Golden ratio extension remains a reliable indicator this cycle
Analysts anticipate ~52% surge, targeting $166 k
Timing may shift due to unprecedented cycle duration
The golden ratio extension is a technical analysis tool based on Fibonacci sequences. Throughout this Bitcoin cycle, this metric has correctly predicted major moves. It currently projects a target of $166,000, which requires a 52% price increase from current levels. While the exact timeline remains unclear, the model’s accuracy in past cycles boosts confidence in the forecast.
Why the Target Date Keeps Changing
Unlike previous cycles, this one has been unusually slow. Several factors contribute to the shifting target date:
Extended sideways movement in price has delayed upward momentum.
Global market factors like interest rate policies and inflation have impacted investor behavior.
Market psychology, especially cautious retail and institutional sentiment, has prolonged the buildup.
Originally estimated to arrive earlier, the new projection suggests a potential September peak, though even that could change as the cycle evolves.
It's been a long time coming, but the 166k target has never left.
This golden ratio extension has nailed every major Bitcoin move this cycle, the only question being how long it takes to get there.
My current estimation is September, but this has shifted out many times as the… pic.twitter.com/DgY24qgaC8
— CryptoCon (@CryptoCon_) July 2, 2025
Is the Bitcoin Cycle Still Active?
Many analysts believe the cycle is far from over. On-chain metrics and price patterns reinforce this outlook:
Whales are still accumulating Bitcoin, a bullish sign.
Long-term holders continue to grow, indicating market confidence.
Volatility remains relatively low, suggesting a coiling effect before a big move.
All signs point to a cycle that is late but still active. A 52% increase to $166k remains possible, though patience is required.
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