波段信
技术分析，形态为王
专注于比特币BTC行情分析
公众号：波段信 推特：@Axin888btc
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Strange things are happening
Tonight BTC will definitely have big fluctuations
The short-term positioning time is tonight
Normally, economic data in winter time is usually released at 21:30
But damn it, have you noticed that the US PCE data is actually released at 23:00 tonight
And the New York opening is at 22:30
So I damn well have reason to believe that this is a trap
The main forces intentionally arranged to postpone the PCE release to 23:00
The purpose is to wait for the time period of maximum liquidity to come, which is beneficial for the main forces to manipulate
So tonight there must be a big fluctuation reason for this, as for the direction whether it's a rebound upwards or a bottoming downwards, it depends on how this oscillation range moves, currently oscillating in the range of 90600-94000
Once it breaks through 94000, watch for 96000-98000
On the contrary, if it falls below 90600, there is a risk of further bottoming out and correction.
This damn thing isn't really bad news, I tend to lean towards the long side, continue the rebound,
The target remains unchanged, looking at 96000-98000
However, be sure to set your stop loss, DYOR
#BTC
Tonight BTC will definitely have big fluctuations
The short-term positioning time is tonight
Normally, economic data in winter time is usually released at 21:30
But damn it, have you noticed that the US PCE data is actually released at 23:00 tonight
And the New York opening is at 22:30
So I damn well have reason to believe that this is a trap
The main forces intentionally arranged to postpone the PCE release to 23:00
The purpose is to wait for the time period of maximum liquidity to come, which is beneficial for the main forces to manipulate
So tonight there must be a big fluctuation reason for this, as for the direction whether it's a rebound upwards or a bottoming downwards, it depends on how this oscillation range moves, currently oscillating in the range of 90600-94000
Once it breaks through 94000, watch for 96000-98000
On the contrary, if it falls below 90600, there is a risk of further bottoming out and correction.
This damn thing isn't really bad news, I tend to lean towards the long side, continue the rebound,
The target remains unchanged, looking at 96000-98000
However, be sure to set your stop loss, DYOR
#BTC
Can BTC continue to gain momentum? It depends on tonight
Tonight the PCE data will be released
Technically, it can be considered strong in the short term, with a pullback of less than 50%
If the support at 90,000 does not break, we will continue to look at 96,000-98,000
On the other hand, if the support at 90,000 breaks, there will be a risk of further probing the bottom #BTC
Tonight the PCE data will be released
Technically, it can be considered strong in the short term, with a pullback of less than 50%
If the support at 90,000 does not break, we will continue to look at 96,000-98,000
On the other hand, if the support at 90,000 breaks, there will be a risk of further probing the bottom #BTC
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Introduction:
1. BTC market capitalization share dropped by 0.04% to 59.33%, fear and greed index at 25
2. On December 5, without BlackRock data, BTC ETF outflow was 0.82 billion, ETH ETF outflow was 0.70 billion
3. On December 5, stablecoin inflow was 3.25 billion, USDT inflow was 2.13 billion, USDC inflow was 1.10 billion, current total amount 2709.96 billion
4. [Note potential bearish] MSCI is indeed considering excluding digital asset vault-type companies from its investable index and plans to make a decision on January 15. If Strategy is removed, it could trigger passive fund sell-offs of its stocks worth about 2.8 billion dollars.
5. aster announced its roadmap, with a perpetual stock market and aster chain testnet to follow
6. opinion plans TGE before the Spring Festival
1. BTC market capitalization share dropped by 0.04% to 59.33%, fear and greed index at 25
2. On December 5, without BlackRock data, BTC ETF outflow was 0.82 billion, ETH ETF outflow was 0.70 billion
3. On December 5, stablecoin inflow was 3.25 billion, USDT inflow was 2.13 billion, USDC inflow was 1.10 billion, current total amount 2709.96 billion
4. [Note potential bearish] MSCI is indeed considering excluding digital asset vault-type companies from its investable index and plans to make a decision on January 15. If Strategy is removed, it could trigger passive fund sell-offs of its stocks worth about 2.8 billion dollars.
5. aster announced its roadmap, with a perpetual stock market and aster chain testnet to follow
6. opinion plans TGE before the Spring Festival
See original
Can BTC continue to gain momentum? It depends on tonight
Tonight the PCE data will be released
Technically, it can be considered strong in the short term, with a pullback of less than 50%
If the support at 90,000 does not break, we will continue to look at 96,000-98,000
On the other hand, if the support at 90,000 breaks, there will be a risk of further probing the bottom #BTC
Tonight the PCE data will be released
Technically, it can be considered strong in the short term, with a pullback of less than 50%
If the support at 90,000 does not break, we will continue to look at 96,000-98,000
On the other hand, if the support at 90,000 breaks, there will be a risk of further probing the bottom #BTC
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Shadow Federal Reserve Chairman Hassett has begun his first substantive push.
He clearly stated that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 25 basis points at next week's meeting. This action, chosen during the quiet period when Federal Reserve officials are forced to silence, is no coincidence but a precise power grab—taking advantage of the fact that the real chairman cannot speak, he publicly calls out to the market to directly benefit his position's superiority. From the market's heightened sensitivity to Hassett's remarks and immediate pricing, Wall Street has effectively voted with its feet, acknowledging that he is indeed the next Federal Reserve Chairman.
Trump's seemingly fluctuating attitude these days is, in fact, a highly sophisticated expectation management. He is not hesitating, but executing a tightly controlled process: warming up—announcing—shadow control—officially taking office.
The current shadow control phase is the most critical, as it sets up a perfect deadlock for Powell: if rates are cut next week, to some extent, it would mean yielding to the will of the shadow chairman, with Hassett establishing authority in advance, and Trump taking control of the Federal Reserve's power early; if rates are not cut, any future economic fluctuations will become ammunition for Trump's team to attack Powell.
This entire set of coordinated moves aims to gradually desensitize the market and adapt to the new power logic (shifting from reliance on data to reliance on politics), ensuring a strong stance to maintain control, thereby clearing all obstacles and ultimately smoothly placing a candidate that aligns with his wishes firmly on the throne of the Federal Reserve Chairman.
He clearly stated that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 25 basis points at next week's meeting. This action, chosen during the quiet period when Federal Reserve officials are forced to silence, is no coincidence but a precise power grab—taking advantage of the fact that the real chairman cannot speak, he publicly calls out to the market to directly benefit his position's superiority. From the market's heightened sensitivity to Hassett's remarks and immediate pricing, Wall Street has effectively voted with its feet, acknowledging that he is indeed the next Federal Reserve Chairman.
Trump's seemingly fluctuating attitude these days is, in fact, a highly sophisticated expectation management. He is not hesitating, but executing a tightly controlled process: warming up—announcing—shadow control—officially taking office.
The current shadow control phase is the most critical, as it sets up a perfect deadlock for Powell: if rates are cut next week, to some extent, it would mean yielding to the will of the shadow chairman, with Hassett establishing authority in advance, and Trump taking control of the Federal Reserve's power early; if rates are not cut, any future economic fluctuations will become ammunition for Trump's team to attack Powell.
This entire set of coordinated moves aims to gradually desensitize the market and adapt to the new power logic (shifting from reliance on data to reliance on politics), ensuring a strong stance to maintain control, thereby clearing all obstacles and ultimately smoothly placing a candidate that aligns with his wishes firmly on the throne of the Federal Reserve Chairman.
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🚨
Speedy Remittance activates firewall for stablecoin settlements
This remittance giant will use Fireblocks to support its stablecoin-based settlement process.
Speedy Remittance activates firewall for stablecoin settlements
This remittance giant will use Fireblocks to support its stablecoin-based settlement process.
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Breaking News:
🇺🇸
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has just approved spot trading of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies on exchanges registered with the CFTC.
Bullish Market
🚀
🇺🇸
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has just approved spot trading of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies on exchanges registered with the CFTC.
Bullish Market
🚀
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Focus on two key data points being released tonight
(Focus on two key data points being released tonight)
Let's focus on the two key data points regarding the U.S. job market that will be announced tonight.
The first one is the Challenger job cuts number for November in the U.S. announced at 8:30 tonight.
The last layoff number reached 150000, which is already very high, and the market generally feels that this data may remain high, or even rise further.
This is mainly because many companies are currently adjusting, and the cost pressure is very high.
The second one is the weekly initial jobless claims number announced at 9:30, which is of greater concern.
Let's focus on the two key data points regarding the U.S. job market that will be announced tonight.
The first one is the Challenger job cuts number for November in the U.S. announced at 8:30 tonight.
The last layoff number reached 150000, which is already very high, and the market generally feels that this data may remain high, or even rise further.
This is mainly because many companies are currently adjusting, and the cost pressure is very high.
The second one is the weekly initial jobless claims number announced at 9:30, which is of greater concern.
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The Bitcoin Market Structure Bill is about to pass
SEC Chairman: The Bitcoin Market Structure Bill is about to pass
Core Content of the Bill:
1 Clarifying Regulatory Attribution
Decentralized digital assets like Bitcoin will be formally classified as 'commodities,' primarily regulated by the CFTC rather than the SEC.
2 Providing Compliance Outlets for Projects
The bill introduces a 'fully decentralized' standard, allowing projects to exit securities regulation once they meet the criteria.
3 Comprehensive Licensing of Trading Platforms
Exchanges, custodians, brokers, and market makers must register, obtain licenses, and accept unified regulation.
4 Strengthening Investor Protection
The bill requires stricter information disclosure and combats market manipulation and insider trading.
Core Content of the Bill:
1 Clarifying Regulatory Attribution
Decentralized digital assets like Bitcoin will be formally classified as 'commodities,' primarily regulated by the CFTC rather than the SEC.
2 Providing Compliance Outlets for Projects
The bill introduces a 'fully decentralized' standard, allowing projects to exit securities regulation once they meet the criteria.
3 Comprehensive Licensing of Trading Platforms
Exchanges, custodians, brokers, and market makers must register, obtain licenses, and accept unified regulation.
4 Strengthening Investor Protection
The bill requires stricter information disclosure and combats market manipulation and insider trading.
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Not a big problem, just wait
Before the weekend, it will reach 96,000 to 98,000 #BTC
Before the weekend, it will reach 96,000 to 98,000 #BTC
Professional interpretation of non-farm payroll data 120325
(Professional interpretation of non-farm payroll data 120325)
The recently released non-farm payroll data is clearly favorable for BTC.
The data is indeed a bit disappointing; last month there were over 42,000 new jobs added.
This month not only did it not grow, but it also directly turned into negative growth, with a decrease of 32,000 people.
When you calculate this, compared to last month, there is a difference of over 70,000 people.
This indeed indicates that entering November, the U.S. job market is starting to struggle and is rapidly deteriorating.
The key point is not only that the number of positions has decreased, but the data also shows that the growth of employee salaries has slowed down a bit compared to October.
The recently released non-farm payroll data is clearly favorable for BTC.
The data is indeed a bit disappointing; last month there were over 42,000 new jobs added.
This month not only did it not grow, but it also directly turned into negative growth, with a decrease of 32,000 people.
When you calculate this, compared to last month, there is a difference of over 70,000 people.
This indeed indicates that entering November, the U.S. job market is starting to struggle and is rapidly deteriorating.
The key point is not only that the number of positions has decreased, but the data also shows that the growth of employee salaries has slowed down a bit compared to October.
See original
Professional interpretation of non-farm payroll data 120325
(Professional interpretation of non-farm payroll data 120325)
The recently released non-farm payroll data is clearly favorable for BTC.
The data is indeed a bit disappointing; last month there were over 42,000 new jobs added.
This month not only did it not grow, but it also directly turned into negative growth, with a decrease of 32,000 people.
When you calculate this, compared to last month, there is a difference of over 70,000 people.
This indeed indicates that entering November, the U.S. job market is starting to struggle and is rapidly deteriorating.
The key point is not only that the number of positions has decreased, but the data also shows that the growth of employee salaries has slowed down a bit compared to October.
The recently released non-farm payroll data is clearly favorable for BTC.
The data is indeed a bit disappointing; last month there were over 42,000 new jobs added.
This month not only did it not grow, but it also directly turned into negative growth, with a decrease of 32,000 people.
When you calculate this, compared to last month, there is a difference of over 70,000 people.
This indeed indicates that entering November, the U.S. job market is starting to struggle and is rapidly deteriorating.
The key point is not only that the number of positions has decreased, but the data also shows that the growth of employee salaries has slowed down a bit compared to October.
See original
The ADP results for the small non-farm payroll have come out
-3, far below expectations
This belongs to the third situation I mentioned below
BTC continues to be bullish
Rebound target 96000-98000
Reach it before this weekend! #BTC
-3, far below expectations
This belongs to the third situation I mentioned below
BTC continues to be bullish
Rebound target 96000-98000
Reach it before this weekend! #BTC
The major event tonight has arrived
There is a major event tonight.
The U.S. is going to release the small non-farm payroll data for November.
That is the private sector employment report from ADP.
This data is particularly critical this time.
We need to analyze the impact it may bring thoroughly.
Why is this data receiving so much attention this time?
Mainly for two special reasons.
The first reason is that the U.S. government had previously shut down, delaying the official large non-farm payroll report that was supposed to be released this time.
So the ADP data for this small non-farm payroll tonight has become our only important leading indicator for judging the current state of the U.S. job market, acting as a temporary proxy for the large non-farm payroll employment data.
The U.S. is going to release the small non-farm payroll data for November.
That is the private sector employment report from ADP.
This data is particularly critical this time.
We need to analyze the impact it may bring thoroughly.
Why is this data receiving so much attention this time?
Mainly for two special reasons.
The first reason is that the U.S. government had previously shut down, delaying the official large non-farm payroll report that was supposed to be released this time.
So the ADP data for this small non-farm payroll tonight has become our only important leading indicator for judging the current state of the U.S. job market, acting as a temporary proxy for the large non-farm payroll employment data.
See original
The major event tonight has arrived
There is a major event tonight.
The U.S. is going to release the small non-farm payroll data for November.
That is the private sector employment report from ADP.
This data is particularly critical this time.
We need to analyze the impact it may bring thoroughly.
Why is this data receiving so much attention this time?
Mainly for two special reasons.
The first reason is that the U.S. government had previously shut down, delaying the official large non-farm payroll report that was supposed to be released this time.
So the ADP data for this small non-farm payroll tonight has become our only important leading indicator for judging the current state of the U.S. job market, acting as a temporary proxy for the large non-farm payroll employment data.
The U.S. is going to release the small non-farm payroll data for November.
That is the private sector employment report from ADP.
This data is particularly critical this time.
We need to analyze the impact it may bring thoroughly.
Why is this data receiving so much attention this time?
Mainly for two special reasons.
The first reason is that the U.S. government had previously shut down, delaying the official large non-farm payroll report that was supposed to be released this time.
So the ADP data for this small non-farm payroll tonight has become our only important leading indicator for judging the current state of the U.S. job market, acting as a temporary proxy for the large non-farm payroll employment data.
See original
🚨
XRP skyrocketed due to a large influx of funds!
$XRP absorbed $289 million this week, setting one of the largest single-week fundraising records to date. Overall, the weekly net inflow of digital asset ETFs exceeded $1 billion. #xrp
XRP skyrocketed due to a large influx of funds!
$XRP absorbed $289 million this week, setting one of the largest single-week fundraising records to date. Overall, the weekly net inflow of digital asset ETFs exceeded $1 billion. #xrp
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🚨
Deribit traders are calling for the purchase of ETH at a price of $6,500!
The open interest for call options with a strike price of $6,500 is the highest, reaching $380 million, while call options with strike prices of $4,000, $5,500, and $6,000 are also active. Despite a quarterly decline of 26%, there are still bets on a strong rebound.
Deribit traders are calling for the purchase of ETH at a price of $6,500!
The open interest for call options with a strike price of $6,500 is the highest, reaching $380 million, while call options with strike prices of $4,000, $5,500, and $6,000 are also active. Despite a quarterly decline of 26%, there are still bets on a strong rebound.
See original
I find that many people do not understand what it means
92,000 resistance is precisely suppressed
It means that when it reaches 92,000, it will fluctuate
It does not mean that when it reaches 92,000, it will stop rising
There are really a lot of diodes
If it does not drop below 92,000, continue to look at 96,000 to 98,000 #BTC
92,000 resistance is precisely suppressed
It means that when it reaches 92,000, it will fluctuate
It does not mean that when it reaches 92,000, it will stop rising
There are really a lot of diodes
If it does not drop below 92,000, continue to look at 96,000 to 98,000 #BTC
92000 resistance precise suppression #BTC
See original
The news is very cooperative, it's so damn obvious
It's going to rise
Latest news:
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF $IBIT exceeded a trading volume of 1.8 billion dollars in just 2 hours.
Today, big buyers are bidding fiercely. #BTC
It's going to rise
Latest news:
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF $IBIT exceeded a trading volume of 1.8 billion dollars in just 2 hours.
Today, big buyers are bidding fiercely. #BTC
The BTC script has already been written in advance, it's very simple
Starting from tonight, it will rise (at 3 AM, Trump will likely talk about the situation in Venezuela) until Friday when the US PCE data is released
Just in time for the weekend, a two-day pullback
Then it will fluctuate until the 11th of next week when the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized, first a sharp drop and then a rise
Just a bit of speculation, the rest will be verified by time
DYOR
#BTC
Starting from tonight, it will rise (at 3 AM, Trump will likely talk about the situation in Venezuela) until Friday when the US PCE data is released
Just in time for the weekend, a two-day pullback
Then it will fluctuate until the 11th of next week when the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized, first a sharp drop and then a rise
Just a bit of speculation, the rest will be verified by time
DYOR
#BTC
See original
The BTC script has already been written in advance, it's very simple
Starting from tonight, it will rise (at 3 AM, Trump will likely talk about the situation in Venezuela) until Friday when the US PCE data is released
Just in time for the weekend, a two-day pullback
Then it will fluctuate until the 11th of next week when the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized, first a sharp drop and then a rise
Just a bit of speculation, the rest will be verified by time
DYOR
#BTC
Starting from tonight, it will rise (at 3 AM, Trump will likely talk about the situation in Venezuela) until Friday when the US PCE data is released
Just in time for the weekend, a two-day pullback
Then it will fluctuate until the 11th of next week when the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized, first a sharp drop and then a rise
Just a bit of speculation, the rest will be verified by time
DYOR
#BTC
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