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观澜Bit

专注于比特币及数字货币的宏观与技术分析,提供严谨、前瞻的交易策略|微信公众号:观澜Bit|微博:观澜Bit(币安手续费8折注册邀请码:GUANLAN)
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Trading tutorial, cash back ☀️ WeChat public account: Guanlan Bit | Weibo: Guanlan Bit | Binance trading fee 20% discount, 25% of the fee returned invitation code: GUANLAN | Invitation link: https://www.maxweb.black/join?ref=GUANLAN
Trading tutorial, cash back ☀️ WeChat public account: Guanlan Bit | Weibo: Guanlan Bit | Binance trading fee 20% discount, 25% of the fee returned invitation code: GUANLAN | Invitation link: https://www.maxweb.black/join?ref=GUANLAN
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Bearish
See original
Heizi is speaking!!! Maji finally won a round this time, can shout loudly: "How could Duojun lose every day?" 😂 From 500,000 to 3,340,000, net profit of 2,840,000, he has pulled back all the losses from the past two months in one breath. Now he still holds 33,500,000 USD long positions: mainly ETH, with HYPE and ZEC as supplementary materials.$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #ETH巨鲸增持
Heizi is speaking!!!
Maji finally won a round this time,
can shout loudly: "How could Duojun lose every day?" 😂
From 500,000 to 3,340,000,
net profit of 2,840,000,
he has pulled back all the losses from the past two months in one breath.
Now he still holds 33,500,000 USD long positions: mainly ETH, with HYPE and ZEC as supplementary materials.$ETH
#ETH巨鲸增持
See original
You read that right, the one getting hit again is familiar Buddy! With only a few hundred thousand dollars left, Buddy charged 250,000 USDC hard again at dawn. It's the same old strategy — not looking, not asking, directly going all in on ETH long. Now holding a long position worth 7.54 million dollars, opened at 2840, with the liquidation price already down to 2698. 10/11 is the market's life and death inflection point. After that, it kept crashing down, and Buddy kept going all in, getting hit all the way. The cumulative loss has already exploded to 21.1 million dollars. Buddy is not trading; he is demonstrating what it means to be obsessed with the capital. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #加密市场回调
You read that right, the one getting hit again is familiar Buddy! With only a few hundred thousand dollars left, Buddy charged 250,000 USDC hard again at dawn. It's the same old strategy — not looking, not asking, directly going all in on ETH long. Now holding a long position worth 7.54 million dollars, opened at 2840, with the liquidation price already down to 2698. 10/11 is the market's life and death inflection point. After that, it kept crashing down, and Buddy kept going all in, getting hit all the way. The cumulative loss has already exploded to 21.1 million dollars. Buddy is not trading; he is demonstrating what it means to be obsessed with the capital. $ETH #加密市场回调
观澜Bit
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Bearish
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣.
Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up.
On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂.
Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism.
Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases.
As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#币安HODLer空投AT
See original
Bitmine last week gambled again and bought 96,798 ETH (worth $283 million), bringing their total holdings of ETH to 3.726 million (worth $10.52 billion). Their average cost is $3,960, and they are now facing a loss of $4.22 billion, -28.6% —— this depth is definitely a "institutional-level deep trap". Even Tom Li, who has the most flamboyant hairstyle in the crypto world, has been held down this time. Looks like they're still young... Dare to touch the "faith in Ethereum", now all we can do is chant together: I Ethereum, I believe, I am trapped. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #加密市场回调
Bitmine last week gambled again and bought 96,798 ETH (worth $283 million),
bringing their total holdings of ETH to 3.726 million (worth $10.52 billion).
Their average cost is $3,960,
and they are now facing a loss of $4.22 billion, -28.6% —— this depth is definitely a "institutional-level deep trap".
Even Tom Li, who has the most flamboyant hairstyle in the crypto world, has been held down this time.
Looks like they're still young...
Dare to touch the "faith in Ethereum", now all we can do is chant together: I Ethereum, I believe, I am trapped. $ETH
#加密市场回调
See original
Maji can’t hold on anymore. ETH long position was instantly liquidated at $2,792 for 400 coins ($1.11 million), leaving a position of only $4.52 million. Last week, I just added $1 million, and now only $140,000 is left in balance. What can I say—Maji's strategy is very simple: Lost? Keep adding money. After all, in this crypto game, for those who stubbornly go long, it’s just a pay-to-win hell mode. #麻吉大哥
Maji can’t hold on anymore.
ETH long position was instantly liquidated at $2,792 for 400 coins ($1.11 million), leaving a position of only $4.52 million.

Last week, I just added $1 million, and now only $140,000 is left in balance.
What can I say—Maji's strategy is very simple:
Lost? Keep adding money.
After all, in this crypto game, for those who stubbornly go long, it’s just a pay-to-win hell mode. #麻吉大哥
观澜Bit
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Bearish
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣.
Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up.
On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂.
Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism.
Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases.
As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#币安HODLer空投AT
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Bearish
See original
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣. Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up. On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂. Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism. Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases. As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #币安HODLer空投AT
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣.
Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up.
On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂.
Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism.
Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases.
As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC
#币安HODLer空投AT
See original
Basically, most of the Chinese community has been very supportive of the families affected by the fire at the Hong Kong Tai Po Wang Fuk Yuen, with donations getting larger and larger. Among them, Bitget directly donated 12 million HKD, which is indeed leading by a street. Group members also joked: the Chinese community is not only competing in technology and operations, but now even charity has started to become competitive 😂 But I actually think this is a good thing; the more competitive, the better— the more competition in technology and operations, the smoother our 'losing money experience' will be; the more competition in charity, the more real help those truly affected will receive. #香港 {future}(BTCUSDT)
Basically, most of the Chinese community has been very supportive of the families affected by the fire at the Hong Kong Tai Po Wang Fuk Yuen, with donations getting larger and larger. Among them, Bitget directly donated 12 million HKD, which is indeed leading by a street.
Group members also joked: the Chinese community is not only competing in technology and operations, but now even charity has started to become competitive 😂
But I actually think this is a good thing; the more competitive, the better— the more competition in technology and operations, the smoother our 'losing money experience' will be; the more competition in charity, the more real help those truly affected will receive.
#香港
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Bullish
See original
9w A few days ago, it was already mentioned that the target has been reached. At this position, we can start considering taking profits. Don't rush to shout that the bull market has returned; the daily chart is still just a rebound from an oversold condition. The right shoulder structure is currently forming, and it's fine for smaller low points to continue rising, but the volume is still somewhat lacking, and the bulls have not yet regained their previous strength. So for the short term, let's look at 93k first. If the volume picks up, a push to 98 - 10w is not out of the question. However, until we see real capital inflow, it's always wise to be a bit cautious. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #加密市场反弹
9w A few days ago, it was already mentioned that the target has been reached. At this position, we can start considering taking profits. Don't rush to shout that the bull market has returned; the daily chart is still just a rebound from an oversold condition.
The right shoulder structure is currently forming, and it's fine for smaller low points to continue rising, but the volume is still somewhat lacking, and the bulls have not yet regained their previous strength. So for the short term, let's look at 93k first.
If the volume picks up, a push to 98 - 10w is not out of the question. However, until we see real capital inflow, it's always wise to be a bit cautious. $BTC
#加密市场反弹
观澜Bit
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Bullish
For the operations after the regression, I can give myself a score of 7. However, for this trade capturing SOT, I can only give myself a score of 1 [awkward], as my judgment on the bottom was quite early [smirk]. Fortunately, the leverage is low and the cash flow is sufficient, so I didn't feel very anxious. When everyone was probably at their most desperate on Friday, I did my best to provide confidence through social media. Currently, I have already started making a profit, and I won't treat this as a historical turning point; instead, I see it as a structural confirmation of SOT in a major downward channel. So, definitely don't think too broadly, and control your position well. The highest point should be around 9—92. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#美国非农数据超预期
See original
The buddy who is obsessed with going long is back🥹 After a quiet weekend, from last night to early this morning, he once again deposited 1 million USDC into his account and continued to gamble on the long side. This time he directly opened two large positions: • Long ETH: 4,550 ETH, position value approximately $13.35 million • Opening price: $2,883 • Liquidation price: $2,716 • Current floating profit: approximately $280,000 • Long HYPE: 25,000 HYPE, position value approximately $830,000 • Opening price: $31.57 • Currently slightly profitable Since October 11, he has almost been going long and losing all the way, but he just doesn’t give up. Every time he gets blown up, he recharges and goes for it again, firmly implementing the 'death long' to the extreme. This time, can he catch a decent rebound? Or will he be educated by the market again?😂 $$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #加密市场回调
The buddy who is obsessed with going long is back🥹
After a quiet weekend, from last night to early this morning, he once again deposited 1 million USDC into his account and continued to gamble on the long side.
This time he directly opened two large positions:
• Long ETH: 4,550 ETH, position value approximately $13.35 million
• Opening price: $2,883
• Liquidation price: $2,716
• Current floating profit: approximately $280,000
• Long HYPE: 25,000 HYPE, position value approximately $830,000
• Opening price: $31.57
• Currently slightly profitable
Since October 11, he has almost been going long and losing all the way, but he just doesn’t give up.
Every time he gets blown up, he recharges and goes for it again, firmly implementing the 'death long' to the extreme.
This time, can he catch a decent rebound?
Or will he be educated by the market again?😂

$$BTC
#加密市场回调
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Bullish
See original
观澜Bit
--
Bullish
For the operations after the regression, I can give myself a score of 7. However, for this trade capturing SOT, I can only give myself a score of 1 [awkward], as my judgment on the bottom was quite early [smirk]. Fortunately, the leverage is low and the cash flow is sufficient, so I didn't feel very anxious. When everyone was probably at their most desperate on Friday, I did my best to provide confidence through social media. Currently, I have already started making a profit, and I won't treat this as a historical turning point; instead, I see it as a structural confirmation of SOT in a major downward channel. So, definitely don't think too broadly, and control your position well. The highest point should be around 9—92. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#美国非农数据超预期
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Bullish
See original
For the operations after the regression, I can give myself a score of 7. However, for this trade capturing SOT, I can only give myself a score of 1 [awkward], as my judgment on the bottom was quite early [smirk]. Fortunately, the leverage is low and the cash flow is sufficient, so I didn't feel very anxious. When everyone was probably at their most desperate on Friday, I did my best to provide confidence through social media. Currently, I have already started making a profit, and I won't treat this as a historical turning point; instead, I see it as a structural confirmation of SOT in a major downward channel. So, definitely don't think too broadly, and control your position well. The highest point should be around 9—92. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #美国非农数据超预期
For the operations after the regression, I can give myself a score of 7. However, for this trade capturing SOT, I can only give myself a score of 1 [awkward], as my judgment on the bottom was quite early [smirk]. Fortunately, the leverage is low and the cash flow is sufficient, so I didn't feel very anxious. When everyone was probably at their most desperate on Friday, I did my best to provide confidence through social media. Currently, I have already started making a profit, and I won't treat this as a historical turning point; instead, I see it as a structural confirmation of SOT in a major downward channel. So, definitely don't think too broadly, and control your position well. The highest point should be around 9—92. $BTC
$ETH
#美国非农数据超预期
观澜Bit
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Bearish
Don't be too pessimistic about the current market. Essentially, it is a liquidity crisis issue caused by the government shutdown. Yesterday, the non-farm employment market was very strong, making a rate cut in December seem far away. However, these issues are essentially a matter of 'time' and will ultimately be alleviated by the Federal Reserve expanding its balance sheet, simply put, it's about releasing liquidity.
Currently, BTC has dropped to the shutdown price for many old miners, which will reduce the selling pressure from miners.
Then there's the question of whether DAT will crash. Companies like MicroStrategy that lead DAT are inherently using high leverage to increase their BTC holdings. For companies like MicroStrategy, the owner has absolute control and will not sell coins due to short-term debt pressure.
In the worst-case scenario, even if there is a crash, it will still be a deleveraging process for the market. The coins from these DAT companies will flow into low-leverage, long-term ETF funds, which is also positive for the market. Given the current volume of BTC, it is impossible for one DAT company to completely collapse it; the long-term trend will not change.
Currently, it is essential to manage risk well, enter steadily in batches, maintain low leverage, and give up short-term asset fluctuations. I believe that in the worst-case scenario, we are still in a 4-year cycle. Historically, the maximum drawdown ratio of Bitcoin in each 4-year cycle shows a declining trend. If this cycle experiences such a situation, with a drop of around 60%, it corresponds to a range of about $50,000. Therefore, it is important to have this psychological expectation!!! #比特币波动性 $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#比特币波动性
--
Bearish
See original
Don't be too pessimistic about the current market. Essentially, it is a liquidity crisis issue caused by the government shutdown. Yesterday, the non-farm employment market was very strong, making a rate cut in December seem far away. However, these issues are essentially a matter of 'time' and will ultimately be alleviated by the Federal Reserve expanding its balance sheet, simply put, it's about releasing liquidity. Currently, BTC has dropped to the shutdown price for many old miners, which will reduce the selling pressure from miners. Then there's the question of whether DAT will crash. Companies like MicroStrategy that lead DAT are inherently using high leverage to increase their BTC holdings. For companies like MicroStrategy, the owner has absolute control and will not sell coins due to short-term debt pressure. In the worst-case scenario, even if there is a crash, it will still be a deleveraging process for the market. The coins from these DAT companies will flow into low-leverage, long-term ETF funds, which is also positive for the market. Given the current volume of BTC, it is impossible for one DAT company to completely collapse it; the long-term trend will not change. Currently, it is essential to manage risk well, enter steadily in batches, maintain low leverage, and give up short-term asset fluctuations. I believe that in the worst-case scenario, we are still in a 4-year cycle. Historically, the maximum drawdown ratio of Bitcoin in each 4-year cycle shows a declining trend. If this cycle experiences such a situation, with a drop of around 60%, it corresponds to a range of about $50,000. Therefore, it is important to have this psychological expectation!!! #比特币波动性 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #比特币波动性
Don't be too pessimistic about the current market. Essentially, it is a liquidity crisis issue caused by the government shutdown. Yesterday, the non-farm employment market was very strong, making a rate cut in December seem far away. However, these issues are essentially a matter of 'time' and will ultimately be alleviated by the Federal Reserve expanding its balance sheet, simply put, it's about releasing liquidity.
Currently, BTC has dropped to the shutdown price for many old miners, which will reduce the selling pressure from miners.
Then there's the question of whether DAT will crash. Companies like MicroStrategy that lead DAT are inherently using high leverage to increase their BTC holdings. For companies like MicroStrategy, the owner has absolute control and will not sell coins due to short-term debt pressure.
In the worst-case scenario, even if there is a crash, it will still be a deleveraging process for the market. The coins from these DAT companies will flow into low-leverage, long-term ETF funds, which is also positive for the market. Given the current volume of BTC, it is impossible for one DAT company to completely collapse it; the long-term trend will not change.
Currently, it is essential to manage risk well, enter steadily in batches, maintain low leverage, and give up short-term asset fluctuations. I believe that in the worst-case scenario, we are still in a 4-year cycle. Historically, the maximum drawdown ratio of Bitcoin in each 4-year cycle shows a declining trend. If this cycle experiences such a situation, with a drop of around 60%, it corresponds to a range of about $50,000. Therefore, it is important to have this psychological expectation!!! #比特币波动性 $BTC
#比特币波动性
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Bearish
See original
The analysis of the US non-farm payroll data is as follows: Core Data The number of jobs increased by 119,000, far exceeding the market expectation of around 50,000. The unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.4%. The employment data for the previous months has also been revised down: July and August combined were about 33,000 less than previously estimated. This data has both good news and bad news, specifically analyzed as follows: Positive Factors: The increase in the number of jobs exceeded expectations, indicating that the labor market is stronger than many anticipated. This suggests that the economy has not significantly dropped, and employment is still increasing, which is a positive signal for overall economic activity. Negative Factors: Although the increase in jobs is good, the rise in the unemployment rate (4.4%) indicates signs of looseness in the labor market. For the Federal Reserve, strong employment often means a lower probability of interest rate cuts. Impact on Federal Reserve Policy: It has further reduced the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December, as the Fed generally hopes to see weak employment, economic slowdown, and reduced inflation pressure before cutting rates. Currently, employment is still growing, and although the unemployment rate has risen, the increase is not significant, indicating that the economy has not yet given a strong signal of "necessity to cut rates." Data also indicates: This employment report "further reduced the market's chances of a rate cut in December." It should be noted that due to the government shutdown in the US, data collection has been interrupted, and the October employment report has been canceled and will be combined with November for release on December 16. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) #非农就业数据
The analysis of the US non-farm payroll data is as follows:
Core Data
The number of jobs increased by 119,000, far exceeding the market expectation of around 50,000.
The unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.4%.
The employment data for the previous months has also been revised down: July and August combined were about 33,000 less than previously estimated.
This data has both good news and bad news, specifically analyzed as follows:
Positive Factors:
The increase in the number of jobs exceeded expectations, indicating that the labor market is stronger than many anticipated.
This suggests that the economy has not significantly dropped, and employment is still increasing, which is a positive signal for overall economic activity.
Negative Factors:
Although the increase in jobs is good, the rise in the unemployment rate (4.4%) indicates signs of looseness in the labor market.
For the Federal Reserve, strong employment often means a lower probability of interest rate cuts.
Impact on Federal Reserve Policy:
It has further reduced the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December, as the Fed generally hopes to see weak employment, economic slowdown, and reduced inflation pressure before cutting rates.
Currently, employment is still growing, and although the unemployment rate has risen, the increase is not significant, indicating that the economy has not yet given a strong signal of "necessity to cut rates."
Data also indicates: This employment report "further reduced the market's chances of a rate cut in December."
It should be noted that due to the government shutdown in the US, data collection has been interrupted, and the October employment report has been canceled and will be combined with November for release on December 16. $BTC

#非农就业数据
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Bullish
See original
In fact, from the perspective of the panic index, it has now reached an extreme position in the historical range, once in January 25 and again in the event of 22. From a structural standpoint, even if the market is ultimately going to enter a larger downward trend, it cannot just drop straight down mindlessly; the market definitely needs an 'SOT structure'—that is to say, after a rebound, pullback, and confirmation, the trend will truly be established. I feel that this week is very likely to form a short-term bottom. In a bear market, going long is indeed no different from doing 🐶 [cover face] Everyone must assess their risk tolerance to ensure that they can survive to see the next wave of the market $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #美股2026预测
In fact, from the perspective of the panic index, it has now reached an extreme position in the historical range, once in January 25 and again in the event of 22. From a structural standpoint, even if the market is ultimately going to enter a larger downward trend, it cannot just drop straight down mindlessly; the market definitely needs an 'SOT structure'—that is to say, after a rebound, pullback, and confirmation, the trend will truly be established. I feel that this week is very likely to form a short-term bottom. In a bear market, going long is indeed no different from doing 🐶 [cover face] Everyone must assess their risk tolerance to ensure that they can survive to see the next wave of the market $BTC
#美股2026预测
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Bullish
See original
Maji is truly forever bullish, forever moved to tears 🥹 A few days ago, Maji boldly invested 3.437 million USDC to go long on ETH, but this morning, the market suddenly pushed his liquidation line down to the carpet, getting liquidated multiple times, and finally, an hour ago, he completely wrapped it up—3.36 million evaporated completely. But Maji's spirit is: Fell down? No worries, can leverage again. After the position was liquidated, he used his last 220,000 to go all in again at $3,052 to long ETH, with a liquidation price at $3,043, not daring to breathe more than necessary. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #美股2026预测
Maji is truly forever bullish, forever moved to tears 🥹
A few days ago, Maji boldly invested 3.437 million USDC to go long on ETH, but this morning, the market suddenly pushed his liquidation line down to the carpet, getting liquidated multiple times, and finally, an hour ago, he completely wrapped it up—3.36 million evaporated completely.
But Maji's spirit is: Fell down? No worries, can leverage again.
After the position was liquidated, he used his last 220,000 to go all in again at $3,052 to long ETH, with a liquidation price at $3,043, not daring to breathe more than necessary. $BTC
$ETH
#美股2026预测
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Bullish
See original
As a missionary, Michael Saylor is here to motivate everyone. He believes that the current fluctuations are nothing at all; no matter how bad the market sentiment is, he does not intend to waver and has written 'buy on the dip' into the company's philosophy! #加密市场回调 $BTC
As a missionary, Michael Saylor is here to motivate everyone. He believes that the current fluctuations are nothing at all; no matter how bad the market sentiment is, he does not intend to waver and has written 'buy on the dip' into the company's philosophy! #加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
观澜Bit
--
Bearish
After the funding bill passed in the House with a vote of 222 to 209, the record-breaking 43-day U.S. federal government shutdown is about to officially end.
Yesterday's market had already started its "party" ahead of time.
As soon as the U.S. stock market opened, it surged across the board, with the Nasdaq skyrocketing by 2.27%, and cryptocurrencies immediately following suit with a rebound. Everyone saw the signs that the shutdown was about to end, and sentiment began to heat up, leading to an influx of funds.
Market analysis: To be honest, I don't really think the market will take off immediately just because the government reopened.
After all, this news has been speculated on for too long, and many of the gains have already been reflected in the market.
So I personally tend to lean towards – in the first few days after reopening, there is a high probability of a short-term downward trend.
The market may first decline to wash out short-term funds,
and only then slowly stop the decline and build a bottom for a rise.
Once wages are paid, project funding is allocated, and government spending is truly implemented,
the market's liquidity will gradually be pushed up. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#美国结束政府停摆
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Bullish
See original
According to the script I have been mentioning, this phase of the market manipulation is very likely coming to an end.\nThe reason is simple:\nThe current trading volume is close to the trading volume on October 11, and on October 11, the K line dropped by nearly 8%, while it has only dropped by about 6% now.\nHowever, the current price has only shown a slight pullback, which is a very typical SOT structure: the trading volume has increased significantly, but the price is not falling, indicating that the selling pressure below is being fully absorbed.\nTypically, after this kind of structure appears, the market will enter a slow bottoming phase.\nTherefore, in the short term, I believe that the market has very likely entered a phase of clearing chips, stabilizing through fluctuations, and slowly moving upward.\nThe next key step is to challenge the position of 100,000. $BTC \n{future}(BTCUSDT)\n#加密市场回调
According to the script I have been mentioning, this phase of the market manipulation is very likely coming to an end.\nThe reason is simple:\nThe current trading volume is close to the trading volume on October 11, and on October 11, the K line dropped by nearly 8%, while it has only dropped by about 6% now.\nHowever, the current price has only shown a slight pullback, which is a very typical SOT structure: the trading volume has increased significantly, but the price is not falling, indicating that the selling pressure below is being fully absorbed.\nTypically, after this kind of structure appears, the market will enter a slow bottoming phase.\nTherefore, in the short term, I believe that the market has very likely entered a phase of clearing chips, stabilizing through fluctuations, and slowly moving upward.\nThe next key step is to challenge the position of 100,000. $BTC \n\n#加密市场回调
观澜Bit
--
Bearish
After the funding bill passed in the House with a vote of 222 to 209, the record-breaking 43-day U.S. federal government shutdown is about to officially end.
Yesterday's market had already started its "party" ahead of time.
As soon as the U.S. stock market opened, it surged across the board, with the Nasdaq skyrocketing by 2.27%, and cryptocurrencies immediately following suit with a rebound. Everyone saw the signs that the shutdown was about to end, and sentiment began to heat up, leading to an influx of funds.
Market analysis: To be honest, I don't really think the market will take off immediately just because the government reopened.
After all, this news has been speculated on for too long, and many of the gains have already been reflected in the market.
So I personally tend to lean towards – in the first few days after reopening, there is a high probability of a short-term downward trend.
The market may first decline to wash out short-term funds,
and only then slowly stop the decline and build a bottom for a rise.
Once wages are paid, project funding is allocated, and government spending is truly implemented,
the market's liquidity will gradually be pushed up. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#美国结束政府停摆
--
Bearish
See original
This wave of decline is actually a script I wrote long ago. I must emphasize my prophet mode again😜 As early as October 17, I sounded the alarm in the group: high position risk, sell on rallies! At that time, I clearly pointed out: after the U.S. government reopened, the economic data released might not meet expectations, becoming the trigger for a market crash! How about that? Is this prediction forward-looking enough? Once the data was released, the market indeed experienced a wave of "push-ups," while we had already fastened our seatbelts. Reminder: Currently, the trading volume is not in place, so be patient and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunity!
This wave of decline is actually a script I wrote long ago.
I must emphasize my prophet mode again😜
As early as October 17, I sounded the alarm in the group: high position risk, sell on rallies!
At that time, I clearly pointed out: after the U.S. government reopened, the economic data released might not meet expectations, becoming the trigger for a market crash!
How about that? Is this prediction forward-looking enough? Once the data was released, the market indeed experienced a wave of "push-ups," while we had already fastened our seatbelts.
Reminder: Currently, the trading volume is not in place, so be patient and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunity!
观澜Bit
--
Bearish
Review of this short-selling logic: The market generally expects a "bull market from the get-go," but prices have partially priced in the good news. Once the backlog data is published and does not meet expectations, the downside potential will be opened.
I advised friends to short from 105,000, and it is now at 97,000, with nearly an 8,000 point space already realized. It is recommended to gradually take profits on contracts, and please continue to wait patiently for bottom fishing!
$BTC $ETH #美国结束政府停摆
--
Bearish
See original
Review of this short-selling logic: The market generally expects a "bull market from the get-go," but prices have partially priced in the good news. Once the backlog data is published and does not meet expectations, the downside potential will be opened. I advised friends to short from 105,000, and it is now at 97,000, with nearly an 8,000 point space already realized. It is recommended to gradually take profits on contracts, and please continue to wait patiently for bottom fishing! $BTC $ETH #美国结束政府停摆
Review of this short-selling logic: The market generally expects a "bull market from the get-go," but prices have partially priced in the good news. Once the backlog data is published and does not meet expectations, the downside potential will be opened.
I advised friends to short from 105,000, and it is now at 97,000, with nearly an 8,000 point space already realized. It is recommended to gradually take profits on contracts, and please continue to wait patiently for bottom fishing!
$BTC $ETH #美国结束政府停摆
观澜Bit
--
Bearish
After the funding bill passed in the House with a vote of 222 to 209, the record-breaking 43-day U.S. federal government shutdown is about to officially end.
Yesterday's market had already started its "party" ahead of time.
As soon as the U.S. stock market opened, it surged across the board, with the Nasdaq skyrocketing by 2.27%, and cryptocurrencies immediately following suit with a rebound. Everyone saw the signs that the shutdown was about to end, and sentiment began to heat up, leading to an influx of funds.
Market analysis: To be honest, I don't really think the market will take off immediately just because the government reopened.
After all, this news has been speculated on for too long, and many of the gains have already been reflected in the market.
So I personally tend to lean towards – in the first few days after reopening, there is a high probability of a short-term downward trend.
The market may first decline to wash out short-term funds,
and only then slowly stop the decline and build a bottom for a rise.
Once wages are paid, project funding is allocated, and government spending is truly implemented,
the market's liquidity will gradually be pushed up. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#美国结束政府停摆
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