MVRV level of 2.75 signals potential top.
$130,900 could be BTC’s first major resistance.
Historical data backs MVRV as a reliable sell indicator.
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) oscillator is a popular on-chain metric used to identify potential tops and bottoms in Bitcoin’s price cycles. Over the past four years, this tool has consistently indicated market turning points — both for buying opportunities during lows and potential sell signals during price peaks.
According to the latest analysis, when Bitcoin’s MVRV reaches a value of 2.75, it typically aligns with a strong resistance level. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could reach a price of approximately $130,900 USD before encountering significant selling pressure.
Why $130,900 Could Be a Key Resistance
This $130K target isn’t just an arbitrary number — it’s grounded in historical performance. Each time the MVRV ratio approached the 2.75 level in past bull cycles, Bitcoin saw major corrections or slowed growth shortly afterward. This has made the 2.75 mark a reliable early signal for traders and investors looking to de-risk at market highs.
While it doesn’t guarantee an immediate crash, this level often represents a psychological and technical barrier where many long-term holders begin to realize profits. The current market structure and on-chain metrics suggest we’re not there yet — but the data points to this level as the likely first major wall.
Based on the MVRV oscillator and its data over the last 4 years, when the MVRV mark of 2.75 is reached, Bitcoin's price will be approximately $130,900 USD.
This will essentially be the first selling pressure point. pic.twitter.com/hmw0ZOTL9t
— Axel Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) July 10, 2025
Preparing for the Sell Pressure
Investors should consider this MVRV level as a strategic exit point rather than a panic signal. As Bitcoin continues its climb, hitting $130,900 could mark the beginning of wider distribution in the market. It’s important to monitor not just price, but also behavior around this MVRV threshold.
For traders, this offers a chance to plan exits or rebalance portfolios in line with historically backed data, rather than pure speculation.
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