$BTC #加密市场观察 12.05 Financial Data Storm! Under the Fed's interest rate cut game, the market will face severe volatility

On Friday, December 5, the global financial data will be bombarded intensively, coupled with the sensitive point where the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in December rises to 89.2%, the volatility risk in forex, gold, crude oil, and other markets surges, traders need to be particularly vigilant!

European session: European economic data comes into focus

- 15:00 UK November Halifax House Price Index MoM, directly influencing the pound's movement;

- 15:45 France October Industrial Production MoM + Trade Balance, revealing the Eurozone's economic fundamentals;

- 18:00 Eurozone Q3 GDP YoY revision + Employment data final value, providing clues for ECB policy.

US session: Core PCE is the key guide for interest rate cuts

- 21:30 Canada November Employment Change, likely to trigger short-term fluctuations in the Canadian dollar;

- 23:00 US September Core PCE Price Index (YoY + MoM) makes a significant appearance! As the inflation indicator most valued by the Fed, if the data falls as expected to around 2.8%, it will strengthen the expectations for interest rate cuts, benefiting gold and non-USD currencies, while putting pressure on the dollar; the Michigan University Consumer Confidence Index and Personal Spending MoM released simultaneously will further reflect the vitality of the US economy.

Early morning the next day: The crude oil market closely monitors supply signals

02:00 US weekly oil rig count released, as a leading indicator of crude oil production, directly affecting international oil price trends.

Currently, the divergence in Fed policy is intensifying, and data performance will directly rewrite the market pricing logic. It is recommended to strictly control positions and stop losses, and to operate flexibly following data guidance.