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The crude oil price surged to 59.994 and then quickly plummeted, breaking below the support of the 5/10/20-day moving averages. The long bearish candlestick highlights the exhaustion of bullish momentum and strong selling pressure above, establishing a short-term bearish pattern.

Trading suggestion: Focus on short positions, with resistance above at the previous high of 59.994 and the psychological level of 60.0. If a rebound occurs to the resistance area, short positions can be established. For support, first look at 59.804; if broken, further downside targets are the 59.746-59.708 range. #原油

12.8 Monday Silver Midday Analysis

Silver initially surged to 58.571 before quickly plunging, dipping to a low of 57.504. Although there was a rebound, the 5/10/20-day moving averages are converging and flattening, indicating a weak consolidation following the previous downtrend, with selling pressure above still unresolved. The short-term bearish pattern remains unchanged.

Operational Advice: Focus on short positions at high levels, with key resistance at the previous high of 58.571 and the 58.0 level. If a rebound occurs to the resistance zone, consider opening short positions. For support, initially look at the daily low of 57.504; if it breaks, further downside targets are 57.341-57.0 range. #白银

12.8 Monday Gold Midday Analysis

The gold market has experienced a roller coaster with a surge followed by a drop. After reaching a high of 4213.25, the price quickly turned downward, falling to a low of 4197.68 by the end of the session, ultimately forming a long upper shadow bearish candle. Based on the moving average trends, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages have shown signs of turning downward, indicating a clear signal of short-term bullish momentum exhaustion.

From the chart pattern analysis, this resistance encountered during the surge is not coincidental. The price failed to maintain stability after rebounding to a key resistance area, and the long upper shadow visually reflects heavy selling pressure above. The profit-taking actions of bulls after the surge are evident, and there is a risk of forming a short-term double top technically, implying that this rebound has likely reached its peak, with a high probability of entering a correction or even a downward trend in the future.

Operational Suggestions:

1. The core idea is to focus on short positions. The primary resistance above is the intraday high of 4213.25. If the market is weak, the price may struggle to break this level. One can enter short positions on the right side below this level based on 5-minute signals. If it breaks through, wait to set short positions in the 4228-4245 range.

2. The support below is first at the intraday low of 4197.68, and further down to the 4185-4170 range. If 4170 is effectively breached, the four-hour level will shift from consolidation to a bearish trend, and subsequent trades can follow the trend, targeting lower at 4130-4050. #黄金

12.8 Monday Concubine Midday Trend Analysis

The four-hour chart of ETH shows a clear bearish pattern. After a previous surge and pullback, the rebound is hindered by the pressure from the MA169/MA144 dual moving averages, with the short-term rebound ceiling locking in on key resistance levels.

The narrowing of the candlestick body combined with insufficient volume highlights the weakness of the bulls. The rebound has not broken the core pressure, and the dominance of the bears is solidified. In terms of operations, the focus is on shorting during rebounds, backed by key resistance, while closely monitoring the support at the integer level below. A significant break could lead to following the trend.

Operating Suggestions

Short around 3125-3150, target 3100, near 3000. #ETH走势分析

12.8 Monday Large Pancake Midday Strategy Analysis

Hourly level high position oscillation slightly bearish, KDJ death cross confirms the continuation of the bears, weakening rebound with low volume, downward momentum not yet released. Clearly define the oscillation box's upper and lower edges, effective resistance levels suppress, breaking the support level will initiate a new wave of decline. Focus on shorting during the rebound, avoid entering at the middle of the range, do not bet on breakthroughs, and after breaking, follow the trend.

Suggestions

Short near 91500-92500, target 90000, around 85000. $BTC

Why is the domestic ban on virtual currency so strict? After reading these points, you'll understand.

Have you ever wondered why the government has such strict controls over virtual currency? The answer is quite simple—its existence directly challenges the financial order and social governance baseline around us.

Take the money that ordinary people care about the most, for example. If you have 5 million in cash in the country and want to transfer it abroad, the legal paths are riddled with regulations: individuals are limited to purchasing foreign currency and remitting a maximum of $50,000 per year, and it would take 14 years to transfer 5 million RMB; if you find more than 3 people to help with the remittance, it will be monitored, and carrying cash out of the country exceeding $5,000 or 20,000 RMB must be declared. Trying to directly remit RMB abroad is even more impossible. These rules are not restrictions, but rather safeguards for national financial security.

However, virtual currency can bypass all these restrictions. It acts like an "invisible wallet," allowing 5 million in assets to be stored on a USB drive, taken out of the country without anyone knowing; even if there are limits, finding 14 people to help exchange can easily break through the monitoring. More critically, it facilitates anonymous transactions and is decentralized, meaning no institution can trace the flow of funds.

This is no small matter. On one hand, a large amount of assets flowing out through virtual currency can impact exchange rate stability, affecting the financial security of each of us; on the other hand, anonymous transactions render the regulation of the Golden Tax Phase IV ineffective, allowing some to profit without paying taxes, which is both unfair and leads to a loss of national tax revenue. In addition, virtual currency is often used for money laundering and fraud, and the volatile price swings leave countless people with nothing; these risks are not far from our lives.

The government's ban on virtual currency is not about preventing everyone from investing, but rather about maintaining the bottom line of financial security to protect the assets of ordinary people from being consumed by risks. After all, without a stable financial order, even the highest returns are just illusions. $BTC

12.8 Monday Morning Trend Analysis

Continue to hold a short position in the morning, closely monitor the performance of key resistance zones. If the rebound is weak and key levels are effectively broken, seize the opportunity for continued bearishness.

Operational Suggestions

Around 3130-3150, target 2980-2900 #ETH走势分析 $ETH

12.8 Monday Pancake Morning Trend Analysis

BTC 1-hour moving averages repeatedly intersect, maintaining a fluctuating pattern where it's easy to rise after a dip and easy to fall after a rise, with both bulls and bears in a standoff without a clear direction.

The technical side lacks clear trend guidance, and the market is cautiously building momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. It is recommended to go short after a rebound and wait for a breakout direction after the decision is made before following the trend.

Trading Suggestions

Near 91500-92500, look for a target of 88500-89000$BTC

12.8 Monday Morning Crude Oil Trend Analysis

Crude oil rose to 60.057 before falling back sharply, now stabilizing at 59.844. The 5/10/20-day moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with strong resistance between 59.9 and 60.0.

The strategy is mainly to short on rallies, with initial support at 59.746. If this level is broken, then the focus will be on the 59.69-59.70 range. #原油

12.8 Monday Silver Morning Trend Analysis

From the market trend, after the silver price surged to a high of 59.080, it quickly fell back, experiencing a significant drop during the day, with a lowest point reaching 57.930. Although there was a slight rebound afterward, the current price has stabilized at 58.099, clearly indicating an overall bearish trend.

On the technical side, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages show a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages rapidly turning downward, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is waning, and bears are in control. After the price broke through the previous support level, the 58.2 level has transformed from support to strong resistance. If the rebound cannot effectively break through this level, the downward trend will likely continue.

Combining the trend patterns, the "inverted V" reversal after the price surge, accompanied by a volume increase in the decline, forms a clear bearish suppression pattern. In the future, it is highly probable that the price will be pressured to decline around the resistance range of 58.1-58.2. It is recommended to focus on shorting at high points, with attention to the previous low support at 57.930. If this level is broken, further focus will be on the range of 57.7-57.8. #白银

12.8 Monday Gold Morning Trend Analysis

On Friday, gold surged to 4259 before plunging over 60 dollars, breaking through the 4200 mark to below 4190. The four-hour chart shows a 'cloud cover' pattern, indicating a significant short-term weakness. The 4220 level serves as a critical resistance point, and ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this Thursday, gold prices are likely to remain under pressure, with operations primarily focused on short positions unless there is a stable rebound above 4250 to reconsider the strategy.

Operational Suggestions

Short at 4220, around 4225, targeting down to 4190-4170#现货黄金

Why return to the gold trading track? Four core advantages solve trading pain points, making profits more pure and operations more worry-free!

Recently, many friends have inquired about the core reasons for returning to gold trading—actually, it is the four core advantages of gold trading that accurately solve the pain points that have troubled most traders for years, allowing for smoother trading and more confident profits:

1. Zero fees + no hidden charges, profits go directly to the account in full, every cent of profit is real and substantial, completely eliminating the extra consumption of profits;

2. Market response is agile + volatility logic is clear, the recovery period is significantly shortened, fund turnover is flexible and smooth, effectively improving capital utilization;

3. Free professional guidance throughout, from entry to advanced stages, accompanying the entire process, no need to explore alone, easily grasping trading rhythm and core skills;

4. Entry threshold is far lower than in the cryptocurrency circle, requiring no large capital investment, small amounts can also enter steadily, balancing safety and profit potential, newcomers can start with confidence. #现货黄金 #黄金

The continuous increase in gold reserves by the People's Bank of China over the past 12 months has fully signaled a long-term bullish outlook on gold! This is by no means a simple adjustment of asset allocation, but a strategic move to reshape the global financial landscape.

The core strategy is clear and defined: through the triangular closed loop of "oil-RMB-gold" (the Shanghai Gold Exchange's Saudi delivery warehouse has achieved two-way free exchange between RMB and gold), the RMB gains backing as a hard currency, fundamentally addressing the doubts about being "unpegged" and laying a solid foundation for internationalization. In contrast, the U.S. attempts to tie the dollar to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, continuing a harvesting model, clearly deviates from the global trend of de-dollarization—gold, as the globally recognized ultimate means of payment, has a credibility foundation that unpegged digital currencies cannot compare to, and the U.S.'s plans for hegemonic continuation are destined to fail.

Essentially, this is a crucial game for global financial dominance: China optimizes its gold reserves (currently at 8.0%, still below the global average of 15%, with ample room for increase) as a pivot, combined with a global network for physical gold delivery, steadily dismantling the monopoly of the petrodollar; while the risk-hedging attributes of gold resonate with the enhanced credibility of the RMB, not only making the central bank's accumulation a long-term inevitable trend but also continuously providing strong support for gold prices. This reconstruction of the financial landscape is increasingly highlighting the strategic value of gold. #黄金 #现货黄金

This week's gold strategy has been precisely implemented, and all predictions have been fulfilled!

The support levels that were closely monitored and the signals of capital flow anomalies have been verified one by one this week. The operations have been decisive, calling for action promptly; when resistance is under pressure, we immediately switch to a short position, and the transition between long and short positions follows the predictions completely, with each operation having clear logical support.

The entire process is public and transparent, with real profits and losses, maintaining a solid risk defense while maximizing profit potential! This is the confidence of a stable strategy; with the right mindset and effective execution, profits will naturally follow.~

The strategy for next week is still being refined, focusing on planning around the Federal Reserve's decision. Should we lock in early and follow through to realize the next wave of profits? #黄金

Gold is迎"Breaking Point" next week! The Federal Reserve's decision is the key to fluctuations

Gold is at a high position, oscillating at a crossroads. Next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be the core catalyst to break the consolidation, and a large fluctuation is imminent!

The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut, but what truly determines the direction of gold prices is the wording of the decision statement and Powell's remarks at the press conference: if more dovish signals are released, suggesting continued rate cuts, gold prices are expected to break through the resistance level of 4264 strongly, launching an assault on historical highs; if the remarks are hawkish, mentioning the pause in the rate cut process, gold must be wary of the risk of a pullback after the favorable news is exhausted, with 4185 and 4163 becoming key support lines. #黄金

Direction is precisely grasped, trends are never ambiguous! The market conditions that are meant to come will never be late. Each accurate prediction is a deep understanding of market logic, and each wave that arrives as expected is a reward for the steadfast followers～ #黄金

Morning thoughts are stable and predictable, maintain the rhythm! Eat meat heartily! #白银

The international community is actively embracing the wave of innovation in the cryptocurrency industry, while we here keep wavering, sometimes imposing restrictions and sometimes setting limits, pushing industry talent and development opportunities overseas—must we let this emerging business miss its growth soil locally? Ultimately, it is still the conservative mentality left over from millennia of feudal thought that is at play, lacking tolerance for new things and missing the opportunity to develop in response to trends.

In contrast, spot gold is a more suitable choice for ordinary investors: it is a globally recognized hard currency, its safe-haven properties have been verified over a century, unlike cryptocurrencies that are impacted by abrupt policy shifts; while there are opportunities in price fluctuations, they are not extreme, and there are no terrifying moments of dramatic single-day surges or declines, allowing for a higher margin of error in operations; the trading market is mature and regulated, allowing for both long and short positions, providing profit opportunities regardless of market rises or falls, without the need to stubbornly pursue a single trend, and the entry barriers are flexible, allowing small amounts of capital to enter the market, making it suitable for beginners to practice and also meeting the asset allocation needs of seasoned investors, which is much easier than the “blood on the knife edge” of cryptocurrencies! $BTC #现货黄金

12.5 Concubine's Midday Thoughts

The celebration of the concubine's breakthrough past the 3200 mark yesterday has not yet dissipated, but late at night there was a sudden 'surprise attack' with a sharp decline, catching retail investors off guard, leading to a concentration of stop-loss orders. Short-term correction signals are fully activated, and the intraday trend has completely reversed, with bullish momentum rapidly exhausting.

At this moment, bears have taken over the market rhythm, strategically positioning themselves to short, accurately seizing this counter-trend market window!

Trading Advice: Short around 3180-3210, target 3100, 3070#ETH走势分析 $ETH