远哥早知道

Brothers, Binance has opened the chat room friend addition feature!
Whether it's chatting or discussing orders, you can find me directly.
Open the chat room, search in the upper right corner 🔍56256268, add me as a friend to communicate together! $BTC $ETH $BNB #山寨季将至？

Dogecoin Evening Thought Analysis

Dogecoin is currently not following the path of a small coin, but rather that of mainstream assets. The spot ETF has already been established, and whales are continuously accumulating, which indicates that institutional money is lurking, not just performing emotionally. As long as the bottom line is not broken, it is building momentum; it will eventually choose a direction, rather than dragging on and exhausting retail investors.

Once there is a volume increase and it stabilizes, it will signify institutional confirmation, and the price will directly switch its rhythm. Conversely, if it is pressed back down again, it will continue to oscillate within the range; the main force's accumulation will not end, but the rhythm will be prolonged, leading to decreased capital efficiency.

In terms of operation, accumulate lightly at low positions, do not chase highs; only when it breaks 0.2 with volume and stabilizes is it a point to increase positions; set stop-loss below 0.185, and once it breaks, retreat immediately without hesitation. This wave of Dogecoin is not about watching the excitement, but about seeing who dares to pull the trigger at the right moment. Save your bullets, do not rush, just wait for the breakthrough signal to appear, and hit the trend segment in one shot. #美联储降息预期 #加密市场回调 #现货黄金创历史新高 #DOGE #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Bitcoin is transitioning from "anonymous currency" to "regulated asset."

On-chain data is fully transparent; every transaction, where it comes from and where it goes, cannot escape the on-chain tracking of regulatory agencies. The recent series of seizures of massive Bitcoin assets by the U.S. Department of Justice is the clearest signal that BTC is being incorporated into the global financial regulatory system. It is no longer a tool for gray market transactions but is gradually being treated as a "controllable asset."

What does this mean?
It means that the "free currency narrative" of Bitcoin is being weakened, while the "demand for privacy" is being rekindled. As regulations become increasingly stringent and centralized institutions tighten their control, those encrypted assets that can achieve true privacy and completely hide transaction records may instead usher in a new reassessment of value. #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #BTC #现货黄金创历史新高

Chen Zhi Incident: The Cover of the Cryptocurrency Circle has Been Lifted
Recently, the industry has exploded, and what happened with Chen Zhi is more intense than any previous market crash.
The United States has directly named and prosecuted him, accusing him of operating a transnational fraud scheme, using cryptocurrency for money laundering and transferring stolen funds, and wants to confiscate more than 120,000 bitcoins worth over 10 billion dollars. The 'Masquerade Ball' of the crypto world has been torn apart.

Many people believe that anonymity on the blockchain ensures fund security, but this case tells you that if regulators really want to investigate, they can trace you back even if you jump through ten chains.
Blockchain is a public ledger, not a get-out-of-jail-free card. Chen Zhi's case has led to a joint crackdown by the United States, multiple Southeast Asian countries, exchanges, and on-chain analysis companies. Those who could escape did so early, and those who couldn't are all marked red.

Regulators are completely focused on the cryptocurrency asset money laundering chain. In the future, mixers, anonymous coins, and cross-chain bridges will be key targets for cleanup; risk control at exchanges must be redone, and all wallets linked to suspicious addresses will be shut down; investor psychology will change, and funds will be more willing to flow toward transparent and compliant projects, no longer recklessly chasing small coins; the whale trust system is under pressure, and once any project party is found to be dirty, the market will immediately sell off. The truly terrifying aspect of this matter is not Chen Zhi himself, but that it has made the entire cryptocurrency circle realize that the blockchain is not a safe haven, and anonymity is not a shield. Don’t fantasize that you can ignore regulation by 'mixing cleanly'; now even the Americans can follow the clues to shut down wallets, and this signal is very clear: the era of cryptocurrency compliance has completely arrived.

In the short term, the market will definitely experience volatility, and some funds will first withdraw to avoid risks;
but in the medium to long term, it is a good thing. With the bubbles cleared, risks exposed, and trust rebuilt, it will instead allow those who are truly working and compliant projects to catch their breath.
Just like the old saying in the cryptocurrency circle, when the tide goes out, you can tell who has been swimming naked.
This wave with Chen Zhi has lifted the entire surface; if you're also wondering how the cryptocurrency circle will change after this, which projects can still go far, feel free to chat in the comments section and see who’s understanding is online. $BTC #陈志 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期 #现货黄金创历史新高

Pancake Evening Thought Analysis
The rhythm of this wave of market is actually very clear. Last Friday, the waterfall fell to around 1015, then bounced to 1159, which is a typical oversold rebound. After the rebound reached its level, I mentioned that we should short the rebound, and then it quickly fell back to around 1140. This segment of 'escape the top - short - low long' was completed cleanly and smoothly. When the rhythm is right, profits naturally follow.

The key question tonight is: can we still chase shorts? I do not recommend it. Trump is speaking, U.S. stocks are rising, and the market is relatively stable, making it unsuitable to blindly chase shorts, especially since it's a weekend node, which makes short-term rebounds more likely. Therefore, tonight's thought is to buy on dips and not chase shorts. The main strategy is short with some long positions, but the rhythm leans towards low long for a rebound.

Specifically, the key support below is at the 10.5 line. If it can stabilize above that after 4 AM, we can continue to lay low long positions, looking at the short-term repair in the 10.7-10.8 range. If the subsequent rebound lacks strength, then consider high shorts. The medium-term direction still retains the expectation of testing 100,000, but now is not the time to catch the bottom; prepare the chips and wait for next week's rhythm. $BTC #加密市场回调 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期 #现货黄金创历史新高 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Midday Thinking Analysis

After the market rebounded following the crash on October 11, it has weakened again these past two days, and many are calling for a second probe. Mainstream coins may indeed explore again, but those altcoins that previously spiked several times are unlikely to break new lows.

ETH's support at 3400 is very solid; even during the significant selling on October 11, it didn't break through. Now, the volume during the pullback has also shrunk, indicating that the bears are clearly weakening. That area is a strong defensive line; it won't break down.

In terms of operations, if Bitcoin pulls back to the 100,000-107,000 range, consider building a spot position in batches; if Ethereum drops below 3500, that is the buying zone; altcoins are weak in the short term, so don't rush to buy; wait for mainstream coins to stabilize before taking action. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期 #BNB创新高

DOGE Evening Thought Analysis
The rhythm of DOGE is more like a sideways consolidation, repeatedly tugging between the long and short at the 0.20 level, with the main force not leaving the market.
The lower Bollinger Band is gradually closing, and the volatility is compressed to the limit; next, it will either explode or continue to grind.
The thought process is very simple: do not chase, wait for a breakout at 0.204 to go long, and cut losses if it breaks below 0.193. Short-term speculation, do not fall in love with the battle. #DOGE #美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税

XRP Evening Analysis
Ripple has been consolidating around 2.45 for the past few days, forming a double support structure with the previous low of 2.35.
The selling pressure below is not heavy, but the rebound lacks strength, and funds are cautious, with short-term trading still focused on existing positions.
In terms of strategy, if 2.35 holds, a light long position can be attempted, targeting above 2.52, and exit if it breaks, without getting attached to the trade. #鲍威尔发言 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #DOGE #巨鲸动向

BNB Evening Thought Analysis
BNB is more hesitant than Bitcoin, firmly stuck in the range of 1150 to 1200, with no clear direction from the main force.

The short-term MACD is still below the zero axis, and the volume has shrunk to the extreme, a typical stage of oscillation and bottom building.

The strategy is to buy low above 1150, if unable to hold 1200, reduce positions and exit, wait for a breakout on increased volume to re-enter. #BNB创新高 #bnb #巨鲸动向 #币安HODLer空投YB #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Pancake Evening Thought Analysis
This rebound is not strong, the four-hour line is still being pressed by the middle track, and the volume has clearly shrunk. The market in the short term is a rhythm of 'weakness within a horizontal range'.

111500 line can hold, but before reaching 115000 it is considered a weak rebound, more of an emotional repair.

In terms of operations, short once as the rebound approaches the 114800—115500 area, with support below at 110000; if it breaks, then look at 107000. #BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期 #加密市场观察

The electric fraud park on the Miaowadi side has recently made international headlines. Starlink antennas have surprisingly appeared on the roof, and even the US Congress can't sit still, directly initiating an investigation. Some say Musk is indirectly supplying blood to the fraud group.

In my view, the truth of this matter is actually more realistic: as long as there is internet access and the potential to make money, whether legal or illegal, technology will be abused. Satellite networks were originally meant for emergencies in war zones and remote areas, but now they have become the lifeline for fraud groups. This is the essence of 'technology is innocent, but human hearts are wicked'.

However, this matter gives us a very direct revelation:
Whether it is Starlink, AI, or blockchain, any technology that can bypass regulation will eventually be targeted by capital and gray industries. The next wave of technology dividends is always hidden in the second before the gray area.
You either understand it in advance, or you just wait to be passively hit. #鲍威尔发言 #马斯克概念 $DOGE $BTC #巨鲸动向 #加密市场回调

BNB in this wave is a standard "deep drop and rebound" market.

Last night it dropped to around 1142, and short-term sentiment nearly collapsed. After a significant amount of selling by bears, funds began to tentatively buy back, forming this sharp rebound.

From the 15-minute candlestick view, the lower Bollinger Band is strongly supporting, MACD shows a clear bullish divergence, and the volume is also increasing, indicating that short-term bulls have indeed gained an upper hand. However, the rebound to the 1230 level has already reached the upper resistance of the middle band, and a pullback after the rise is inevitable.

The key now is the rhythm; if it can stabilize above 1200 and consolidate, we can see a second wave of counterattack up to 1260; but if it is pushed back below 1180, then tonight's rebound candlestick will become a trap for bulls. I tend to lean towards watching for a consolidating recovery. $BNB #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调 #BNB创新高 #巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税

The rebound of the pancake is relatively steady this time. In the four-hour chart, the volume has increased, and the MACD fast line has turned red, indicating a clear weakening of bearish momentum. If it holds steady around 115000, that's the right rhythm; there is a chance to push above 118000 in the short term.

Don't chase; wait for a pullback in the 114000—114500 range to add long positions, with a stop loss below 112800. Just go with the trend. #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高 #BTC

On the evening of October 11th, the market truly collapsed. It was not a pullback, nor a washout, but a kind of steep drop that came out of nowhere. The market plunged through the 20,000 mark in one go, and Bitcoin hit hard. Whales exploded, institutions exploded, and retail investors had no chance to catch their breath. All night long, there were liquidations, system failures, and bankruptcies, and the moments in social media were filled with wailing. At that moment, many people completely understood that there is no worst in the crypto market, only worse.

At that time, my attitude was clear: it was not to blindly catch the bottom, nor to panic and short-sell. The drop was too severe, which instead indicated that new chips were changing hands. A major short does not mean a dead short; the rebound after an extreme drop is often a better opportunity. Especially with this level of release, the strength of the rebound often exceeds expectations.

So, brothers who are stuck above Bitcoin 11.7 and Ethereum 4200/4500, don't make hasty moves. What you need is not a quick rescue, but a plan that can help you exit steadily. Tonight I will offer 3 slots; let's talk about how to turn the tables in chaotic times and turn passivity into proactivity. #加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #美联储降息预期升温 #BTC

Don't treat a plunge as an opportunity.
Without fundamentals and liquidity, even if it drops to the core of the earth, it may not bounce back.
This time I didn't even think of reaching out.
Some drops are not wrongful kills, but a clearing.
The market is not giving you opportunities, but liquidating illusions. For the short term, it's better to expect continued decline. $DOGE #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #隐私叙事回归 #现货黄金创历史新高

CZ suggests bottom fishing, it's not asking you to go all in, but the signal has indeed arrived.
The funding below Bitcoin is clearly being absorbed, and the panic has mostly subsided.
You can take a small amount in batches for spot trading, don't be greedy, don't be anxious, just keep a steady pace. $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场回调 #BNBChainMeme热潮 #BNB市值超越XRP #现货黄金创历史新高

The Outlook for Big Cakes under the Tariff Storm: Behind the Plunge, Is It Reshuffling or Opportunity?

Trump's statement of "imposing 100% tariffs" combined with key software export controls has directly triggered a global risk aversion. The U.S. stock market crashed, Bitcoin fell over 13.5% in a single day, and 1.62 million people were liquidated, making the crypto world feel like the end of days. But you should know that such a significant shock is often not the end, but the beginning of the next round of capital reshuffling.

The core logic is actually not in the market but in the rhythm of the China-U.S. game. China’s export controls on rare earths are measures against proliferation and compliance actions, but they precisely hit the weaknesses of the U.S. supply chain. ASML delivery delays and pressure on the U.S. automotive chain indicate that the U.S.'s "technology blockade" strategy is backfiring. The rare earth industry chain cannot be easily patched; the cycle takes 5 to 10 years, and the U.S. cannot sustain this pace now.

Back to the market, the plunge caused by this macro shock is essentially an emotional release. The probability of a short-term follow-up decline is high, but the medium-term outlook is not pessimistic. The pattern has reversed: it used to be the U.S. calling the shots, now it's China controlling the rhythm. The policy has left a transition period, which is not a blockade but a control of the strategic game. Looking at Trump's willingness to "meet," it shows he is also afraid, afraid that the market will crash on the eve of his re-election.
So don't be led by panic. What should have fallen has already fallen, and what should have exploded has already exploded. The real opportunity is whether one can stay steady when the market is shrouded in fear.

For this round of big cakes, the key is whether the support at 110000 can hold. If it holds, a rebound will start; if it breaks, the bearish target will shift down to around 106000. For the rebound, pay attention to the 113500-114800 area, which is still under the control of the bears.

Remember this: After the policy storm, it is the starting point for a revaluation of value. $BTC #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高 #关税风波

Yesterday during the day, the mainstream was still in a broad fluctuation downward rhythm. The big coin was pulled back and forth between 114800 and 110000, while the altcoin was consolidating between 3909 and 3725 at a low position.

From a structural perspective, the daily K-line bears continue to increase in volume. Although there are signs of reduced volume on the four-hour chart, the trend still leans downward, and the hourly level rebound is only a weak repair. The upper pressure is first looked at 113500, with strong pressure at 116000. The short-term moving average system is still in a bearish arrangement.

In terms of operation, do not chase the rebound.
For the big coin, short in the area of 112200-112700, looking at 110500-110000;
For the altcoin, short in the area of 3845-3865, looking at 3780-3760.

No matter how the market moves, life goes on. The market situation is just a process; the mentality is the fundamental color. $BTC $ETH #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期升温 #现货黄金创历史新高

Brothers, this dog is really a bloodbath.

From 0.25 all the way down to 0.08, a full 70% drop, the market was directly flipped over. The main force's knife is clean and sharp; it’s not a wash, but a direct clearance. But note, after such an extreme waterfall, it’s often not the end, but an emotional watershed.

The long lower shadow indicates that someone is picking up at the bottom, and the short-term has entered a repair stage. Now, stabilizing around 0.19 is key. If it can’t hold, it will test 0.16; if it holds, the rebound target looks at the 0.21-0.23 range.

In terms of operation, do not chase shorts, don’t be the one to catch the last baton. For short-term speculation, you can take small positions at low prices, with a stop loss set below 0.17, and exit on rebound. This wave for the dog is not the apocalypse, but a reshuffling of chips; the main force dares to smash and dares to pull, waiting only for the recovery of market sentiment. #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #DOGE

Last night's knife was truly ruthless, a night of snow avalanches, a chain of settlements, and the market was completely cleaned up. Don't even mention the retail investors; even the institutions didn't react in time, experiencing system crashes, margin calls, and slippage all at once, as if the power was directly cut off.

This wave of decline far exceeded expectations; it was originally estimated to drop by ten thousand points, but it ended up crashing by twenty thousand. However, it's important to pay attention to the market after such a sharp decline, as the logic changes. Now, all those chasing short positions are in a risk zone; the bearish sentiment is too saturated, and the market could rebound at any time.

My thoughts are very simple:
Over the weekend, I will first look for a recovery and not chase short positions; during the rebound, I will pay attention to the resistance range of 115500～117000; the support is around 111000～110000, and only if it breaks that, will I consider a second downward probe layout.

This wave's peak has basically been confirmed, and the rebound is just a breather; the real short-selling opportunity is still in the next cycle. #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高 #广场热度值助燃心仪代币 #BTC