财哥价值共识

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🔥【Key Points of Interest】Profitable Operations

Regarding fans who want to get rich, recover losses, or reap benefits, I will respond to everyone here in a unified manner.

In the future layout direction, I will guide my brothers to aim for potential coins with 100 times profit opportunities to ambush, including contracts still focusing on ETH, maintaining a steady profit with over 80% win rate.

With top-tier operations, the same opportunities and market conditions, execution is key, and flipping the account is just a matter of time. Recently, I will prepare for a big wave; those who agree can directly call me.

The big pie takes the lead in diving, BANANAS31 rises against the trend, starting an independent market!

Today, the market fell broadly because of macroeconomic negatives and the panic triggered by the big pie's pullback. BANANAS31 can stand independently because the main capital is taking the opportunity to absorb cheap chips during the declining market, preparing for subsequent boosts, and resisting the market's selling pressure!

The trading volume of this coin may not be large itself, so it doesn't require too much capital to stabilize its price, and the fluctuations of the market have relatively little impact on it.

If you are a holder, you can continue to hold and observe, setting the stop-loss at below 0.00463.

If you are an observer, don't blindly chase in just because it rises against the trend; a better strategy is to wait for it to break through 0.004708 with volume and stabilize before considering a light position!
#特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调
If you hold a large position or feel confused about the current trend, you can scan the code below! 币安聊天室, regarding your specific position situation, I will prioritize providing you with more targeted risk assessment and operational advice!

看到恐慌指数降到17，确实让人心里一紧。这个数字低得有点不寻常，即便是在过去市场情绪非常低迷的时期，也很少见到这么低的值。说实话，我现在心里挺没底的。

市场可能过于乐观了。一般来说，VIX指数低于20，说明市场情绪比较稳定，散户对后市相对乐观。

但现在低到17，反而让我觉得市场可能过于乐观，甚至有些放松警惕了。历史经验告诉我们，这种极低的恐慌指数，有时候反而是市场波动可能加大的预警信号。毕竟，市场很少能一直保持这种“风平浪静”的状态。
#特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调
市场总是在恐慌与贪婪中循环，但下一次大的波动很可能会由当前多数人忽略的一个细节引发。我已将近期核心操作逻辑整理成简析，添加后可私信获取。​ 市场永远有机会，关键在于你能否提前获得不一样的视角！

To be honest, I am quite uncertain about things right now. Market sentiment has shifted dramatically from extremely optimistic to nearly fifty-fifty within a month, and this rapid reversal itself indicates a high degree of uncertainty in the environment.

There are several main reasons for my uncertainty: first, the publicized and intensified internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, with even some previously moderate officials turning cautious. Second, the critical economic data (especially official employment and inflation data) has gaps due to the previous government shutdown, leading both the market and the Federal Reserve itself to feel like they are 'flying blind,' making it difficult to accurately assess the economic situation. In this context of information ambiguity, officials' statements may lean more conservative, as 'seeking stability' is the instinctive choice.

In a situation where this uncertainty has become the norm, I believe the most important thing is to remain patient and continue to observe. The key going forward is to see whether the economic data released after the 'shutdown' can provide a clearer picture.

At the same time, adapting to the unpredictability of the Federal Reserve's policy path may become the new normal. It is best to avoid betting on the future market trend with a single 'nailed down' direction, and instead prepare for various possibilities.
#特朗普取消农产品关税
If you are uncertain about the current market direction, it is important to avoid blindly chasing gains and selling at a loss, as this will help you establish clear operational discipline, such as setting reasonable stop-loss points and managing risks by building positions in batches.

A major event has occurred!!! BlackRock has transferred over $2.5 billion in BTC and ETH to Coinbase in just three days, signaling a bearish trend!
#加密市场回调
Recent on-chain data shows that the world’s largest asset management company, BlackRock, has continuously transferred a large amount of assets from its iShares Bitcoin Trust and Ethereum Trust to the Coinbase Prime exchange over the past 72 hours. These transfers involve multiple transactions of Bitcoin and Ethereum, with the largest single Bitcoin transfer being 300 coins and the largest single Ethereum transfer being 10,000 coins.

The market generally views the transfer of funds from custody wallets to exchanges as a precursor to selling, but in-depth analysis suggests the situation may be more complex:

This large-scale transfer by BlackRock, especially moving assets to Coinbase Prime, is likely a routine operation for custody optimization and liquidity management, aimed at preparing for the daily subscription and redemption processes of ETFs, rather than a simple bearish position and liquidation. The total amount of these transfers only represents a tiny fraction of BlackRock’s massive cryptocurrency holdings, far from shaking the fundamentals.

During the same period, other major institutions like Grayscale have also made similar moves to transfer assets to exchanges. However, on-chain data indicates that the current largest single outflow on-chain is much smaller than the "billion-level sell-off" during the market crash on October 11, and the overall market leverage is relatively low, making the possibility of replicating the previous "chain liquidation" events smaller.

The short-term emotional impact is greater than the actual selling pressure: the headline “BlackRock is dumping” will exacerbate market panic, leading to retail sell-offs. However, the actual selling pressure may be overestimated, and the key is to observe the internal order book conditions on the exchanges.

Creating a buying opportunity at low levels: If prices drop irrationally due to panic sentiment, the range of $98,000 to $100,000 could be a valuable buying opportunity for long-term retail investors.

This significant transfer by BlackRock appears to be a dump on the surface, but in essence, it resembles a tactical rebalancing by institutions in response to macroeconomic changes. It reveals that the market is shifting from being driven by retail to being led by institutions, with actions that are more complex and focused on long-term strategy.
#代币化热潮 #美国结束政府停摆
Brothers, a strong coin that can explode with a tenfold profit is here, and I will prepare for a big move in the upcoming market, going all in to buy the bottom! Success will definitely fill our pockets, I want to witness this in the chat room.

The data of the entire network's liquidations is shocking, the truth behind the 230,000 retail investors going to zero overnight!
#加密市场回调
Currently, the market is waiting for several key messages. First is the PPI Producer Price Index released by the U.S. tonight at 8:30 PM, which will affect the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut timing. If the data shows inflation cooling, market sentiment will improve, possibly driving funds into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Conversely, if the data is above expectations, it may reinforce expectations for maintaining high interest rates, putting pressure on the market.

Secondly, attention needs to be paid to the latest statements from U.S. regulatory agencies regarding the Ethereum spot ETF. Any positive progress could serve as a direct catalyst for driving ETH prices up. Conversely, if approvals continue to be delayed or unfavorable news emerges, it will dampen buying enthusiasm.

Combining technical and news aspects, the current market is in a wait-and-see state. Prices are fluctuating within a narrow range, waiting for news to provide direction.

In terms of operations, a cautious approach is recommended. Before key messages are released, market volatility may increase, but the direction remains unclear. At this time, the risk of heavy trading is high. A more prudent approach is to control positions well and wait for the market to react to the news before looking for opportunities.

I believe that short-term trends are mainly driven by news. Before important economic data is published, the market tends to remain cautious. Technical indicators show a temporary balance of bullish and bearish forces, but this balance can easily be disrupted by news.
#代币化热潮
The market changes every day, don't get too tense; if you always feel like you're a step behind and fear being disturbed by market noise, feel free to chat in the cryptocurrency community chat room.

$ETH 15-minute chart reveals everything: after narrow fluctuations, there must be a big market trend!

The price fluctuates near the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, with a closing price of 3506.52 slightly below the middle track, indicating a contest between bulls and bears in the short term!

The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and volatility is contracting, suggesting that a directional breakout is imminent. If the price breaks above the upper track with volume, it may test the 3580-3600 resistance zone; if it breaks below the lower track, it may test the 3450-3470 support.

The MACD indicator shows that bearish momentum dominates, but the difference is small, indicating limited short-term downward momentum, and it is necessary to observe whether a golden cross can form to repair the weakness.

Key position judgment​
Resistance levels: 3550, 3580.
Support levels: 3477, 3450.

On a macro level: the economic data released by the United States is somewhat dovish, which may boost market risk appetite and drive ETH to rebound; if the data strengthens interest rate hike expectations, it may suppress prices.

Additionally, Bitcoin's trend remains a dominant factor; if BTC fails to stabilize at key levels, ETH will struggle to strengthen independently.
#代币化热潮
Is it possible to turn 50,000 USDT into 500,000 USDT? What I want to say is, it only takes about 3 months, and a new round of intensive training camp for flipping accounts is being prepared. If you want to keep up and witness it, gather in the chat room!

Great news! Trump will sign the funding bill tonight, will the crypto market soar?
#美国结束政府停摆
The White House announced that Trump will sign a temporary funding bill tonight to avoid a government shutdown. This news itself is a political and economic story, but it has a significant impact on the crypto market because if the government doesn't shut down, market uncertainty decreases, and retail investors may feel more at ease.

From a news perspective, the U.S. government's avoidance of a shutdown means that the economic environment will be stable in the short term and that there won't be the chaos caused by previous shutdowns. This is beneficial for global risk assets, including the crypto market.

As a high-risk investment, the crypto market fears uncertainty the most, such as policy changes or economic turmoil. Now that this news has come out, retail investors' confidence may increase, and more people might be willing to invest in Bitcoin or altcoins for a short-term gain. In simple terms, when negative news is fully priced in, it becomes positive news, market sentiment warms up, and this could push crypto prices up slightly in the next few days.

Personally, as a crypto market analyst, I believe this news will have a short-term positive impact on the crypto market. However, it’s important to remind that this is just one factor and should not be overly relied upon. The rise and fall of the crypto market also depend on technical analysis, capital flow, and global events.

Therefore, in terms of operations, it is okay to be optimistic in the short term, but one must keep an eye on other signals in the medium to long term and not let this one piece of news cloud their judgment. Overall, this news is considered a small positive, and the crypto market may take this opportunity to rebound, but investments should be approached with caution and not chase highs.
#美国政府停摆
Want to know more in-depth interpretations and real-time strategies? Don't forget to follow me for the latest updates! What do you think about this news? Feel free to share your opinions in the comments section! Scan the QR code below for the Binance chat room!

The latest data can't save us! The Federal Reserve has deep divisions that seem unsolvable. Will the market face a huge shock in December?
#美国结束政府停摆
What is the main threat right now: is it that 'inflation remains stubborn,' or that 'the job market is starting to weaken'? The two factions of officials have completely different views.

This leads to a problem: even if new economic data is released next, it might not unify the opinions of these two factions.

Therefore, the market initially thought that a rate cut in December was highly probable, and the path was clear. Now, with this argument, all plans have been disrupted, creating uncertainty.

This matter is very alarming. I believe that the serious divisions within the Federal Reserve itself are a negative signal.

What the market fears the most is uncertainty. Previously, everyone could at least make educated guesses, but now even their own people do not have a unified opinion, making it even more confusing for retail investors. This will lead to increased market sentiment volatility and make operations more difficult.

It reflects the seriousness of the problem: if they can argue like this, it shows that the U.S. economy is indeed in a dilemma of 'wolves in front and tigers behind.' Restraining inflation may require maintaining high interest rates, but that could crush employment and the economy; on the other hand, if they recklessly cut rates to protect employment, it might cause inflation to spiral out of control again. This indicates they have a hard hand to play, with no perfect choices.

The lesson for ordinary people: don’t think this is just a U.S. issue. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy affects the global cost of capital and market sentiment. This uncertainty will indirectly impact the international trade environment, exchange rate fluctuations, and even our investment market here.

Next, we must closely monitor two things:
First, the inflation data and employment data the U.S. will release in the coming months. Although the news says the data may not bridge the divisions, the quality of the data remains the basis for the two factions' debates and is the key weight that determines which side the scale tips toward.

Second, the public statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. As the top leader, his final inclination is crucial. He needs to balance internal contradictions and provide a relatively clear forward guidance.
#美国政府停摆
Want to get accurate buy and sell point tips? Follow me and scan the Binance chat room QR code! Next issue will bring you real-time signal analysis!

$AIA Snack a wave! Give me some liquidity and I'll leave!

Fans of Ethereum going long! Be aware that my cost position is similar to 3563, tonight will be another sleepless night!

35993 is a short-term resistance level! 3563 can be viewed as a short-term support level.

My view is: the price is tightly squeezed near the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are very narrow, which usually means the market is accumulating energy. After very little fluctuation, it is likely that a relatively large market movement will come soon. There is a slight bullish momentum, but it is very, very weak and almost negligible. I can only say that there is currently no obvious downward momentum, but it cannot be described as strong.

There is a slight bullish momentum, but it is very, very weak and almost negligible. I can only say that there is currently no obvious downward momentum, but it cannot be described as strong.
#美国结束政府停摆
Want to get accurate buy and sell point tips? Follow me, scan the Binance chat room QR code! Next time, I'll help you break down real-time signals!

Emergency Reminder! $ETH direction choice is imminent, is this surge a trap or a real trend? Don't go away, I will reveal the key signals soon!

Data shows that ETH opened at 3566.38, peaked at 3647.54, bottomed at 3551.11, and closed at 3626.47, with an amplitude of 2.70%. This fluctuation indicates that both bulls and bears are fiercely battling, and the short-term direction is about to become clear.

In the BOLL indicator, the price is now 3626.47, closely above the middle track of 3495.73, with upper resistance at 3673.75 and lower support at 3317.71. This means the price is in a neutral range, but the probability of a breakout to the upside is slightly higher.

The MACD indicator reveals more secrets: the DIF value of 40.06 is significantly higher than the DEA value of 23.92, and the MACD histogram is positive at 32.28, indicating strong bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the upward trend may continue.

Overall, the technical outlook is bullish, but there is strong resistance near 3673. If it breaks through, it may test 3700; if it falls back, support is at 3550. At this current juncture, should you enter the market or wait and see? The answer lies in the details!
#美国政府停摆
Want to get accurate buy and sell point tips? Follow me, scan the Binance chat room QR code! Next time, I'll take you apart real-time signals!

With strong execution, are you still afraid of not making money?

Just like this fan who came to me a couple of days ago, originally only having 5000u, holding onto the last hope, wanting to find a reliable teacher to guide him, recover some losses, and pay off the loan!

I also understand the difficulties and challenges each fan faces. Just after two days, he has already turned it into 1wu with the guidance of Brother Cai! The most important thing is not how great I am, but the fan's strong execution and close cooperation!
#美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币
The counterfeit market is still there, @财哥价值共识 Those who want to follow should hurry up, my chat room is below, keep up with Brother Cai's layout!

Is it hard to multiply by 6 times in one day? AIA900u earns 5700u!

Whether you are 1WU, 5WU, or 10WU, just follow the instructions and the next one will be you!

What you need is to follow the instructions and execute strongly! You can also achieve six times in one day! 5000U is just the starting point! 10wu is your endpoint!
#美国政府停摆 #美国ADP数据超预期
Feeling that Brother Cai is impressive, those who want to keep up (scan the QR code in the Binance chat room below) will lose if they hesitate. Instead of playing around by yourself, it’s better to come to the big family and discuss operations together.

This afternoon I said that AIA only needs to rebound to short at high positions without thinking! The strict followers have already taken profits!

Including myself, I am syncing positions with you! Together we resist market risk fluctuations!

Let's share the gains! Let's face difficulties together, enjoy life through thick and thin!
#美国政府停摆 #美国ADP数据超预期
I feel that Brother Cai is amazing, for those who want to keep up, (scan the QR code for the Binance chat room below) hesitation will lead to defeat, rather than playing around alone, it's better to discuss operations together in a big family. Scan the QR code for the Binance chat room!

I personally still insist on mainly doing high-altitude operations, with low positions as a supplementary strategy. Now that the government shutdown issue is over, it seems that the negative factors are gone, and the US stock market might rebound!

However, from a technical perspective, the key price level for Bitcoin at 116,000 - 117,000 hasn't stabilized, and the issue of insufficient market liquidity hasn't been resolved. The situation of institutional investors withdrawing hasn't changed either, so I still remain bearish unless these circumstances change.

Additionally, from the clearing map analysis, there is still a significant amount of funds in the 113,000 - 117,000 range for Bitcoin, which may go to this area for clearing, and there is a high probability of a long trap appearing at that time.

Based on the analysis over the past few days, the rebound trend for Bitcoin and Ethereum may be brewing, and Ethereum is likely to perform stronger than Bitcoin, which has already been verified.

So, if you have long positions or are stuck with cash, I suggest you take advantage of the highs to break free. The long positions for Bitcoin at 101,000 and Ethereum at 3,350 that I mentioned earlier will also be subject to profit-taking operations.

I will gradually build up short positions in batches, increasing my position size from light to heavy, especially in the 113,000 - 117,000 range, where I will increase my position size. Of course, if the trend reverses, I will decisively cut losses; that's how trading works.
#美国政府停摆 #NFT板块领涨
👉 I have tracked the traces of this "mysterious small order" and initially determined that it is not retail behavior! Want to know if it’s “reinforcements” entering or a new round of traps? Follow up and reply “truth,” and I will send you a screenshot of the on-chain address, taking you 5 minutes to see the main force's cards clearly! Scan the Binance chat room below!

The U.S. government has "opened the door"; is the bull market about to make a comeback?
#美国政府停摆
Just received news that the U.S. government has voted to pass the "end of government shutdown plan."
What does this really mean?

In simple terms, the resumption of operations by the U.S. government means that the short-term risk alert is lifted, which is good news for both the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market. The good days of liquidity easing can last for at least a few weeks.

Let's refer to historical instances of government shutdowns in the U.S. After events like the shutdowns in 2013 and 2018 ended, the S&P 500 index typically increased by an average of 2%-3% over the next two weeks. A government shutdown is, after all, a short-term issue, not a systemic crisis, so it’s a matter of "emotional recovery plus a technical rebound."

Short-term funds are about to flow in: After the government resumes operations, the Treasury will have trillions of dollars sitting in its account. Once this money is released, the banking system will become more relaxed in the short term.

What about the cryptocurrency market?
From a liquidity perspective, cryptocurrencies will rebound alongside the stock market. A reduction in uncertainty translates to an increase in risk appetite; BTC and ETH usually start moving along with the U.S. stocks, leading to an "event-driven rebound." The sudden rise last night may be a pre-reaction to today's voting outcome.

We also need to watch the inflow of stablecoins and ETFs: When institutions are willing to increase their positions, there will be a net inflow of stablecoins on-chain, which is a "precursor" to BTC and BNB continuing to strengthen.

Quickly opening the door is equivalent to quickly releasing funds: If the voting passes and the shutdown issue is resolved quickly, it indicates that both parties have temporarily reached a consensus, and expenditures on infrastructure, military spending, and agricultural subsidies will accelerate, which is good news for both the stock and cryptocurrency markets.

However, I have to remind you of a potential risk: if the Senate debate drags on too long, the market will continue to "wait for the other shoe to drop." The longer it drags on, the greater the volatility will become, making it harder to navigate.

I am fully optimistic about the bull market, my friends, I truly say what I think. The interest rate cut cycle is still ongoing, and Trump is playing his capital card very well: closing the door scares off retail investors, while opening the door helps institutions. Between closing and opening, panic sentiment is cleared, and positions have changed hands.
#美国ADP数据超预期
Feeling that Brother Cai is impressive, those who want to keep up (scan the Binance chat room below) will lose if they hesitate. Instead of playing around on your own, you might as well join the big family to discuss operations together.

In the past few days, I have been pondering a question, and now I want to bring it up for open discussion with everyone!
#美国ADP数据超预期
As for $BTC, we all know that in every bull market, the weekly support of BTC is a simple yet crucial boundary for judging bull and bear markets.

Professionals in trading should be aware of the difference between 'linear scale' and 'logarithmic scale' in candlestick charts. The logarithmic scale is more accurate in larger time frames, while the difference is not significant in smaller time frames.

Now, let me share my confusion.
Looking at the chart, in the last and this bull market of $BTC, if we view it using the 'linear scale'. In the last bull market cycle, on January 22, 2022, the BTC entity broke below the weekly support, and the market clearly entered a bear market. However, in this cycle, the low point of BTC on November 3 has not yet touched the weekly support again.

But if we look at it using the 'logarithmic scale', the situation is quite different. During the last bull market, on December 5, 2021, $BTC had a spike breaking below the weekly support, and later in late December, it was resisted when it rebounded to the support line, and again broke below at the end of December, clearly indicating the market entered a bear phase.

The 'logarithmic scale' identified the bull and bear trend a month earlier than the 'linear scale' on the chart. In this cycle, on November 3, the low point of $BTC has already spiked below the weekly support, and it is currently rebounding towards the support line.

Everyone, please carefully compare the two charts; using the 'logarithmic scale', $BTC has clearly shown signs of SOT, and the weekly increase is becoming increasingly weak.

So how should we accurately define the weekly support of $BTC now? Should it be based on 'linear scale' or 'logarithmic scale'?

In this bull market, a significant divergence has appeared between the two. Will it be like last time, where the 'logarithmic scale' predicted the bear market trend of BTC a month earlier? Or should we follow the 'linear scale', considering that BTC has not yet touched the weekly support, is it too early to say the market is entering a bear phase?
#美国政府停摆
Feeling that Brother Cai is amazing, those who want to keep up (scan the QR code in the Binance chat room below), hesitation will lead to defeat; rather than playing around on your own, it’s better to discuss operations together in our big family.