Bitcoin often rebounds ~37% two months post-geopolitical shock.
Since 2020, BTC gained on average after major crises.
Analysts view Bitcoin as a recovery asset amid uncertainty.
Binance Research recently found that Bitcoin has averaged a remarkable 37% return about 60 days after major geopolitical events since 2020. These events include things like international conflicts, sanctions, or sharp geopolitical tensions. Traders and analysts refer to this sharp rebound as the “Bitcoin bounce.”
The 37% Recovery Pattern
Event timeline: After a geopolitical shock, Bitcoin typically drops first—pricing in risk and panic.
Recovery phase: Around 60 days later, BTC has rebounded sharply, averaging a 37% gain from its low.
Historical consistency: This bounce pattern held true across multiple events since 2020, pointing to a resilience trait in crypto markets.
What It Means for Investors
Opportunity timing: For long-term investors, the 60-day window after a drop could be an opportunity to enter or add to positions.
Risk caution: There’s always uncertainty—though past performance shows recovery, every event is unique.
Balanced portfolios: Including Bitcoin may offer a hedge if geopolitical risk leads to steep recoveries in crypto assets.
LATEST: Binance Research says BTC has historically bounced back after major geopolitical events, averaging a 37% return 60 days post-event since 2020. pic.twitter.com/18nKPdv6LT
— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) June 29, 2025
Summary
The Bitcoin bounce concept highlights BTC’s average 37% recovery two months after geopolitical turmoil. Binance Research’s findings since 2020 show consistency in this rebound pattern. For investors, understanding this can guide strategic entry points during market dips. Yet, remember: correlation isn’t certainty, and every event has its own economic context.
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