Cold Reflection After the Crash: BTC Multi-Level Structure Review and Future Market Projection
💡On the day of the crash, everyone was saying that the bull market was over, all levels of structures and indicators were completely broken. Although my overall position only retraced by 10%, a wave of helplessness surged up, and I felt very frustrated. As a technical chart trader, I can only analyze the subsequent market trends based on structures, indicators, and my personal understanding. As for other aspects such as news stimulation, market manipulation, and chain explosions, I don't understand and don't want to comment recklessly. Everyone has their own opinions, and wise men see wisdom. 📌 Today, I will fully express my personal analysis of the subsequent trends of $BTC from various levels.
[Spot 171% Record] $VINE's actual combat review from the bottom to the sky!
🎯 This round of income:
✅ The first wave: +35%
✅ The second wave: Breakeven
✅ The third wave: +136%
📌 1. Discovering the prototype (April 22)
The bottom triangle appears, the trend line is formed in a three-point line, and the daily line is pulled out. The structure is marked and waits for point E to confirm.
🕳 2. Missing the first opportunity (April 28)
Point E did not fall back to the right place, the structure is still there, continue to wait!
🚀 3. The first wave of actual combat (April 29)
Structure: arc bottom + bottom triangle
Entry: 0.038, stop loss: 0.0352
TP: 0.05 (daily resistance)
BTC simultaneously touches the upper track of the H2 channel, actively stops profit, and takes the bag.
🧭 4. Second wave of trial and error (May 7)
Insufficient structure, try to enter the market only by K-line signals
Entry: 0.038, stop loss: 0.0332
Because of uncertain news, exit to protect capital.
💥 5. The main rising wave is full (May 8)
The Fed is dovish, BTC has a large volume of big positive, VINE re-enters after stepping back
First position: 0.036, increase position: 0.0383, stop loss is also 0.0341
Consolidation above 0.05, the flag E point is almost not reached, and it took off directly.
🎯 VII. Perfect Ending
Take profit time: May 11
Take profit point: 0.089 (tweet in advance)
Total profit: +171%
📌 Summary:
📈 Chart structure + K-line + RSI coordination
🌍 Macro support, confidence increase
🔒 Strictly control risks, stop loss to protect principal
🧠 Emotional stability, not greedy is the truth!
📌Where is the next round of opportunities? Continue to lock in my trading review, take you to buy low and sell high, understand the structure, and keep up with the main rise!
📌$ETH Today, there were 2 consecutive tests of the 3940 support level, along with two H4 doji candlesticks, indicating a slowdown in the decline. Structurally, a downward three structure has formed, with a slight upward channel on the F15-minute chart. It is expected to reach the position of the red trend line resistance, which is also the E point of the downward three structure. Do not rush to short here; patience is required to observe whether it will break through and then stabilize. If it is confirmed that it cannot break through and continues to decline, a short position can be attempted, with a target around 3800-3840.
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, let's find opportunities together!
📌 $ETH The trend is significantly stronger than Bitcoin, and the upward trend line has been suppressed after three consecutive tests. Currently, it is at the lower boundary of the H1 ascending channel. If it breaks below this boundary, the initial target for the decline is set around 3850. Observe whether this support level can hold; if it doesn't, it could drop to the needle point position near 3450 on the day of the channel's collapse.
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, and let's look for opportunities together! #ETH走势分析 #ETH
📌 $BTC I have to say that the movement is very weak. I suspect it's still due to the large-scale liquidation where many institutions have actually already collapsed. These effects are slowly fermenting. From the H1 perspective, the big coin is expected to be within the range of box fluctuations, but the trend is very weak, and even small-level trend lines can directly suppress it tightly.
🎯 Two possible future trends: the green arrow indicates a movement that rebounds from the lower boundary of the box to the upper boundary of the box & overlaps with the red trend line above, continuing to decline. 🎯 The red arrow indicates an extremely weak trend. If the resistance zone around 108.5k cannot successfully rebound and confirm a breakdown, the big coin will drop to the position near 102k where the collapse occurred for a second test!
Feel free to leave a comment in the comment area about the varieties you want to see, and let's find opportunities together!
Shorted one order $ETH and successfully took profit~
At the third point of the lower boundary of the bottom triangle, I opened a long position $YB , and at that moment, there was a sudden surge in the market. The position nearly doubled in profit, I immediately closed the position, and then the next candlestick immediately started to plummet, and now it has fallen nearly 50%, it's too scary.
2020.3.12 $2 billion liquidation, 2021.5.19 $8 billion liquidation, four and a half years later on 2024.10.11 $19.3 billion liquidation, almost ten times the scale of 312!
In the past five years, capital, leverage, and greed have grown exponentially; technological advances and liquidity expansion—yet human nature has not evolved, fear and greed still cycle.
Stories of profit abound, but lessons of risk are forgotten. History reminds us: what is liquidated is not just positions, but our reverence for risk🙏
📌 $BTC The small H2 channel drop mentioned last night will accelerate if it breaks, but what we didn't expect was an epic liquidation plunge. The current price is near the lower boundary of the channel at 112k. If it can't hold, the next support level is 108.5k. The ultimate defense baseline is 102k, which is the healthy trend line for Bitcoin.
$ETH Another black swan event, but this time a lot of leverage was liquidated, and the bulls have basically been wiped out. Currently, it is at the lower boundary of the channel & horizontal support near 3800, and the market is expected to decline further, mainly due to profit-taking from the super plunge. However, the drop will not be significant, as there are not enough counterparties to continue the market's plunge. Let's first observe the 3800 level; if it can't hold, we'll look for support near 3400.
Overall, this plunge has not seen Bitcoin and Ethereum drop as much as in the past events of 519 and 312; instead, it's the altcoins that have bled heavily.
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, and let's find opportunities together!
📌 $ETH is currently at the small support range of 4100, the question is whether it can hold. The next position is 4000, if it breaks down further, it will need to go to around 3850, it's really difficult. You impose tariffs, and we retail investors will foot the bill, what an unexpected disaster, finally managed to get to bed early, and woke up to the alarm, only to see, oh no? I forgot that the order I placed at 4220 was executed, it's really frustrating!
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, let's find opportunities together!
📌 $BTC With the return of rare earth and tariff issues, all plans have been disrupted again. It feels so familiar; I can't help but complain. Currently, Bitcoin is at the lower boundary of the H2 descending channel. The awkward part is that once it breaks this channel, there will be an accelerated decline, with the next level of support targeted at 117k, which is also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level for this wave of increase. Currently, Bitcoin's trend hasn't worsened and is still relatively healthy. The question is what other troubles it will cause in the future! Feel free to leave a comment about the varieties you want to see, and let's look for opportunities together!
📌 $ETH The daily level is forming a flag pattern as a continuation for wave 4 correction, and the correction is about to end, soon we will welcome a violent rise in wave 5, this year we should see Ethereum reaching 6000. 💡 Ethereum broke through the upper boundary of the flag continuation yesterday and reached near the previous high of 4757, a pullback is very normal. Currently, we need to observe whether the key support level at 4450 can hold, the battle between bulls and bears is very intense. 🎯 If it holds and continues to rise, if it doesn't hold, we will look for support around 4250. 🚀 The market is very clear, I bought in at 4450 yesterday, and can gradually accumulate more on the dips. This is picking up passengers on the way back, let's find opportunities to get on board, wealthy ones!
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, let's find opportunities together! #Ethereum #ETH走势分析
📌 $BTC The holiday violent surge reached the previous high position of 126k, and the pullback that started yesterday morning is normal; all indicators also need to be repaired. After dropping to 120.6k yesterday, it formed a small upward channel of F15 with a slight rebound.
💡 Currently, we need to pay attention to the resistance level of 123.4k & the overlapping position of the trend line pressure. 🎯 If it continues to drop after reaching this position, it represents that this wave of small rebound is about to touch, with a downward target near 120k. (High probability) 🎯 If it consolidates at this position and waits to drop, it will continue to rise. (Low probability) 🚀 Bitcoin is moving very healthily, and the pullback is normal; we continue to be bullish! See you at 130-160k~
Feel free to leave a comment on the varieties you want to see, let's find opportunities together! #大盘走势 #BTC走势分析
The H1 upward continuation triangle, the upper boundary retests for entry, all large bullish candles have risen by 16%, enter at the low point and sell in batches at the high point, very comfortable~~