to go long: either wait for a pullback to the 90500-90800 range to buy low (buy in batches, don’t go all in), or wait until it stabilizes above 91800 and then follow the breakout as it will become support. Set the stop loss at 89800; if it breaks, exit immediately. The initial target is 92500; if it can break through, then look at 93500.
For those looking to go short: don’t rush to short now; wait for two signals: either the price hits resistance around 92500 + a clear high and drop candlestick appears, or directly breaks the 89800 support. At this point, the bullish logic breaks down, and then consider a short position.
$BTC #加密市场反弹
Last week, after dropping to around 80600, it directly formed a long lower shadow, and then surged with consecutive bullish candles to above 91000, confirming the support below. However, after briefly touching around 91900, it was pushed down again. The latest candlestick has a slight upper shadow, indicating that a short-term upward movement is somewhat challenging. The short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD red bars are still expanding, but the RSI has reached 71, and the KDJ is nearly at 93, both of which are considered overbought zones, meaning "the body is a bit tired and may need to catch a breath."
For those looking to go long: either wait for a pullback to the 90500-90800 range to buy low (buy in batches, don’t go all in), or wait until it stabilizes above 91800 and then follow the breakout as it will become support. Set the stop loss at 89800; if it breaks, exit immediately. The initial target is 92500; if it can break through, then look at 93500.
For those looking to go short: don’t rush to short now; wait for two signals: either the price hits resistance around 92500 + a clear high and drop candlestick appears, or directly breaks the 89800 support. At this point, the bullish logic breaks down, and then consider a short position.
$BTC #加密市场反弹
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November 25th, Tuesday morning operational thoughts
I just checked the Bitcoin 4-hour chart, and it is currently stuck around 88600. This position is quite interesting—here's the conclusion: short-term fluctuations lean towards bullish, but don't chase directly; wait for a pullback/breakthrough before taking action.
Going long
At this position, both RSI and KDJ are a bit overbought (especially the J value at 81), rushing in can easily get you caught by a knife.
Entry point: Wait for a pullback to the 87500-88000 range to enter in batches, or wait for a significant volume break through the resistance level of 89670 before chasing (better to confirm with a pullback after the breakthrough).
Stop loss: If it can't hold at 86100, exit; this is the recent strong support, and if it breaks, the short-term bullish trend is gone.
Target: First look at 91000, and if it stabilizes, then aim for 93200.
Going short
Right now, don't rush to short, as the spot buying is still supporting the price, and MACD has just crossed positively.
Short entry point: If it reaches around 89670 and doesn't move, with volume decreasing, or if it pulls back and directly breaks 86100, then consider going short.
Stop loss: Don't hold onto short positions; if it breaks 90000, just run.
Summary:
We are currently in a phase of 'neither up nor down'; either wait for a pullback to go long, or wait for a breakthrough to confirm the direction. Don't over-leverage; the volatility is still high these days, and strictly use stop losses!
#比特币波动性 $BTC
I just checked the Bitcoin 4-hour chart, and it is currently stuck around 88600. This position is quite interesting—here's the conclusion: short-term fluctuations lean towards bullish, but don't chase directly; wait for a pullback/breakthrough before taking action.
Going long
At this position, both RSI and KDJ are a bit overbought (especially the J value at 81), rushing in can easily get you caught by a knife.
Entry point: Wait for a pullback to the 87500-88000 range to enter in batches, or wait for a significant volume break through the resistance level of 89670 before chasing (better to confirm with a pullback after the breakthrough).
Stop loss: If it can't hold at 86100, exit; this is the recent strong support, and if it breaks, the short-term bullish trend is gone.
Target: First look at 91000, and if it stabilizes, then aim for 93200.
Going short
Right now, don't rush to short, as the spot buying is still supporting the price, and MACD has just crossed positively.
Short entry point: If it reaches around 89670 and doesn't move, with volume decreasing, or if it pulls back and directly breaks 86100, then consider going short.
Stop loss: Don't hold onto short positions; if it breaks 90000, just run.
Summary:
We are currently in a phase of 'neither up nor down'; either wait for a pullback to go long, or wait for a breakthrough to confirm the direction. Don't over-leverage; the volatility is still high these days, and strictly use stop losses!
#比特币波动性 $BTC
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November 24th, Monday evening operation thoughts
This wave of Bitcoin's 4-hour line is indeed a bit exhausting - after crashing down from around 88000, it has been oscillating in the 85000-88000 range, currently stuck around 85900.
Resistance/Support: The upper resistance at 88100 is the upper Bollinger band plus previous high pressure, while the lower support at 85700 is the middle band support, which has not been broken for now. The MACD has a golden cross below the zero axis, but the red bars are not expanding, and the RSI is stuck around 50, indicating a state of 'neither bulls nor bears have strength.'
Volume is more realistic: when it falls, volume expands, and when it rebounds, volume shrinks, indicating that bears are temporarily dominant, but the support has not yet been breached.
Want to short: wait for a rebound to the pressure level near 88000 to short, with a stop loss at 88800 (to guard against a sudden rebound), and initially target 84500; if that breaks, then look at 83300.
Want to long: don’t rush to catch the bottom, wait for it to stabilize above 86000+ and break out with volume before joining, with a stop loss at 85000, and initially target 88000.
#比特币波动性 $BTC
This wave of Bitcoin's 4-hour line is indeed a bit exhausting - after crashing down from around 88000, it has been oscillating in the 85000-88000 range, currently stuck around 85900.
Resistance/Support: The upper resistance at 88100 is the upper Bollinger band plus previous high pressure, while the lower support at 85700 is the middle band support, which has not been broken for now. The MACD has a golden cross below the zero axis, but the red bars are not expanding, and the RSI is stuck around 50, indicating a state of 'neither bulls nor bears have strength.'
Volume is more realistic: when it falls, volume expands, and when it rebounds, volume shrinks, indicating that bears are temporarily dominant, but the support has not yet been breached.
Want to short: wait for a rebound to the pressure level near 88000 to short, with a stop loss at 88800 (to guard against a sudden rebound), and initially target 84500; if that breaks, then look at 83300.
Want to long: don’t rush to catch the bottom, wait for it to stabilize above 86000+ and break out with volume before joining, with a stop loss at 85000, and initially target 88000.
#比特币波动性 $BTC
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Hmm
November 23rd Sunday Evening Trading Ideas
After a deep drop, there is a rebound now with a slightly bullish range but not completely crazy.
From around 80600, it has bounced to now 86500+, this rebound is considered strong, but it hasn't escaped the previous downtrend (after all, it's still far from the previous high of 96000).
Key points for entry positions:
Either wait for the current surge to break 87500 (the recent resistance level) and stabilize before following;
Or wait for a pullback to 85500-85800 (moving average/Bollinger middle band support) before buying in.
Target levels: first look at 88800, if it breaks through, then aim for around 89800.
Don't forget the stop loss: if it breaks 84000, pull out quickly, don't hold on.
For friends looking to short:
Don't rush to short now!
Although KDJ is nearly overbought (short-term gains have been too rapid and prone to correction), MACD has just crossed bullish, and funds are still flowing in—shorting now is equivalent to going against the trend.
If you really want to short, wait for this rebound to hit 89800 (Bollinger upper band) or if it stops rising before considering, and only take small positions for short-term corrections.
Currently leaning towards going long, but don't chase highs; for shorting, wait for clear reversal signals.
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC
After a deep drop, there is a rebound now with a slightly bullish range but not completely crazy.
From around 80600, it has bounced to now 86500+, this rebound is considered strong, but it hasn't escaped the previous downtrend (after all, it's still far from the previous high of 96000).
Key points for entry positions:
Either wait for the current surge to break 87500 (the recent resistance level) and stabilize before following;
Or wait for a pullback to 85500-85800 (moving average/Bollinger middle band support) before buying in.
Target levels: first look at 88800, if it breaks through, then aim for around 89800.
Don't forget the stop loss: if it breaks 84000, pull out quickly, don't hold on.
For friends looking to short:
Don't rush to short now!
Although KDJ is nearly overbought (short-term gains have been too rapid and prone to correction), MACD has just crossed bullish, and funds are still flowing in—shorting now is equivalent to going against the trend.
If you really want to short, wait for this rebound to hit 89800 (Bollinger upper band) or if it stops rising before considering, and only take small positions for short-term corrections.
Currently leaning towards going long, but don't chase highs; for shorting, wait for clear reversal signals.
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC
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Morning Operation Strategy on November 24
I just took a look at the Bitcoin 4-hour chart, and the current price is around 86600, with a slight increase of 1.5% in the last 24 hours, indicating a state of "quietly bullish in a fluctuation."
Now, you can make small purchases to go long, but do not chase high prices; you can try shorting with a small position when approaching the resistance level above.
Opportunities to go long:
Wait for a pullback to buy in batches within the range of 85500-86000, or wait for a stable position above 87500 before chasing the breakout for more stability.
Set a stop-loss directly at 84700; if it falls below that, take the loss and exit. This is just a little over 2 points of risk, with the initial target at 88300, and if it can break through, look at 89900.
Where can you try shorting?
Wait for the price to rise to the resistance level of 88300-88500. If it struggles to break through and the candlestick shows a long upper shadow or a bearish candle, then short with a small position. Set the stop-loss at 89000, aiming to take quick profits near 87000.
Why do I see it this way?
1. The technical aspect gives some confidence: MACD has just crossed bullish, moving averages are also starting to align upwards, and the price is above the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a state of "strong but not crazy."
2. Short-term money is coming in: There is a net inflow of 112 million dollars in 1-hour contracts, but medium to long-term funds are still exiting, so do not go heavy.
3. The volume is okay: There was no volume when prices fell, but there is volume when they rise, indicating a healthy buying state.
#比特币波动性 $BTC
I just took a look at the Bitcoin 4-hour chart, and the current price is around 86600, with a slight increase of 1.5% in the last 24 hours, indicating a state of "quietly bullish in a fluctuation."
Now, you can make small purchases to go long, but do not chase high prices; you can try shorting with a small position when approaching the resistance level above.
Opportunities to go long:
Wait for a pullback to buy in batches within the range of 85500-86000, or wait for a stable position above 87500 before chasing the breakout for more stability.
Set a stop-loss directly at 84700; if it falls below that, take the loss and exit. This is just a little over 2 points of risk, with the initial target at 88300, and if it can break through, look at 89900.
Where can you try shorting?
Wait for the price to rise to the resistance level of 88300-88500. If it struggles to break through and the candlestick shows a long upper shadow or a bearish candle, then short with a small position. Set the stop-loss at 89000, aiming to take quick profits near 87000.
Why do I see it this way?
1. The technical aspect gives some confidence: MACD has just crossed bullish, moving averages are also starting to align upwards, and the price is above the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a state of "strong but not crazy."
2. Short-term money is coming in: There is a net inflow of 112 million dollars in 1-hour contracts, but medium to long-term funds are still exiting, so do not go heavy.
3. The volume is okay: There was no volume when prices fell, but there is volume when they rise, indicating a healthy buying state.
#比特币波动性 $BTC
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November 23rd Sunday Evening Trading Ideas
After a deep drop, there is a rebound now with a slightly bullish range but not completely crazy.
From around 80600, it has bounced to now 86500+, this rebound is considered strong, but it hasn't escaped the previous downtrend (after all, it's still far from the previous high of 96000).
Key points for entry positions:
Either wait for the current surge to break 87500 (the recent resistance level) and stabilize before following;
Or wait for a pullback to 85500-85800 (moving average/Bollinger middle band support) before buying in.
Target levels: first look at 88800, if it breaks through, then aim for around 89800.
Don't forget the stop loss: if it breaks 84000, pull out quickly, don't hold on.
For friends looking to short:
Don't rush to short now!
Although KDJ is nearly overbought (short-term gains have been too rapid and prone to correction), MACD has just crossed bullish, and funds are still flowing in—shorting now is equivalent to going against the trend.
If you really want to short, wait for this rebound to hit 89800 (Bollinger upper band) or if it stops rising before considering, and only take small positions for short-term corrections.
Currently leaning towards going long, but don't chase highs; for shorting, wait for clear reversal signals.
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC
After a deep drop, there is a rebound now with a slightly bullish range but not completely crazy.
From around 80600, it has bounced to now 86500+, this rebound is considered strong, but it hasn't escaped the previous downtrend (after all, it's still far from the previous high of 96000).
Key points for entry positions:
Either wait for the current surge to break 87500 (the recent resistance level) and stabilize before following;
Or wait for a pullback to 85500-85800 (moving average/Bollinger middle band support) before buying in.
Target levels: first look at 88800, if it breaks through, then aim for around 89800.
Don't forget the stop loss: if it breaks 84000, pull out quickly, don't hold on.
For friends looking to short:
Don't rush to short now!
Although KDJ is nearly overbought (short-term gains have been too rapid and prone to correction), MACD has just crossed bullish, and funds are still flowing in—shorting now is equivalent to going against the trend.
If you really want to short, wait for this rebound to hit 89800 (Bollinger upper band) or if it stops rising before considering, and only take small positions for short-term corrections.
Currently leaning towards going long, but don't chase highs; for shorting, wait for clear reversal signals.
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC
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November 20th, Thursday morning operation strategy
Currently, the price of Bitcoin is stuck around 91600. Over the past two days, the 4-hour line dropped to 88500 and then bounced back, giving a bit of a "stop-loss stabilization" feeling, but don't rush in.
Long opportunity: Wait for a pullback to the 90500-91000 range to buy low, and if it stabilizes above 90600 (MA5), then add positions. Set the stop loss at 88500 (if this support breaks, it's basically hopeless), and target first at 93400 (resistance level), and if it can push through, then look at 95300.
Short opportunity: If it reaches 93400-93500 and doesn't push through, short directly, set the stop loss at 94000, and target around 91000.
Why do I see it this way?
Short-term indicators are giving a little "sweet spot": MACD has just crossed golden, and KDJ is also turning upwards, indicating there is rebound momentum on a smaller scale; but the larger trend is still bearish—moving averages are all in a bearish arrangement, the price hasn't even touched MA10, and during the decline, volume increased while the rebound saw reduced volume, a typical "weak rebound".
The funding situation is even more interesting: over at the contracts, more than 800 million U has secretly flowed in, but the spot market is still throwing out 190 million U, which means "futures are pushing up, and spot is pushing down". Whether this rebound can hold is really hard to say.
In summary: It is now a "short-term rebound in a bearish fluctuation". Don't be greedy when going long; run when it reaches the resistance level; if the rebound weakens, it's safer to go short directly.
#美股2026预测 $BTC
Currently, the price of Bitcoin is stuck around 91600. Over the past two days, the 4-hour line dropped to 88500 and then bounced back, giving a bit of a "stop-loss stabilization" feeling, but don't rush in.
Long opportunity: Wait for a pullback to the 90500-91000 range to buy low, and if it stabilizes above 90600 (MA5), then add positions. Set the stop loss at 88500 (if this support breaks, it's basically hopeless), and target first at 93400 (resistance level), and if it can push through, then look at 95300.
Short opportunity: If it reaches 93400-93500 and doesn't push through, short directly, set the stop loss at 94000, and target around 91000.
Why do I see it this way?
Short-term indicators are giving a little "sweet spot": MACD has just crossed golden, and KDJ is also turning upwards, indicating there is rebound momentum on a smaller scale; but the larger trend is still bearish—moving averages are all in a bearish arrangement, the price hasn't even touched MA10, and during the decline, volume increased while the rebound saw reduced volume, a typical "weak rebound".
The funding situation is even more interesting: over at the contracts, more than 800 million U has secretly flowed in, but the spot market is still throwing out 190 million U, which means "futures are pushing up, and spot is pushing down". Whether this rebound can hold is really hard to say.
In summary: It is now a "short-term rebound in a bearish fluctuation". Don't be greedy when going long; run when it reaches the resistance level; if the rebound weakens, it's safer to go short directly.
#美股2026预测 $BTC
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November 17th, Monday evening operation ideas
Long conditions
Entry: Breakthrough 95584 with strong volume and stabilize at 95720
Stop loss: 95720
Target: Upper resistance level (follow market trends)
Short conditions
Entry 1: Break below support level 93778 + MACD cross confirmation
Stop loss 1: 94500
Target 1: 93500→91300
Entry 2: Rebound to pressure zone 96500-97180
Stop loss 2: 98500-99500
Target 2: 93500→91300
#加密市场回调 $BTC
Long conditions
Entry: Breakthrough 95584 with strong volume and stabilize at 95720
Stop loss: 95720
Target: Upper resistance level (follow market trends)
Short conditions
Entry 1: Break below support level 93778 + MACD cross confirmation
Stop loss 1: 94500
Target 1: 93500→91300
Entry 2: Rebound to pressure zone 96500-97180
Stop loss 2: 98500-99500
Target 2: 93500→91300
#加密市场回调 $BTC
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November 4th, Friday evening operation strategy
The crypto market has once again plunged! Bitcoin has dropped nearly 6% in 24 hours, now reported at 97107. Bottom-fishers are eager to act, while bears still want to seize the victory—should we get on board or wait and see? Key points first: the overall trend remains bearish, but short-term oversold signals are piling up, so a small position can be taken to bet on a rebound, just don’t become a "bag holder"!
Let’s talk about why there’s a chance for a short-term rebound. The technical indicators are almost "calling for help": on the 4-hour chart, the RSI6 has dropped directly to 23, and the KDJ three lines are all lying below 20. When these two indicators are both oversold, it’s like a spring compressed to the limit, with the probability of a rebound rising sharply. Moreover, the price has already touched the lower Bollinger Band, and the latest K-line trading volume has plummeted to 13.79. During the previous drop, the volume was significant, but now the selling pressure has clearly weakened, and funds are secretly "bottom fishing"—there’s a net inflow of 95.51 million USDT on the 30-minute chart, diverging from the outflow on the 4-hour chart, indicating that short-term funds are starting to enter the market to pick up bargains.
But don’t let the rebound signals cloud your judgment! The moving averages are still in a standard "bearish arrangement", with MA5 directly pressing down at 98319. The price hasn’t even stood above all the moving averages, and the MACD is still in a dead cross below the zero line, indicating that the bearish trend hasn’t changed at all. This operation can only be viewed as an "oversold rebound"; don’t treat it as a reversal, or you might end up bottom-fishing like "Huluwa saving grandpa".
Long opportunities (caution! Position not exceeding 10%)
Conservative: Wait for the price to retrace and stabilize in the support range of 95840-96500, and look for a golden cross on the 30-minute MACD before entering in batches. Set a stop loss below 94800 to avoid being liquidated by a spike.
Aggressive: If it can break through MA5 (98319) with volume and hold, a small position can be tested long, but don’t chase the high!
Targets: The first target is 101960 (double pressure of MA20 + R1), the second target is 103456, with roughly 5%-6.5% space, and a risk-reward ratio of about 1:2.
Short opportunities (go with the trend, more secure)
If it rebounds near 101960 and fails to push further, and a bearish engulfing candle appears, directly short with a light position, setting a stop loss above 103456.
If it directly breaks below the key support of 95840 with volume, it indicates that the oversold rebound is completely over, and the trend continues downward; you can follow the trend to short, targeting the previous low points.
$BTC #美国结束政府停摆
The crypto market has once again plunged! Bitcoin has dropped nearly 6% in 24 hours, now reported at 97107. Bottom-fishers are eager to act, while bears still want to seize the victory—should we get on board or wait and see? Key points first: the overall trend remains bearish, but short-term oversold signals are piling up, so a small position can be taken to bet on a rebound, just don’t become a "bag holder"!
Let’s talk about why there’s a chance for a short-term rebound. The technical indicators are almost "calling for help": on the 4-hour chart, the RSI6 has dropped directly to 23, and the KDJ three lines are all lying below 20. When these two indicators are both oversold, it’s like a spring compressed to the limit, with the probability of a rebound rising sharply. Moreover, the price has already touched the lower Bollinger Band, and the latest K-line trading volume has plummeted to 13.79. During the previous drop, the volume was significant, but now the selling pressure has clearly weakened, and funds are secretly "bottom fishing"—there’s a net inflow of 95.51 million USDT on the 30-minute chart, diverging from the outflow on the 4-hour chart, indicating that short-term funds are starting to enter the market to pick up bargains.
But don’t let the rebound signals cloud your judgment! The moving averages are still in a standard "bearish arrangement", with MA5 directly pressing down at 98319. The price hasn’t even stood above all the moving averages, and the MACD is still in a dead cross below the zero line, indicating that the bearish trend hasn’t changed at all. This operation can only be viewed as an "oversold rebound"; don’t treat it as a reversal, or you might end up bottom-fishing like "Huluwa saving grandpa".
Long opportunities (caution! Position not exceeding 10%)
Conservative: Wait for the price to retrace and stabilize in the support range of 95840-96500, and look for a golden cross on the 30-minute MACD before entering in batches. Set a stop loss below 94800 to avoid being liquidated by a spike.
Aggressive: If it can break through MA5 (98319) with volume and hold, a small position can be tested long, but don’t chase the high!
Targets: The first target is 101960 (double pressure of MA20 + R1), the second target is 103456, with roughly 5%-6.5% space, and a risk-reward ratio of about 1:2.
Short opportunities (go with the trend, more secure)
If it rebounds near 101960 and fails to push further, and a bearish engulfing candle appears, directly short with a light position, setting a stop loss above 103456.
If it directly breaks below the key support of 95840 with volume, it indicates that the oversold rebound is completely over, and the trend continues downward; you can follow the trend to short, targeting the previous low points.
$BTC #美国结束政府停摆
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Evening trading strategy for November 13th
In the morning, the market continued to engage in low-level speculation, with prices fluctuating in a narrow range of 1025-1035, failing to break through the MA20 resistance. During the rebound, trading volume continued to shrink, completely lagging behind the price rhythm, a typical signal of weak rebounds. Technically, bearish sentiment still prevails: moving averages show a bearish arrangement, prices remain below the MA20, and the MACD death cross has not changed, just a reduction in green bars. The KDJ golden cross did not drive a trend reversal, at most a weak short-term rebound. The funding situation is more direct, with a net outflow of 1.23 billion in contracts over 24 hours, and spot trading is also running out, revealing a clear bearish sentiment among large investors.
Short selling points: If there is a rebound to the pressure zone of 105-1056, any signs of long upper shadows or the MACD turning can be an entry point; if it directly breaks below the lower Bollinger Band at 1008 with increased volume, one can also follow the trend to short.
Stop loss: 1065, providing sufficient volatility buffer.
Target: First look at 1008, and after breaking, then look at 99.
In the short term, without breaking the 1056 resistance, the oscillating bearish pattern is hard to change; rebounds are just shorting windows, don't blindly catch the bottom～#代币化热潮 $BTC
In the morning, the market continued to engage in low-level speculation, with prices fluctuating in a narrow range of 1025-1035, failing to break through the MA20 resistance. During the rebound, trading volume continued to shrink, completely lagging behind the price rhythm, a typical signal of weak rebounds. Technically, bearish sentiment still prevails: moving averages show a bearish arrangement, prices remain below the MA20, and the MACD death cross has not changed, just a reduction in green bars. The KDJ golden cross did not drive a trend reversal, at most a weak short-term rebound. The funding situation is more direct, with a net outflow of 1.23 billion in contracts over 24 hours, and spot trading is also running out, revealing a clear bearish sentiment among large investors.
Short selling points: If there is a rebound to the pressure zone of 105-1056, any signs of long upper shadows or the MACD turning can be an entry point; if it directly breaks below the lower Bollinger Band at 1008 with increased volume, one can also follow the trend to short.
Stop loss: 1065, providing sufficient volatility buffer.
Target: First look at 1008, and after breaking, then look at 99.
In the short term, without breaking the 1056 resistance, the oscillating bearish pattern is hard to change; rebounds are just shorting windows, don't blindly catch the bottom～#代币化热潮 $BTC
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$BTC 11 Thursday, January 13th Midday Trading Ideas
Today, the price of Bitcoin is stuck at 102030, down 1.252% in the last 24 hours, overall moving down in a fluctuating rhythm. Looking at the technical aspect, the indicators are quite straightforward right now. The moving average system is definitely in a bearish arrangement, with the current price lower than the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. MA5 has crossed below MA10, forming a death cross, making it not so easy to turn around in the short term. The MACD is also in a death cross state, and the bearish momentum is still quite strong. However, it's not all bad news; the RSI is at 34.64 and is approaching the oversold line, and the KDJ is already oversold. Moreover, the price is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band without breaking it, indicating that the downward pressure is gradually weakening.
Now looking at the funding and candlestick patterns, these two points are key. Both contract and spot funds have been flowing out in the last 24 hours, and the bears are indeed in control. However, the funds for 4-hour and 6-hour contracts have started to flow back in, which is a signal for a short-term rebound. The candlesticks have also given clear hints, with several long lower shadows appearing. After the low point of 98888.8, there hasn't been a further drop, and the support around 100000 USDT is really strong. Now a doji has appeared, and this pattern often indicates a potential change in trend, so the upcoming movements should be monitored closely.
Long Strategy: Prioritize a cautious approach
1. For the aggressive traders wanting to test the waters, a light position of 20% can be taken at the current price of 102030, but avoid heavy positions as the trend hasn't fully turned positive yet.
2. Conservative traders should wait to buy in batches in the range of 100800 - 101000, with a maximum of 30% position, as this area is close to the lower Bollinger Band support and is much safer.
Stop losses must be strictly set; if it falls below 99000, exit quickly, or it could get stuck around 95177, leading to significant losses. For targets, first look at the resistance level of 104200; once reached, consider reducing half the position. Further upwards, the next target is 105300, and if it can break above 105300, it might reach 107100 afterwards.
Short Strategy: Don't chase the drop; wait for a rebound before taking action
Directly shorting now isn't cost-effective, especially since it's close to being oversold. If the price rebounds to around 104200 and fails to stabilize at this MA20 mid-level resistance, a light short position can be attempted. Additionally, if it unexpectedly breaks below the key support of 99000, a small position can also be followed up for a short, with the target at 95177, but similarly control the position to avoid being liquidated by sudden rebounds.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
Today, the price of Bitcoin is stuck at 102030, down 1.252% in the last 24 hours, overall moving down in a fluctuating rhythm. Looking at the technical aspect, the indicators are quite straightforward right now. The moving average system is definitely in a bearish arrangement, with the current price lower than the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. MA5 has crossed below MA10, forming a death cross, making it not so easy to turn around in the short term. The MACD is also in a death cross state, and the bearish momentum is still quite strong. However, it's not all bad news; the RSI is at 34.64 and is approaching the oversold line, and the KDJ is already oversold. Moreover, the price is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band without breaking it, indicating that the downward pressure is gradually weakening.
Now looking at the funding and candlestick patterns, these two points are key. Both contract and spot funds have been flowing out in the last 24 hours, and the bears are indeed in control. However, the funds for 4-hour and 6-hour contracts have started to flow back in, which is a signal for a short-term rebound. The candlesticks have also given clear hints, with several long lower shadows appearing. After the low point of 98888.8, there hasn't been a further drop, and the support around 100000 USDT is really strong. Now a doji has appeared, and this pattern often indicates a potential change in trend, so the upcoming movements should be monitored closely.
Long Strategy: Prioritize a cautious approach
1. For the aggressive traders wanting to test the waters, a light position of 20% can be taken at the current price of 102030, but avoid heavy positions as the trend hasn't fully turned positive yet.
2. Conservative traders should wait to buy in batches in the range of 100800 - 101000, with a maximum of 30% position, as this area is close to the lower Bollinger Band support and is much safer.
Stop losses must be strictly set; if it falls below 99000, exit quickly, or it could get stuck around 95177, leading to significant losses. For targets, first look at the resistance level of 104200; once reached, consider reducing half the position. Further upwards, the next target is 105300, and if it can break above 105300, it might reach 107100 afterwards.
Short Strategy: Don't chase the drop; wait for a rebound before taking action
Directly shorting now isn't cost-effective, especially since it's close to being oversold. If the price rebounds to around 104200 and fails to stabilize at this MA20 mid-level resistance, a light short position can be attempted. Additionally, if it unexpectedly breaks below the key support of 99000, a small position can also be followed up for a short, with the target at 95177, but similarly control the position to avoid being liquidated by sudden rebounds.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
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Trading Strategy for Wednesday, November 12th (Morning)
Bitcoin 4-Hour Chart: Weak Rebound After Last Night's Plunge – Is This Morning's Movement Enough to Make a Move?
Last night, Bitcoin experienced another heart-stopping moment, plummeting from around 105,000 to just over 100,000, only slowly recovering to around 103,000 in the early morning. It dropped almost 3 points in 24 hours; the bears really didn't hold back this time.
This morning's movement is like the price catching its breath after a significant drop, hovering between 102,000 and 103,000. It hasn't broken through last night's support, but it also lacks the strength to push higher – currently stuck below the Bollinger Band middle line at 104,000, with all moving averages in a bearish alignment, a typical "weak rebound without a reversal."
Trading Suggestions
Short Entry Point: Wait for a rebound to the 104,000-105,000 level. If the price touches this level and then reverses course, and the MACD histogram widens, consider a small short position with a stop-loss above 106,000. Initial target is 100,000, and if that's broken, look for 99,000.
Long Entry Point: Don't rush to buy the dip. Wait for a pullback to the 100,000-101,000 level, where it stabilizes, and the KDJ indicator shows a golden cross. Then, consider a small long position with an initial target of the 104,000 level (the middle Bollinger Band resistance).
Currently, the market is in a bottoming-out consolidation phase after a decline. Avoid chasing rallies and making hasty trades. Wait for signals at key levels before taking action.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
Bitcoin 4-Hour Chart: Weak Rebound After Last Night's Plunge – Is This Morning's Movement Enough to Make a Move?
Last night, Bitcoin experienced another heart-stopping moment, plummeting from around 105,000 to just over 100,000, only slowly recovering to around 103,000 in the early morning. It dropped almost 3 points in 24 hours; the bears really didn't hold back this time.
This morning's movement is like the price catching its breath after a significant drop, hovering between 102,000 and 103,000. It hasn't broken through last night's support, but it also lacks the strength to push higher – currently stuck below the Bollinger Band middle line at 104,000, with all moving averages in a bearish alignment, a typical "weak rebound without a reversal."
Trading Suggestions
Short Entry Point: Wait for a rebound to the 104,000-105,000 level. If the price touches this level and then reverses course, and the MACD histogram widens, consider a small short position with a stop-loss above 106,000. Initial target is 100,000, and if that's broken, look for 99,000.
Long Entry Point: Don't rush to buy the dip. Wait for a pullback to the 100,000-101,000 level, where it stabilizes, and the KDJ indicator shows a golden cross. Then, consider a small long position with an initial target of the 104,000 level (the middle Bollinger Band resistance).
Currently, the market is in a bottoming-out consolidation phase after a decline. Avoid chasing rallies and making hasty trades. Wait for signals at key levels before taking action.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
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November 1st, Wednesday evening operation strategy
Currently, Bitcoin is at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands around 105023, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding——volatility is about to increase.
KDJ currently at K49/D65/J17, the J line is almost flat, and the downward pressure in the short term is quite obvious; MACD has also crossed, with the line moving down below DEA, indicating stronger bearish sentiment. The Alligator indicator looks like it’s going to consolidate, plus there was just a large sell order of 3.2 billion USDT, the selling pressure is quite significant.
Operation strategy
Short term: Those looking to short can wait for a rebound to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands around 107600 or the resistance level between 106000-107000 to enter, setting a stop-loss above the high point of 107400, with a take-profit initially looking at the middle band of 104023, and ideally reaching the lower band of 100800.
Long term: If you can hold, don’t rush; for now, observe and wait for the price to stabilize at the middle band, and for MACD/KDJ to turn bullish before considering entry. Support levels to watch are 104023, 98888 previous lows, and the lower band at 100800.
Key point: Be sure to manage stop losses and position sizes well, don't be stubborn.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
Currently, Bitcoin is at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands around 105023, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding——volatility is about to increase.
KDJ currently at K49/D65/J17, the J line is almost flat, and the downward pressure in the short term is quite obvious; MACD has also crossed, with the line moving down below DEA, indicating stronger bearish sentiment. The Alligator indicator looks like it’s going to consolidate, plus there was just a large sell order of 3.2 billion USDT, the selling pressure is quite significant.
Operation strategy
Short term: Those looking to short can wait for a rebound to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands around 107600 or the resistance level between 106000-107000 to enter, setting a stop-loss above the high point of 107400, with a take-profit initially looking at the middle band of 104023, and ideally reaching the lower band of 100800.
Long term: If you can hold, don’t rush; for now, observe and wait for the price to stabilize at the middle band, and for MACD/KDJ to turn bullish before considering entry. Support levels to watch are 104023, 98888 previous lows, and the lower band at 100800.
Key point: Be sure to manage stop losses and position sizes well, don't be stubborn.
#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
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November 11th, Tuesday Afternoon Operation Strategy
After breaking 105000, there was a fluctuation and pullback, and the key support was not broken. The highs and lows are rising, overall the fluctuation is slightly bullish, this is a downward correction.
Long Entry Points
Stabilize and go long at 104800-105400, stop loss at 104200.
Break and hold above 106765 to chase long, stop loss at 106300.
Conservatively wait for 102300, stop loss at 101400.
Short Entry Points
Break below 105831 and short if the rebound fails, stop loss at 106200.
Short on fake break at 107578, stop loss at 108300.
#美国政府停摆 $BTC
After breaking 105000, there was a fluctuation and pullback, and the key support was not broken. The highs and lows are rising, overall the fluctuation is slightly bullish, this is a downward correction.
Long Entry Points
Stabilize and go long at 104800-105400, stop loss at 104200.
Break and hold above 106765 to chase long, stop loss at 106300.
Conservatively wait for 102300, stop loss at 101400.
Short Entry Points
Break below 105831 and short if the rebound fails, stop loss at 106200.
Short on fake break at 107578, stop loss at 108300.
#美国政府停摆 $BTC
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October 10th, Monday evening operation strategy
Waking up in the morning to receive rice, this feeling is great. I had something to do today and couldn't post! Short-term report on Bitcoin! At the 106,000 mark, there is a long and short game, precise points to directly copy the homework.
The 4-hour line has skyrocketed past 106,000, rising over 4.5% in 24 hours, but overbought signals are flashing. Short-term players shouldn't blindly rush in; long and short points and risk control are directly given, just follow them!～
First, let's look at the core short-term signals: moving averages are in a bullish arrangement supporting the bottom, MACD golden cross is increasing, BOLL upper band breaks and stabilizes, and funds are still continuously flowing in. The overall direction is definitely bullish. However, RSI has soared to 85+, and KDJ J value has peaked at 100, indicating serious short-term overbought conditions, with a possible small pullback at any time, which instead provides a better entry opportunity.
Short-term long
Entry: 106200-106500 building positions in batches, if it pulls back to 105800 (near MA5), directly increase positions, this is the safest entry point, don't chase high above 10700!
Stop loss: below 105200, just about a 2% stop loss margin, maximizing short-term tolerance to avoid being washed out by small pullbacks.
Take profit: look at two targets, reduce half at 107500, clear out at 108200 (resistance level), quick in and out without being greedy.
Short-term short
Entry: only when the price rushes to the 108200-108500 resistance level, consider a long upper shadow or bearish engulfing type K-line under pressure, or if it drops below 105600 with volume, then try shorting with a small position.
Stop loss: above 109000, must have a narrow stop loss, in a strong market, shorting is most afraid of being squeezed by bulls, don't have a lucky mentality.
Take profit: first stop half at 106000, completely exit at 105500, short-term take profit and don’t linger in battles.
#美国政府停摆 $BTC
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The long position is still held
I have to say this speed is incredible
In just a few minutes, both long and short positions are secured
Focusing on efficient harvesting😂
Fans say it's too fast, they can't keep up with the pace
Next, just wait for the opportunity to short! #美国ADP数据超预期 $BTC
I have to say this speed is incredible
In just a few minutes, both long and short positions are secured
Focusing on efficient harvesting😂
Fans say it's too fast, they can't keep up with the pace
Next, just wait for the opportunity to short! #美国ADP数据超预期 $BTC
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