#TrumpTariffs 81%: US–China to soon lower tariffs? 📊

The Polymarket betting market is pricing in an 81% chance that the US and China will reach a tax agreement before November 10 (trading volume ~$43k). If true, trade cost tensions may ease.

What does this mean for crypto?

Bullish scenario: There is a roadmap for an agreement → sentiment eases, USD cools down, spot money flows back in; BTC could see a bounce, altcoins following when leverage is reaccumulated.

Bearish scenario: Negotiations hit a snag or additional retaliatory measures are introduced → risk-off returns, USD and yields rise; thin OI could easily be swept.

Note the risks ⚠️

The 81% rate is not certain; prediction odds can change rapidly with news. Maintain small positions, limit leverage, and set clear stop losses.

Do you think 81% is too optimistic or just right? Comment your perspective! $ETH here