by @NoobToProTrader
The crypto market stands at a tipping point — and Ethereum (ETH) is once again at the center of attention. As of October 26, 2025, ETH trades near $4,070, hovering just below its crucial resistance zone of $4,100–$4,200.
After weeks of sideways movement and failed attempts, Ethereum now shows signs of renewed strength. But can the bulls finally overcome the resistance wall that has held them back for months — or is this just another fakeout before a deeper correction? Let’s decode the charts and signals. ⚡
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🧭 Daily Chart: Bulls Slowly Regaining Control
Ethereum’s 1D chart reveals a slow but steady recovery after dropping from $4,759.9 to $3,379.5. The sequence of higher lows clearly shows that buyers are quietly reclaiming ground.
The latest string of green candles pressing against $4,100 is not just random — the move is backed by rising volume, which suggests real buying power rather than speculation.
If ETH successfully breaks and closes above $4,100 with strength, this could confirm the start of a mid-term bullish expansion phase, transforming the market sentiment from fear to confidence.
📈 Key Support: $3,875 – $4,000
📉 Major Resistance: $4,100 – $4,200
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⏳ 4-Hour Chart: Rounded Bottom Points to a Reversal
Zooming into the 4H chart, the picture becomes even more interesting. ETH has formed a rounded-bottom pattern, which is a strong bullish reversal setup.
The break above $3,950 was followed by a surge in volume — a healthy sign that the rally is being fueled by real demand, not manipulation. Every dip since then has been absorbed quickly, confirming that the market structure is tilting in favor of the bulls.
If this pattern continues, ETH could soon test $4,200–$4,300, the next psychological barrier.
⚙️ Confirmation Point: Candle close above $4,120 with increasing volume.
⚠️ Invalidation: Drop below $3,875 with heavy selling pressure.
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⚡ 1-Hour Chart: Momentum Builds, Bulls in Control
On the 1H chart, Ethereum is showing tight price action — short bursts of bullish candles stacking higher, signaling controlled momentum.
The current intraday top at $4,081.9 is being tested again, and if ETH clears it with conviction, the next micro target becomes $4,200.
Pullbacks toward $4,000–$4,025 may serve as attractive re-entry zones for traders who missed the initial wave. Risk control below $3,985 keeps the setup clean and professional.
🎯 Target Zone: $4,100–$4,200
💎 Re-entry Zone: $4,000–$4,025
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📊 Technical Indicators: Neutral, But Tilting Bullish
Ethereum’s indicators are sitting at a balanced point — not overheated, not oversold. This neutral positioning provides room for a breakout.
Indicator Reading Interpretation
RSI 49.5 Neutral, space for upside
Stochastic 50.2 Mild bullish bias
CCI –4.9 Neutral zone
ADX 21.1 Weak trend, awaiting confirmation
Momentum 161.6 Growing bullish intent
MACD –91.5 Near crossover – possible bullish shift
These readings show that Ethereum isn’t in a frenzy — it’s coiling energy for a potential move.
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🔁 Moving Averages: Early Bullish Flip in Progress
Short-term averages like EMA10 ($3,961) and SMA10 ($3,917) are already sloping upward, confirming that buyers are taking charge of near-term momentum.
Meanwhile, longer-term averages — SMA30 ($4,136) and EMA50 ($4,124) — still tilt slightly downward, highlighting the final wall of resistance that ETH must conquer.
Once ETH closes convincingly above these, a chain reaction breakout could send prices soaring toward $4,400–$4,600 in the next few sessions.
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💡 Market Outlook: Two Roads Ahead
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If Ethereum breaks and holds above $4,100–$4,200, we could see a powerful rally fueled by fresh inflows and short covering.
This breakout could trigger a mid-term trend reversal, opening the door toward $4,350–$4,600 — possibly even $4,800 if momentum continues.
Rising volume, shrinking MACD gaps, and RSI climbing above 55 would confirm this scenario.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If ETH fails to hold above $4,100 and retreats under $3,950, this rebound might fade into another lower high — continuing the broader consolidation trend.
Low volume or weak follow-through will be early warning signs of a fakeout.
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⚔️ Bottom Line: Ethereum’s Defining Moment
Ethereum’s structure has matured — it’s no longer trapped in panic selling or random pumps.
Momentum is shifting, confidence is building, and the $4,100 zone has become the ultimate battlefield between bulls and bears.
If ETH wins this fight, it won’t just be another bounce — it could be the start of a multi-week bullish phase that reshapes the market narrative entirely.
The chart is whispering one thing clearly:
🔥 “The calm before the breakout is ending — get ready for volatility.”