🥶 Why is $BTC UNABLE to return to a bull run immediately?
1. Main reason: Momentum.
When momentum has turned, trends usually last a long time.
2. The 6-week LMACD is a "lagging" indicator, but very accurate.
When it crosses down → a major downtrend has already begun.
3. Each time LMACD is bearish, the downtrend usually lasts 800 days+.
4. The bottom of the bear market does not come early.
History shows the bottom appears 250–365 days after the cross-down signal.
5. The price of $BTC typically drops ~70% from the moment the signal activates.
(Because the indicator is lagging → it does not capture the entire drop from the peak.)
6. Currently, the LMACD signal just crossed down.
There are still 15 days left for full confirmation → meaning momentum is still bad.
7. Downward momentum = NO immediate bull run.
BTC may experience a short-term rebound, but it is difficult to reverse the major trend in a short time.
8. One should not expect $BTC to hit the bottom in just 40 days.
History shows it takes a few hundred days.
9. The 6W frame is extremely reliable.
There are almost no false signals: each time it crosses down → the price continues to drop.
#BTCVolatility #BTCHashratePeak #BitcoinSPACDeal #cryptonews
