ā š TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (15m Chart)
1. Trend (Short-Term)
Price abhi downtrend se pullback le raha hai.
15m mein price MB (middle Bollinger) ke upar close de raha hai ā short-term bullish push.
2. Bollinger Bands
Lower band hit = strong bounce zone (94,450 ā confirmed bounce).
Ab price MB cross kar chuka ā next resistance Upper Band ~ 97,400ā97,800.
3. Moving Averages
MA(5) crossed MA(10) upward ā short-term bullish momentum.
Lekin price still below major daily resistance zones.
4. RSI (6) = 68.9
RSI high hai ā
ā Momentum strong
ā Overbought zone ke qareeb ā pullback aasakta hai at resistance.
5. MACD
MACD bullish crossover ā upward continuation ka signal.
But histogram bars small ā trend strong nahi, sirf corrective bounce.
6. Volume
Recent green volume spikes confirm demand around 94,500 support.
š IMPORTANT LEVELS (15m)
Support Zones
94,450 (strong confirmed bounce)
95,200 (intraday support)
Resistance Zones
96,800ā97,200 (major intraday)
Upper target: 97,800ā98,000
ā LONG SCENARIO
Long Entry
Above 96,300 retest confirmation
OROn dip 95,200ā95,500 with SL below 94,900
LONG Targets
TP1: 96,800
TP2: 97,400 (Upper Bollinger Band)
TP3: 98,000 (Strong resistance)
Stop Loss
94,900 (below bounce origin)
Reason
Bullish MACD
MA crossover
Bollinger middle band breakout
Bounce from strong support 94,450
š„ SHORT SCENARIO
Short Entry
Below 95,200 (breakdown trigger)
ORRejection from 97,200ā97,800
SHORT Targets
TP1: 95,000
TP2: 94,450 (confirmed bounce level)
TP3: 93,800 (If market crashes)
Stop Loss
For breakdown entry SL: 96,000
For rejection entry SL: 98,000
Reason
RSI overbought
Price near upper resistance
15m bounce looks corrective (weak trend)
š FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (Current Market Conditions)
1. Market Sentiment
BTC recently dumped from 103k ā 94k = panic selling
Fear still high = volatility expected
2. Liquidity Zones
Below 94,500 heavy long liquidations
Above 97,800 short liquidations
ā Price may hunt both sides.
3. Macroeconomic Factors
US inflation data expected
BTC halving effect still in slow accumulation phase
Institutions buying dips
4. Binance Perp Funding
Funding mostly neutral ā No big bias
šÆ YOUR FINAL TRADING PLAN
SAFE LONG
ā Enter above 96,300
ā Target 97,400 ā 98,000
SAFEST SHORT
ā If BTC rejects 97,200ā97,800
ā Downside target back to 95,000 ā 94,450
BREAKDOWN SHORT
ā Below 95,200
ā Big fall possible to 94,450
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