Will Bitcoin Surge Again in Q3 Post-Halving?

  • Bitcoin historically gains in Q3 after halving years.

  • July and August average returns exceed 50%.

  • BTC hitting $140K is possible with a 30% move.

Bitcoin’s Post-Halving Patterns Point to Q3 Gains

Every four years, Bitcoin undergoes a halving — an event that cuts mining rewards in half and often sets the stage for a major bull run. According to historical data, Q3 in post-halving years has consistently been a strong period for Bitcoin. The pattern is hard to ignore: July tends to bring a 15.48% gain on average, followed by a huge 36.51% rally in August.

These gains are not random. Reduced supply, increased investor confidence, and positive sentiment typically fuel this seasonal momentum. If history does indeed repeat, Bitcoin could be gearing up for another impressive Q3 rally.

This happens every post-halving year:

Q3 flips bullish for Bitcoin.

Historically, $BTC averages 15.48% in July & 36.51% in August

That’s ~57% combined in just 62 days.

Even a 30% move from here could send Bitcoin to $140K.

Will history repeat itself this time around? pic.twitter.com/apJAdGryky

— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) July 2, 2025

Could Bitcoin Reach $140K This Time?

Currently, Bitcoin is hovering below its all-time highs, but a mere 30% surge from current levels could push it to around $140,000. That may sound ambitious, but when viewed in the context of past post-halving behavior, it’s a realistic possibility.

Analysts point out that these bullish moves tend to happen quickly, often catching investors off-guard. With the macroeconomic landscape showing signs of cooling inflation and steady interest rates, conditions appear ripe for another upward leg.

The key question is: will this year’s Q3 repeat history, or will it break the cycle?

Read Also:

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  • Bitcoin 166k Target: How Soon Could It Happen?

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