masuaRR
Frequent Trader
4.7 Years
Экспертиза дивергенций и технического анализа.
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BTC: technical bounce on divergences on 4H and 1D
On the 4H timeframe, we have formed a fresh bullish divergence on the RSI. The price updated its minimum, but the indicator showed divergence, which indicates a weakening of selling pressure. Such formations often serve as a starting point for local bounces. After the divergence formed, we saw the first trading, and this is precisely the scenario where the market begins to pick up liquidity from below and forms a local base.
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Bullish Divergences on the Weekly, Is APT Ready for a Reversal?
APT has continued to trade in a sideways manner and adjust since the last analysis. At that time, the price was around $4.6, and now we have dropped closer to $4, but it is important to note that the global structure has not changed at all. We have been trading in a range of $4-5 for more than half a year, and we have now once again reached its lower boundary. This is a classic accumulation zone where the market tests the strength of the support level and fuels up.
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Gold (PAXG), correction based on divergences on the 1D timeframe.
Gold (PAXG), I see a setup for correction based on divergences on the 1D timeframe.
Gold has been moving along the trend line upward for the last month, showing a confident growth. This is classic strong bull market behavior, with even steps, minimal pullbacks, and a steady renewal of highs. But the higher the price goes without a pause, the more the market overheats, and now the first signs are appearing on the chart that gold is preparing for a correction.
Gold has been moving along the trend line upward for the last month, showing a confident growth. This is classic strong bull market behavior, with even steps, minimal pullbacks, and a steady renewal of highs. But the higher the price goes without a pause, the more the market overheats, and now the first signs are appearing on the chart that gold is preparing for a correction.
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📊 Overview of APT. The price is currently holding the range of $4-5, which serves as key support and looks like a springboard for a new movement.
The price has been consolidating for six months at a strong level, creating a base for accumulation. Historically, such sideways phases have ended with an impulsive rise in this coin with similar setups on the indicators.
On the weekly timeframe, the MACD lines are converging after a long correction and are preparing to turn upwards. Previous similar setups coincided with the launch of green bars into the sky.
The RSI holds the area of 40-42, with the lower boundary of support at 37-40. This is where reversals have occurred before. Currently, the indicators do not show weakness and are turning upwards.
Targets by structure:
Locally: $9-10 is the first serious resistance.
Medium-term: $14-15 is the highs of previous impulses.
In a bull market: potential up to $20+, but this is already a risk zone.
APT currently looks like a sleeping spring, the price is squeezed at support, the indicators signal the end of the correction, and the market is deceptively calm. But it is in such phases that future trends are born. For me, the current zone remains one of the most interesting in terms of risk/potential. $APT #altcoins #altsesaon
The price has been consolidating for six months at a strong level, creating a base for accumulation. Historically, such sideways phases have ended with an impulsive rise in this coin with similar setups on the indicators.
On the weekly timeframe, the MACD lines are converging after a long correction and are preparing to turn upwards. Previous similar setups coincided with the launch of green bars into the sky.
The RSI holds the area of 40-42, with the lower boundary of support at 37-40. This is where reversals have occurred before. Currently, the indicators do not show weakness and are turning upwards.
Targets by structure:
Locally: $9-10 is the first serious resistance.
Medium-term: $14-15 is the highs of previous impulses.
In a bull market: potential up to $20+, but this is already a risk zone.
APT currently looks like a sleeping spring, the price is squeezed at support, the indicators signal the end of the correction, and the market is deceptively calm. But it is in such phases that future trends are born. For me, the current zone remains one of the most interesting in terms of risk/potential. $APT #altcoins #altsesaon
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BTC Dominance Analysis
A descending wedge is forming in the final stage of movement compression on the dominance chart. Clear bullish divergences on the MACD and RSI, which are strengthening with each new minimum update. Such a combination often provides a strong technical rebound even against the global weekly trend. The trigger for confirmation will be a breakout above the upper edge of the wedge in the 59.2% zone, where resistance is currently located. Until this happens, dominance may continue to move in a descending sideways trend for some time.
🎯 Targets upon breakout of the wedge upwards:
60.5-60.9% - a soft correction scenario, enough to extinguish the divergences.
62% - a deeper correction on the retest of the broken channel from the previous analysis. Acceptable, but with lower probability.
❌ Scenario invalidation: falling below 56.8% and consolidating under the wedge on the daily chart. Honestly, this option is unlikely, as such combinations almost always play out upwards.
The weekly trend maintains a priority for a decline to 47-50%, but the daily chart continues to signal a probable bullish impulse due to the wedge and divergences. #Altseason #BTCDOMINACE #CryptoAnalysis
A descending wedge is forming in the final stage of movement compression on the dominance chart. Clear bullish divergences on the MACD and RSI, which are strengthening with each new minimum update. Such a combination often provides a strong technical rebound even against the global weekly trend. The trigger for confirmation will be a breakout above the upper edge of the wedge in the 59.2% zone, where resistance is currently located. Until this happens, dominance may continue to move in a descending sideways trend for some time.
🎯 Targets upon breakout of the wedge upwards:
60.5-60.9% - a soft correction scenario, enough to extinguish the divergences.
62% - a deeper correction on the retest of the broken channel from the previous analysis. Acceptable, but with lower probability.
❌ Scenario invalidation: falling below 56.8% and consolidating under the wedge on the daily chart. Honestly, this option is unlikely, as such combinations almost always play out upwards.
The weekly trend maintains a priority for a decline to 47-50%, but the daily chart continues to signal a probable bullish impulse due to the wedge and divergences. #Altseason #BTCDOMINACE #CryptoAnalysis
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$ETH The broadcast shows signs of local weakening of momentum after the rise. The chart shows divergence on the RSI, and a key signal on the MACD, where a double top has formed with a reversal and crossing of the lines downward, which increases the likelihood of continued correction. So far, the price is held within the ascending channel, but the indicators suggest a deepening decline. The main target for the downward movement is the zone of 3,850 - 3,900, where there is an unclosed FVG and a support zone based on VPVR volumes. #ETH #Altcoin #Altseason #CryptoAnalysis
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Analysis of BTC Dominance.
The weekly chart shows a breakout of the global ascending channel that has been in place since 2023. Bearish divergence on MACD and RSI is already in the active phase of development, with both indicators rolling into the negative zone, making a downward pressure scenario relevant here. The complete target for the formation and divergence is marked around 47-50%, which remains the key medium-term goal.
📉 1D (local context):
After breaking the lower boundary of the channel, the price is consolidating in the range of 59-60%. Bullish divergences appeared on MACD and RSI here, which could provide a technical bounce. However, considering the weekly picture, such movements remain temporary pauses in the downward scenario. I expect a slight pullback up to 60.5-61% or to the RSI level of 48-50, which acts as resistance, followed by a downward movement along the weekly trend.
On the daily chart, a local bounce is possible due to divergences. The priority for the week remains with the bearish scenario targeting 47-50%. For altcoins, this means an increase in volatility; short-term spikes upward in dominance will lead to a downward movement for altcoins, but in the medium term, the trend indicates a redistribution of capital in their favor. #BTCDOMINACE #Altseason #CryptoAnalysis $BTCDOM
The weekly chart shows a breakout of the global ascending channel that has been in place since 2023. Bearish divergence on MACD and RSI is already in the active phase of development, with both indicators rolling into the negative zone, making a downward pressure scenario relevant here. The complete target for the formation and divergence is marked around 47-50%, which remains the key medium-term goal.
📉 1D (local context):
After breaking the lower boundary of the channel, the price is consolidating in the range of 59-60%. Bullish divergences appeared on MACD and RSI here, which could provide a technical bounce. However, considering the weekly picture, such movements remain temporary pauses in the downward scenario. I expect a slight pullback up to 60.5-61% or to the RSI level of 48-50, which acts as resistance, followed by a downward movement along the weekly trend.
On the daily chart, a local bounce is possible due to divergences. The priority for the week remains with the bearish scenario targeting 47-50%. For altcoins, this means an increase in volatility; short-term spikes upward in dominance will lead to a downward movement for altcoins, but in the medium term, the trend indicates a redistribution of capital in their favor. #BTCDOMINACE #Altseason #CryptoAnalysis $BTCDOM
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#BTC $BTC Weekly timeframe confirms the break of the April trend.
This week the picture is even more severe, under the zone of 118-119k a bearish hammer has formed, and the April slope has been broken. Any rise in the range up to 119k is just a retest of the broken structure and a short accumulation zone, not a reversal.
Resistances (green):
115 800 - the first local barrier
117 - 117.5k - the breakout level of the trendline (expecting active defense)
118 - 120k - the key zone on the weekly timeframe + volume shelf VPVR 116 - 118k.
Supports / intermediate targets for decline (orange):
114 800 is currently holding on lower timeframes, and we get a small bounce
111 900 - 112 800 is the key support zone for bulls
110.5k - the full target for the decline in closing the imbalance.
Invalidation of the bearish scenario: Only a weekly close above 120k or a series of 3 or more daily closes above 120k. But for now, there is no hint of this, and it is too early to talk about it.
Priority for short, the structure is broken on the daily and confirmed on the weekly timeframe. Bounces to 116.5 - 118k are working points for adding/re-entering, decline targets: 114.8 - 112.8 - 112.2 - 111 900 - 110.5k. Manage risk and do not overstay bounces against the plan.
#CryptoAnalysis
This week the picture is even more severe, under the zone of 118-119k a bearish hammer has formed, and the April slope has been broken. Any rise in the range up to 119k is just a retest of the broken structure and a short accumulation zone, not a reversal.
Resistances (green):
115 800 - the first local barrier
117 - 117.5k - the breakout level of the trendline (expecting active defense)
118 - 120k - the key zone on the weekly timeframe + volume shelf VPVR 116 - 118k.
Supports / intermediate targets for decline (orange):
114 800 is currently holding on lower timeframes, and we get a small bounce
111 900 - 112 800 is the key support zone for bulls
110.5k - the full target for the decline in closing the imbalance.
Invalidation of the bearish scenario: Only a weekly close above 120k or a series of 3 or more daily closes above 120k. But for now, there is no hint of this, and it is too early to talk about it.
Priority for short, the structure is broken on the daily and confirmed on the weekly timeframe. Bounces to 116.5 - 118k are working points for adding/re-entering, decline targets: 114.8 - 112.8 - 112.2 - 111 900 - 110.5k. Manage risk and do not overstay bounces against the plan.
#CryptoAnalysis
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#BTC $BTC April diagonal trend line broken, it remains to consolidate below 116.5k and at the moment there are no questions about this, bears are steadily pushing the chart down without bounces on lower time frames. Now the April trend line will act as resistance during any bounce, and if it happens, I consider the 116-118k zone only as a temporary weakness of the bears.
Resistances (green):
115 800
117 - 117.5k breakout level of the trend line
Supports / intermediate targets below (orange):
114 800
112 200 - 112 800 key support zone, last bounced there
110 500 - complete target for breaking the diagonal with closing the imbalance
For now, the chart maintains a short priority, as long as the price is below the diagonal and 118k, any bounces in the 116-118k zone are seen as an opportunity to accumulate short positions. The April trend line is broken, it remains only to consolidate with a daily candle closing below 116.5k, ideally for the bears below 115 800. Now any attempt to rise hits the retest of the diagonal and the volume shelf by VPVR 116-118k.
#CryptoAnalysis
Resistances (green):
115 800
117 - 117.5k breakout level of the trend line
Supports / intermediate targets below (orange):
114 800
112 200 - 112 800 key support zone, last bounced there
110 500 - complete target for breaking the diagonal with closing the imbalance
For now, the chart maintains a short priority, as long as the price is below the diagonal and 118k, any bounces in the 116-118k zone are seen as an opportunity to accumulate short positions. The April trend line is broken, it remains only to consolidate with a daily candle closing below 116.5k, ideally for the bears below 115 800. Now any attempt to rise hits the retest of the diagonal and the volume shelf by VPVR 116-118k.
#CryptoAnalysis
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