#比特币VS代币化黄金
12.7 Evening
From the 1-hour K-line cycle and technical indicators, the short-term trend of Bitcoin shows a weak pullback characteristic. Recently, the trend rose to 90257 and then quickly fell back, continuously forming long实体阴线, creating a bearish dominant pattern of 'high pullback', and the latest K-line has broken below the Bollinger Band middle track at 89473, currently near the lower track at 89049, indicating strong short-term downward momentum; the Bollinger Band has fallen from the upper track to near the lower track, and the trajectory is flat, indicating that the short-term oscillation range has been broken, increasing the probability of a downward breakout.
The KDJ indicator's J-line has quickly dropped to a low position, and the K-line has crossed below the D-line, forming a death cross, reflecting that the short-term is oversold but the bearish trend has not changed.
The MACD histogram is positive but continues to narrow, showing that bullish momentum is quickly diminishing and will soon enter a bearish range.
In the short term, there is a high probability of continuing the pullback oscillation trend within 1-4 hours: if it breaks below the Bollinger Band lower track at 89049, it may further probe the previous low point at 88870. If it can hold above the lower track support, a slight rebound may occur, but the rebound strength is suppressed by the middle track at 89473, making it difficult to change the short-term weakness. It is recommended to take a light short position near the rebound to 89831--90635, with targets looking towards 88233--87132.
The above is only personal advice and for reference only; please refer to the layout of Haoyu Shipan for specifics! #BTC $BTC
